Quarterly Hogs and Pigs - Publication

0213 - Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report - 09-27-2013.pdf

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs - Publication

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Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
ISSN: 1949-1921

Released September 27, 2013, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States
Department of Agriculture (USDA).

United States Hog Inventory Up Slightly
United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2013 was 68.4 million head. This was up slightly from
September 1, 2012, and up 3 percent from June 1, 2013.
Breeding inventory, at 5.81 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from the previous quarter.
Market hog inventory, at 62.5 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up 3 percent from last quarter.
The June-August 2013 pig crop, at 30.2 million head, was up 2 percent from 2012. Sows farrowing during this period
totaled 2.92 million head, down slightly from 2012. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the
breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.33 for the June-August period, compared to 10.13
last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.40 for
operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States:
September 1
Million head
70
68
66
64
62
60
58

56
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

United States hog producers intend to have 2.90 million sows farrow during the September-November 2013 quarter, up
slightly from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2012, but down 1 percent from 2011. Intended farrowings
for December-February 2014, at 2.87 million sows, are up 1 percent from 2013, and up slightly from 2012.
The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted
for 46 percent of the total United States hog inventory, down from 47 percent last year.

Revisions
All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2012 through June 2013 were reviewed using final pig crop, official
slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, an adjustment of one
percent was made to the March 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one half of one percent was made to the
June 2013 total inventory. An adjustment of less than one and one half percent was made to the December-February 2013
pig crop.

This report was approved on September 27, 2013.

Acting Secretary of
Agriculture
Joseph W. Glauber

2

Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Hubert Hamer

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2012 and 2013 ......................................... 4
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2011-2014 .......................................................................... 5
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2012 and 2013 .................................................................................... 5
Quarterly Litter Rate – United States ...................................................................................................................................... 6
Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: June-August 2013 ............................................................................... 6
Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States .............................................................................................................................. 7
Quarterly Pig Crop – United States......................................................................................................................................... 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 ............................................... 8
Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013 ............................ 8
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 .................................................. 9
Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013 ............................... 9
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 ...................................... 10
Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013 ................... 10
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 ....................................... 11
Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012 .................... 11
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2012-2014 ..................... 12
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2012 and 2013 ............................ 12
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013 ........................... 13
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2011-2013 .................. 13
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States:
December-November 2012 and 2013 ................................................................................................................................... 14
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 14
Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates ............................................................................................................................ 15
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 15

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

3

Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2012 and 2013
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

March 1 inventory 1
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................

64,937
5,820
59,117

65,221
5,834
59,387

100
100
100

Market hogs and pigs by weight groups
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................

19,235
16,409
12,780
10,693

19,196
16,450
12,911
10,830

100
100
101
101

June 1 inventory 1
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................

66,659
5,862
60,797

66,602
5,882
60,720

100
100
100

Market hogs and pigs by weight groups
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................

19,871
18,119
12,203
10,604

19,676
18,052
12,314
10,678

99
100
101
101

September 1 inventory 1
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................

68,172
5,788
62,384

68,360
5,814
62,546

100
100
100

Market hogs and pigs by weight groups
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................

19,900
17,899
13,090
11,495

20,085
18,087
13,284
11,090

101
101
101
96

December 1 inventory 1
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................

66,373
5,817
60,556

Market hogs and pigs by weight groups
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................

19,300
16,751
12,634
11,871

1

4

May not add due to rounding.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2011-2014
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
2013 as percent of
Item

2011

2012

2013

2014

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Sows farrowing
December-February 1 2 .............
March-May ................................
December-May 1 3 .....................

2,843
2,917
5,760

2,864
2,982
5,847

2,844
2,921
5,765

June-August .............................
September-November 4 ............
June-November 3 5 ....................

2,927
2,929
5,857

2,928
2,888
5,817

Pig crop
December-February 1 ...............
March-May ................................
December-May 1 3 .....................

27,866
29,252
57,118

June-August .............................
September-November ...............
June-November 3 ......................

29,355
29,365
58,720
(number)

2011

2012

2014 as
percent
of 2013

(percent)

(percent)

(percent)

100
100
100

99
98
99

2,925
2,900
5,825

100
99
99

100
100
100

28,550
30,077
58,627

28,662
30,111
58,773

103
103
103

100
100
100

29,654
29,320
58,974

30,210

103

102

(number)

(number)

2,870

(number)

(percent)

(percent)

101

(percent)

Pigs per litter
December-February 1 ...............
March-May ................................
December-May 1 .......................

9.80
10.03
9.92

9.97
10.09
10.03

10.08
10.31
10.19

103
103
103

101
102
102

June-August .............................
September-November ...............
June-November ........................

10.03
10.02
10.03

10.13
10.15
10.14

10.33

103

102

1

December preceding year.
Intentions for 2014.
3
May not add due to rounding.
4
Intentions for 2013.
5
Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November.
2

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States: 2012 and 2013
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Pigs per litter on operations having 1
Pig crop

1-99
head

100-499
head

500-999
head

1,000-1,999
head

2,000-4,999
head

5,000+
head

(number)

(number)

(number)

(number)

(number)

(number)

2012
December-February 2 ....................
March-May .....................................
June-August ..................................
September-November ....................
2013
December-February 2 ....................
March-May .....................................
June-August ..................................
September-November ....................
1
2

7.30
7.50
7.60
7.60

8.20
8.40
8.40
8.40

8.80
9.00
9.00
9.00

9.20
9.40
9.40
9.50

9.80
10.00
10.00
10.00

10.00
10.20
10.20
10.20

7.50
7.70
7.80

8.30
8.60
8.70

8.90
9.20
9.30

9.40
9.70
9.70

9.90
10.20
10.20

10.10
10.40
10.40

Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth.
December preceding year.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

5

Quarterly Litter Rate – United States
Number head
10.35
10.15
9.95
9.75
9.55
9.35

9.15
8.95
8.75

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation – United States:
June-August 2013
Number head
10.50

10.40

10.33

10.20

10.00

9.70

9.50

9.30

9.00

8.70

8.50
7.80

8.00
7.50
7.00
All

6

1-99

100-499

500-999

1,000-1,999 2,000-4,999

5,000+

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Quarterly Sows Farrowed – United States
Million head
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.9
2.8
2.7
2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Quarterly Pig Crop – United States
Million head

31
30
29
28
27
26
25
24
2004

2005

2006

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

7

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State

Market

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

Total

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

Colorado ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas .........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina ..............

150
510
290
1,010
170
110
550
360
390
860

145
490
270
1,020
170
110
570
340
390
870

97
96
93
101
100
100
104
94
100
101

580
4,140
3,410
18,690
1,650
900
7,050
2,290
2,710
7,740

575
4,110
3,330
19,180
1,630
950
7,080
2,410
2,610
7,830

99
99
98
103
99
106
100
105
96
101

730
4,650
3,700
19,700
1,820
1,010
7,600
2,650
3,100
8,600

720
4,600
3,600
20,200
1,800
1,060
7,650
2,750
3,000
8,700

99
99
97
103
99
105
101
104
97
101

Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ...........................
Utah .............................

165
410
100
175
90
75

165
410
100
175
105
80

100
100
100
100
117
107

1,965
1,930
990
1,115
730
645

1,935
1,880
1,040
975
605
660

98
97
105
87
83
102

2,130
2,340
1,090
1,290
820
720

2,100
2,290
1,140
1,150
710
740

99
98
105
89
87
103

Other States 1 ..............

405

424

105

2,582

2,587

100

2,987

3,011

101

United States ...............

5,820

5,834

100

59,117

59,387

100

64,937

65,221

100

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2012 and 2013
[Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]
Under
50 pounds

State

50-119
pounds

120-179
pounds

180 pounds
and over

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

Colorado ........................
Illinois .............................
Indiana ...........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ...........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ................

275
1,380
1,100
4,930
500
290
2,360
1,000
880
3,030

280
1,310
1,010
5,090
470
290
2,420
1,070
870
3,020

100
1,260
910
5,820
355
200
2,180
530
790
1,810

95
1,220
1,000
5,900
360
215
2,110
535
740
1,900

95
800
700
4,640
275
215
1,570
370
605
1,560

80
790
660
4,800
290
225
1,550
395
580
1,600

110
700
700
3,300
520
195
940
390
435
1,340

120
790
660
3,390
510
220
1,000
410
420
1,310

Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas .............................
Utah ...............................

690
790
250
360
225
270

660
800
245
330
130
290

550
380
340
300
145
125

560
340
340
270
150
120

435
260
200
250
135
130

450
250
225
195
145
130

290
500
200
205
225
120

265
490
230
180
180
120

Other States 1 ................

905

911

614

595

540

546

523

535

United States .................

19,235

19,196

16,409

16,450

12,780

12,911

10,693

10,830

1

8

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State

2012

Market

2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

Total

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

Colorado ......................
Illinois ..........................
Indiana ........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas ........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina .............

150
500
280
1,020
170
110
560
365
385
870

145
500
270
1,030
170
110
580
350
400
870

97
100
96
101
100
100
104
96
104
100

570
4,200
3,520
19,380
1,620
910
7,340
2,435
2,765
8,030

575
4,250
3,330
19,370
1,710
920
7,370
2,400
2,700
8,330

101
101
95
100
106
101
100
99
98
104

720
4,700
3,800
20,400
1,790
1,020
7,900
2,800
3,150
8,900

720
4,750
3,600
20,400
1,880
1,030
7,950
2,750
3,100
9,200

100
101
95
100
105
101
101
98
98
103

Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ..........................
Utah .............................

170
410
100
180
100
80

160
410
100
180
100
75

94
100
100
100
100
94

1,990
1,880
1,010
1,130
780
630

2,010
1,850
1,050
980
540
665

101
98
104
87
69
106

2,160
2,290
1,110
1,310
880
710

2,170
2,260
1,150
1,160
640
740

100
99
104
89
73
104

Other States 1 ..............

412

432

105

2,607

2,670

102

3,019

3,102

103

United States ...............

5,862

5,882

100

60,797

60,720

100

66,659

66,602

100

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2012 and 2013
[Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]
Under
50 pounds

State

50-119
pounds

120-179
pounds

180 pounds
and over

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

Colorado ........................
Illinois ............................
Indiana ..........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ..........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ...............

290
1,340
1,100
5,140
500
280
2,520
1,055
900
3,210

285
1,330
1,010
5,140
480
290
2,580
1,080
900
3,160

95
1,290
1,090
6,370
400
220
2,410
625
870
2,080

95
1,430
1,090
6,240
405
240
2,410
580
810
2,220

80
770
680
4,630
250
205
1,380
390
555
1,480

80
740
630
4,700
260
180
1,410
340
560
1,600

105
800
650
3,240
470
205
1,030
365
440
1,260

115
750
600
3,290
565
210
970
400
430
1,350

Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas ............................
Utah ...............................

690
800
250
385
200
290

645
800
260
340
95
285

605
390
385
335
180
120

605
370
365
285
145
130

410
210
175
215
150
110

480
210
205
180
100
125

285
480
200
195
250
110

280
470
220
175
200
125

Other States 1 ................

921

996

654

632

513

514

519

528

United States .................

19,871

19,676

18,119

18,052

12,203

12,314

10,604

10,678

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

9

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2012 and 2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State

Market

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

Total

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

Colorado ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas .........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina ..............

150
490
280
1,000
170
110
560
360
380
870

145
500
270
1,000
170
110
550
350
400
880

97
102
96
100
100
100
98
97
105
101

590
4,210
3,520
19,800
1,730
930
7,590
2,540
2,820
8,530

565
4,250
3,580
20,200
1,670
960
7,400
2,750
2,750
8,620

96
101
102
102
97
103
97
108
98
101

740
4,700
3,800
20,800
1,900
1,040
8,150
2,900
3,200
9,400

710
4,750
3,850
21,200
1,840
1,070
7,950
3,100
3,150
9,500

96
101
101
102
97
103
98
107
98
101

Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ...........................
Utah .............................

165
410
95
175
90
80

165
420
100
170
85
80

100
102
105
97
94
100

1,975
1,920
1,025
1,125
770
660

1,975
1,810
1,070
1,000
525
670

100
94
104
89
68
102

2,140
2,330
1,120
1,300
860
740

2,140
2,230
1,170
1,170
610
750

100
96
104
90
71
101

Other States 1 ..............

403

419

104

2,649

2,751

104

3,052

3,170

104

United States ...............

5,788

5,814

100

62,384

62,546

100

68,172

68,360

100

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States:
September 1, 2012 and 2013
[Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]
State

Under
50 pounds

50-119
pounds

120-179
pounds

180 pounds
and over

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

Colorado ...........................
Illinois ................................
Indiana ..............................
Iowa ..................................
Kansas ..............................
Michigan ...........................
Minnesota .........................
Missouri ............................
Nebraska ..........................
North Carolina ...................

290
1,380
1,070
5,100
520
300
2,530
1,085
910
3,190

285
1,330
1,100
5,300
485
305
2,550
1,230
900
3,160

90
1,260
1,080
6,330
390
220
2,310
625
820
2,190

90
1,370
1,090
6,490
360
230
2,280
650
810
2,240

90
750
660
4,800
310
215
1,600
390
600
1,700

80
740
680
5,000
290
200
1,580
420
600
1,800

120
820
710
3,570
510
195
1,150
440
490
1,450

110
810
710
3,410
535
225
990
450
440
1,420

Ohio ..................................
Oklahoma .........................
Pennsylvania ....................
South Dakota ....................
Texas ................................
Utah ..................................

660
810
240
390
230
290

620
790
255
355
125
285

605
380
375
300
170
130

610
345
355
285
115
130

445
260
200
225
150
125

460
195
235
195
120
130

265
470
210
210
220
115

285
480
225
165
165
125

Other States 1 ...................

905

1,010

624

637

570

559

550

545

United States ....................

19,900

20,085

17,899

18,087

13,090

13,284

11,495

11,090

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

10

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2011 and 2012
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State

2011

Market
2012 as
percent
of 2011

2012

(1,000 head)

2011

Total
2012 as
percent
of 2011

2012

(1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head)

2011

(1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head)

2012

2012 as
percent
of 2011

(1,000 head)

(percent)

Colorado ...................
Illinois .......................
Indiana .....................
Iowa ..........................
Kansas .....................
Michigan ...................
Minnesota .................
Missouri ....................
Nebraska ..................
North Carolina ..........

150
480
300
1,010
170
110
560
355
385
850

145
490
280
1,030
170
110
560
350
380
860

97
102
93
102
100
100
100
99
99
101

570
4,170
3,500
18,990
1,720
940
7,240
2,395
2,765
8,050

575
4,110
3,520
19,570
1,730
980
7,090
2,400
2,620
8,140

101
99
101
103
101
104
98
100
95
101

720
4,650
3,800
20,000
1,890
1,050
7,800
2,750
3,150
8,900

720
4,600
3,800
20,600
1,900
1,090
7,650
2,750
3,000
9,000

100
99
100
103
101
104
98
100
95
101

Ohio ..........................
Oklahoma .................
Pennsylvania ............
South Dakota ............
Texas .......................
Utah ..........................

170
410
100
170
90
80

165
420
100
165
85
80

97
102
100
97
94
100

2,030
1,890
1,030
1,230
730
680

1,885
1,900
1,040
1,035
735
660

93
101
101
84
101
97

2,200
2,300
1,130
1,400
820
760

2,050
2,320
1,140
1,200
820
740

93
101
101
86
100
97

Other States 1 ...........

413

427

103

2,628

2,566

98

3,041

2,993

98

United States ............

5,803

5,817

100

60,558

60,556

100

66,361

66,373

100

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Market Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States:
December 1, 2011 and 2012
[Weight groups may not add to market hogs and pigs due to rounding]
State

Under
50 pounds

50-119
pounds

120-179
pounds

180 pounds
and over

2011

2012

2011

2012

2011

2012

2011

2012

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

Colorado ............................
Illinois ................................
Indiana ..............................
Iowa ...................................
Kansas ..............................
Michigan ............................
Minnesota ..........................
Missouri .............................
Nebraska ...........................
North Carolina ...................

265
1,290
1,160
5,100
510
300
2,450
1,000
900
3,050

270
1,290
1,040
5,120
500
300
2,430
1,045
870
3,020

105
1,330
990
5,750
350
200
2,180
540
800
1,870

85
1,200
1,010
6,030
410
210
2,150
560
720
1,960

65
750
630
4,540
290
220
1,440
415
595
1,560

85
750
710
4,750
290
230
1,430
370
550
1,615

135
800
720
3,600
570
220
1,170
440
470
1,570

135
870
760
3,670
530
240
1,080
425
480
1,545

Ohio ...................................
Oklahoma ..........................
Pennsylvania .....................
South Dakota .....................
Texas ................................
Utah ...................................

710
780
245
385
200
280

645
800
250
350
180
275

575
360
350
330
160
130

555
350
355
290
155
130

445
240
210
265
145
130

415
240
205
190
160
125

300
510
225
250
225
140

270
510
230
205
240
130

Other States 1 ....................

899

915

623

581

533

519

573

551

United States .....................

19,524

19,300

16,643

16,751

12,473

12,634

11,918

11,871

1

Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

11

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
December-February 2012-2014
[December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State

2012

2014 2

2013

Pig crop 1

Pigs per litter

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2014 as
percent
of 2013

2012

2013

(percent)

(number)

(number)

2012

2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2013 as
percent
of 2012
(percent)

Colorado ...................
Illinois ........................
Indiana ......................
Iowa ..........................
Kansas ......................
Michigan ...................
Minnesota .................
Missouri ....................
Nebraska ..................
North Carolina ...........

70
255
145
475
83
50
290
185
175
440

70
250
140
475
80
54
285
180
165
450

72
265
135
475
85
49
285
190
165
455

103
106
96
100
106
91
100
106
100
101

9.95
9.90
9.50
10.30
9.30
9.90
10.00
10.40
10.40
9.90

9.60
10.10
9.55
10.35
9.80
10.25
10.55
10.35
10.50
9.50

697
2,525
1,378
4,893
772
495
2,900
1,924
1,820
4,356

672
2,525
1,337
4,916
784
554
3,007
1,863
1,733
4,275

96
100
97
100
102
112
104
97
95
98

Ohio ..........................
Oklahoma .................
Pennsylvania ............
South Dakota ............
Texas ........................
Utah ..........................

88
190
49
88
42
41

87
190
45
88
38
43

88
190
47
87
44
41

101
100
104
99
116
95

9.70
9.75
9.80
10.20
8.60
9.90

10.10
10.20
10.30
10.60
8.60
9.90

854
1,853
480
898
361
406

879
1,938
464
933
327
426

103
105
97
104
91
105

Other States 3 ...........

198

204

197

97

9.78

9.94

1,938

2,029

105

United States ............

2,864

2,844

2,870

101

9.97

10.08

28,550

28,662

100

1

Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold.
2
Intentions.
3
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2012 and 2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing

Pig crop 1

Pigs per litter

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

2013

2012

2013

2013 as
percent
of 2012

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

(number)

(number)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(percent)

Colorado ........................
Illinois .............................
Indiana ...........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ...........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ................

72
255
150
495
88
51
305
190
180
470

71
255
135
495
82
53
300
190
170
470

99
100
90
100
93
104
98
100
94
100

9.95
10.10
9.75
10.40
9.45
10.10
10.25
10.30
10.55
9.90

9.50
10.30
9.85
10.50
9.95
10.20
10.70
10.50
10.75
10.05

716
2,576
1,463
5,148
832
515
3,126
1,957
1,899
4,653

675
2,627
1,330
5,198
816
541
3,210
1,995
1,828
4,724

94
102
91
101
98
105
103
102
96
102

Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas .............................
Utah ...............................

93
195
50
95
49
42

83
190
46
91
39
42

89
97
92
96
80
100

9.85
9.80
9.90
10.40
8.70
10.25

10.30
10.30
10.20
10.90
8.90
10.30

916
1,911
495
988
426
431

855
1,957
469
992
347
433

93
102
95
100
81
100

Other States 2 ................

202

209

103

10.01

10.11

2,025

2,114

104

United States .................

2,982

2,921

98

10.09

10.31

30,077

30,111

100

State

1

Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold.
2
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

12

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2012 and 2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State

2012

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2012

2013

(percent)

(number)

(number)

2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head)

Pig crop 1

Pigs per litter
2012

2013

(1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2013 as
percent
of 2012
(percent)

Colorado ..................................
Illinois ......................................
Indiana ....................................
Iowa .........................................
Kansas ....................................
Michigan ..................................
Minnesota ................................
Missouri ...................................
Nebraska .................................
North Carolina .........................

66
250
150
495
86
52
310
185
170
455

72
260
135
485
83
53
295
195
165
470

109
104
90
98
97
102
95
105
97
103

9.50
10.10
9.70
10.45
9.80
10.10
10.35
10.60
10.50
9.90

9.50
10.20
10.10
10.60
10.05
10.10
10.80
10.40
10.85
10.10

627
2,525
1,455
5,173
843
525
3,209
1,961
1,785
4,505

684
2,652
1,364
5,141
834
535
3,186
2,028
1,790
4,747

109
105
94
99
99
102
99
103
100
105

Ohio .........................................
Oklahoma ................................
Pennsylvania ...........................
South Dakota ...........................
Texas ......................................
Utah .........................................

90
190
49
95
46
42

91
190
49
86
43
43

101
100
100
91
93
102

9.95
9.95
10.10
10.10
8.50
10.20

10.40
10.30
10.20
10.90
8.30
10.00

896
1,891
495
960
391
428

946
1,957
500
937
357
430

106
103
101
98
91
100

Other States 2 ..........................

197

210

106

10.06

10.12

1,985

2,122

107

United States ...........................

2,928

2,925

100

10.13

10.33

29,654

30,210

102

1

Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold.
2
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
September-November 2011-2013
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State

2011

2012

Pig crop 1

Pigs per litter

2013 2

(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2013 as
percent
of 2012

2011

2012

(percent)

(number)

(number)

2011

2012

(1,000 head) (1,000 head)

2012 as
percent
of 2011
(percent)

Colorado ....................
Illinois ........................
Indiana ......................
Iowa ...........................
Kansas ......................
Michigan ....................
Minnesota ..................
Missouri .....................
Nebraska ...................
North Carolina ...........

71
255
150
490
87
52
295
185
180
450

68
245
140
505
80
53
295
185
170
450

72
255
135
480
86
49
290
195
170
460

106
104
96
95
108
92
98
105
100
102

9.60
9.90
9.45
10.40
9.00
10.00
10.30
10.55
10.40
9.90

9.95
10.00
9.95
10.30
9.80
10.20
10.40
10.35
10.50
10.10

682
2,525
1,418
5,096
783
520
3,039
1,952
1,872
4,455

677
2,450
1,393
5,202
784
541
3,068
1,915
1,785
4,545

99
97
98
102
100
104
101
98
95
102

Ohio ...........................
Oklahoma ..................
Pennsylvania .............
South Dakota .............
Texas ........................
Utah ...........................

92
190
51
90
41
42

91
185
50
90
41
41

89
190
48
88
44
41

98
103
96
98
107
100

9.80
9.70
9.90
10.40
8.60
10.10

10.00
10.15
10.10
10.40
8.60
10.40

902
1,843
505
936
353
424

910
1,878
505
936
353
426

101
102
100
100
100
100

Other States 3 ............

208

199

208

105

9.88

9.80

2,060

1,952

95

United States .............

2,929

2,888

2,900

100

10.02

10.15

29,365

29,320

100

1
2
3

Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold.
Intentions.
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

13

Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States:
December-November 2012 and 2013
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Sows farrowing 1

Month

Pig crop 1

Pigs per litter

2012

2013

2012

2013

2012

2013

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

(number)

(number)

(1,000 head)

(1,000 head)

December 2 .....................
January ...........................
February .........................
March ..............................
April ................................
May .................................
June ................................
July .................................
August ............................
September ......................
October ...........................
November .......................

951
961
952
1,006
983
993
983
970
976
985
961
942

Total ...............................

11,663

943
951
950
987
964
971
977
971
976

9.97
9.95
9.99
10.04
10.10
10.12
10.14
10.11
10.12
10.13
10.17
10.16
10.08

10.01
10.07
10.15
10.24
10.30
10.38
10.31
10.30
10.38

9,473
9,562
9,516
10,100
9,929
10,048
9,965
9,809
9,881
9,977
9,769
9,573

9,442
9,572
9,648
10,105
9,928
10,078
10,080
10,000
10,130

117,601

1

Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
2
December preceding year.

Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 7,500 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these
estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the
survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2013, data
were collected from about 5,900 operations, 78 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic
data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded,
they were asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2013.
Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing
recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for
reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with
the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,
and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate
for reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the
previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of
the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are
available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized
through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for
consistency and reasonableness.

14

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for
selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance
and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory
estimates over the past 20 quarters is 0.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be
above or below the current estimate of 68.4 million head by more than 0.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the
difference will not exceed 1.4 percent.

Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates
[Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]
Item

Root mean
square error
(percent)

Difference between first and latest estimate

90 percent
confidence
level

Average

Smallest

Largest

(percent)

(1,000)

(1,000)

(1,000)

Years
Below latest

Above latest

(number)

(number)

All hogs and pigs ............................

0.8

1.4

467

25

980

14

6

Pig crop ..........................................

1.2

2.1

303

0

636

11

8

Next quarter ................................

1.8

3.0

41

0

111

12

8

Following quarter ........................

1.7

2.9

41

4

107

11

9

Expected farrowings

Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected]
Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch .......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570
Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ............................................................................................................ (202) 690-2424
Travis Averill – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ..................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040
Doug Bounds – Hogs and Pigs ................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106
Alissa Cowell-Mytar – Sheep and Goats .................................................................................................. (202) 720-4751
Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 690-3236
Tiffany Hora – Livestock Slaughter ......................................................................................................... (515) 284-4340
Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278

Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2013)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

15

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File Typeapplication/pdf
File TitleQuarterly Hogs and Pigs 09/27/2013
AuthorUSDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
File Modified2013-09-27
File Created2013-09-27

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