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pdfQuarterly Hogs and Pigs
ISSN: 1949-1921
Released March 26, 2020, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
United States Hog Inventory Up 4 Percent
United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2020 was 77.6 million head. This was up 4 percent from
March 1, 2019, but down 1 percent from December 1, 2019.
Breeding inventory, at 6.38 million head, was up slightly from last year, but down 1 percent from the previous quarter.
Market hog inventory, at 71.3 million head, was up 4 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.
The December 2019-February 2020 pig crop, at 34.7 million head, was up 5 percent from last year. Sows farrowing
during this period totaled 3.16 million head, up 2 percent from previous year. The sows farrowed during this quarter
represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high of 11.00 for the December
2019-February 2020 period, compared to 10.70 last year.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory - United States:
March 1
Million Head
79
77
75
73
71
69
67
65
63
61
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
United States hog producers intend to have 3.12 million sows farrow during the March-May 2020 quarter, down slightly
from the actual farrowings during the same period one year earlier, but up 2 percent from the same period two years
earlier. Intended farrowings for June-August 2020, at 3.13 million sows, are down 4 percent from the same period one
year earlier, and down 1 percent from the same period two years earlier.
The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted
for 49 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up 2 percent from the previous year.
Revisions
All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2019 through December 2019 were reviewed using final pig crop, official
slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The revision made to the December 2019 all hogs and pigs
inventory was 1.7 percent. A revision of 2.6 percent was made to the September-November 2019 pig crop. The net
revision made to the September 2019 all hogs and pigs inventory was 1.2 percent. A net revision of 3.0 percent was made
to the June-August 2019 pig crop.
Records
Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 13.
This report was approved on March 26, 2020.
Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Robert Johansson
2
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Joseph L. Parsons
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020 ......................................... 4
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020 .......................................................................... 5
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2019 and 2020 ................. 5
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 ............................................... 6
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020 .................................................... 6
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 .................................................. 7
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019 ....................................................... 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ........................................ 8
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019 ............................................. 8
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 ......................................... 9
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019 .............................................. 9
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2019 and 2020 ............... 10
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020 .................................. 10
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018-2020 ................................. 11
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
September-November 2018 and 2019................................................................................................................................... 11
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 12
Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates ................................................................................................................................. 12
Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 13
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 13
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
3
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2019 and 2020
[May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item
2019
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
March 1 inventory ....................................................................................
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................
74,661
6,349
68,313
77,629
6,375
71,254
104
100
104
Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ...............................................
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................
21,373
19,168
15,001
12,771
22,221
19,853
15,581
13,598
104
104
104
106
June 1 inventory .......................................................................................
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................
75,725
6,410
69,316
Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ...............................................
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................
22,210
19,693
14,396
13,017
September 1 inventory .............................................................................
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................
78,583
6,431
72,153
Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ...............................................
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................
23,376
21,224
14,654
12,899
December 1 inventory ..............................................................................
All hogs and pigs ..................................................................................
Kept for breeding ..............................................................................
Market ..............................................................................................
78,658
6,471
72,187
Market hogs and pigs by weight groups ...............................................
Under 50 pounds ..............................................................................
50-119 pounds .................................................................................
120-179 pounds ...............................................................................
180 pounds and over ........................................................................
22,648
20,301
15,321
13,916
4
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2018-2020
[December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item
2020 as percent of
2018
2019
2020
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
2018
2019
(percent)
(percent)
Sows farrowing ........................................
December-February .............................
March-May 2 ........................................
December-May 1 3 ................................
2,977
3,064
6,041
3,099
3,133
6,233
3,158
3,119
6,277
106
102
104
102
100
101
June-August 2 ......................................
September-November ..........................
June-November 1 .................................
3,172
3,205
6,377
3,275
3,247
6,522
3,134
99
96
Pig crop ...................................................
December-February .............................
March-May ...........................................
December-May 1 ..................................
31,497
32,556
64,053
33,163
34,454
67,617
34,734
110
105
June-August ........................................
September-November ..........................
June-November 1 .................................
34,019
34,496
68,515
36,369
36,007
72,377
(number)
(number)
(number)
Pigs per litter ...........................................
December-February .............................
March-May ...........................................
December-May ....................................
10.58
10.63
10.60
10.70
11.00
10.85
June-August ........................................
September-November ..........................
June-November ...................................
10.72
10.76
10.74
11.11
11.09
11.10
(percent)
11.00
(percent)
104
103
1
May not add due to rounding.
Intentions for 2020.
3
Actual farrowings for December 2019-February 2020 plus intentions for March-May 2020.
2
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States:
December-November 2019 and 2020
[December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Month
Sows farrowing 1
2019
2020
(1,000 head)
December ........................
January ...........................
February ..........................
March ..............................
April .................................
May .................................
June ................................
July ..................................
August .............................
September .......................
October ...........................
November ........................
1,041
1,037
1,022
1,075
1,027
1,032
1,115
1,086
1,074
1,115
1,080
1,052
Total ................................
12,755
1
Pig crop 1
Pigs per litter
2019
(1,000 head)
1,080
1,056
1,022
2020
(number)
10.72
10.68
10.71
10.85
11.01
11.13
11.02
11.10
11.20
11.00
11.10
11.17
10.98
(number)
10.98
10.95
11.07
2019
2020
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
11,153
11,070
10,939
11,662
11,310
11,482
12,294
12,048
12,027
12,262
11,989
11,757
11,854
11,564
11,316
139,994
Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
5
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State
Market
2019
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
2019
Total
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
2019
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
Colorado ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas .........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina ..............
155
560
260
1,030
170
120
580
470
450
900
155
580
250
980
180
120
560
470
440
870
100
104
96
95
106
100
97
100
98
97
645
4,690
3,940
22,670
1,880
1,110
8,220
3,080
3,150
8,100
585
4,820
3,900
23,620
1,920
1,130
8,740
3,280
3,360
8,330
91
103
99
104
102
102
106
106
107
103
800
5,250
4,200
23,700
2,050
1,230
8,800
3,550
3,600
9,000
740
5,400
4,150
24,600
2,100
1,250
9,300
3,750
3,800
9,200
93
103
99
104
102
102
106
106
106
102
Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ...........................
Utah .............................
190
450
120
245
150
80
200
450
150
285
155
80
105
100
125
116
103
100
2,460
1,720
1,150
1,595
940
670
2,600
1,810
1,210
1,745
965
870
106
105
105
109
103
130
2,650
2,170
1,270
1,840
1,090
750
2,800
2,260
1,360
2,030
1,120
950
106
104
107
110
103
127
Other States 1 ..............
419
450
108
2,293
2,369
103
2,711
2,819
104
United States ...............
6,349
6,375
100
68,313
71,254
104
74,661
77,629
104
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2019 and 2020
[Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
Under
50 pounds
State
50-119
pounds
120-179
pounds
180 pounds
and over
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
Colorado ........................
Illinois .............................
Indiana ...........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ...........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ................
290
1,415
1,040
5,510
480
330
2,590
1,555
1,060
3,190
290
1,370
980
5,920
460
340
2,830
1,520
1,140
3,210
135
1,555
1,100
7,510
440
300
2,400
560
880
1,700
110
1,605
1,100
7,530
500
305
2,560
670
905
1,810
105
1,000
920
5,630
395
225
1,890
505
690
1,590
70
1,045
950
5,640
390
230
2,020
595
710
1,700
115
720
880
4,020
565
255
1,340
460
520
1,620
115
800
870
4,530
570
255
1,330
495
605
1,610
Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas .............................
Utah ...............................
720
800
315
590
275
295
750
830
340
695
280
325
640
360
325
390
260
120
690
365
355
395
275
180
520
210
245
320
180
130
580
250
250
345
185
180
580
350
265
295
225
125
580
365
265
310
225
185
Other States 1 ................
918
941
493
498
446
441
436
488
United States .................
21,373
22,221
19,168
19,853
15,001
15,581
12,771
13,598
1
6
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State
Market
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
Total
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
Colorado ......................
Illinois ..........................
Indiana ........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas ........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina .............
155
570
250
1,040
165
120
580
460
430
910
160
590
260
1,000
175
120
570
480
460
900
103
104
104
96
106
100
98
104
107
99
605
4,730
3,700
21,460
1,865
1,070
7,820
3,040
3,070
7,990
620
4,760
4,040
22,900
1,845
1,130
8,230
3,170
3,290
8,300
102
101
109
107
99
106
105
104
107
104
760
5,300
3,950
22,500
2,030
1,190
8,400
3,500
3,500
8,900
780
5,350
4,300
23,900
2,020
1,250
8,800
3,650
3,750
9,200
103
101
109
106
100
105
105
104
107
103
Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ..........................
Utah .............................
190
460
120
240
145
80
200
445
120
265
155
80
105
97
100
110
107
100
2,460
1,690
1,170
1,440
995
450
2,550
1,715
1,100
1,605
935
750
104
101
94
111
94
167
2,650
2,150
1,290
1,680
1,140
530
2,750
2,160
1,220
1,870
1,090
830
104
100
95
111
96
157
Other States 1 ..............
405
430
106
2,356
2,376
101
2,761
2,805
102
United States ...............
6,320
6,410
101
65,911
69,316
105
72,231
75,725
105
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2018 and 2019
[Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
Under
50 pounds
State
50-119
pounds
120-179
pounds
180 pounds
and over
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
Colorado ........................
Illinois ............................
Indiana ..........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ..........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ...............
290
1,525
935
5,510
410
300
2,560
1,500
1,050
3,360
295
1,465
1,090
5,920
460
320
2,630
1,590
1,135
3,370
120
1,435
1,150
7,030
515
290
2,380
590
840
1,840
130
1,530
1,180
7,520
490
320
2,590
530
875
1,830
95
930
780
5,200
375
220
1,760
475
600
1,440
100
945
840
5,430
385
230
1,730
525
630
1,500
100
840
835
3,720
565
260
1,120
475
580
1,350
95
820
930
4,030
510
260
1,280
525
650
1,600
Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas ............................
Utah ...............................
670
785
310
510
300
175
730
800
305
580
285
325
630
400
355
380
275
90
660
365
345
430
235
150
580
215
250
270
165
90
590
220
235
290
145
140
580
290
255
280
255
95
570
330
215
305
270
135
Other States 1 ................
891
910
526
513
453
461
485
492
United States .................
21,081
22,210
18,846
19,693
13,898
14,396
12,085
13,017
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State
Market
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
Total
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
Colorado ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas .........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina ..............
155
570
250
1,040
170
120
580
465
430
910
160
590
250
1,010
175
120
580
490
450
900
103
104
100
97
103
100
100
105
105
99
625
4,880
3,950
22,460
1,860
1,100
7,920
3,285
3,020
8,390
630
4,910
4,150
23,990
1,915
1,120
8,620
3,160
3,350
8,700
101
101
105
107
103
102
109
96
111
104
780
5,450
4,200
23,500
2,030
1,220
8,500
3,750
3,450
9,300
790
5,500
4,400
25,000
2,090
1,240
9,200
3,650
3,800
9,600
101
101
105
106
103
102
108
97
110
103
Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ...........................
Utah .............................
190
460
120
245
145
80
200
460
120
265
155
80
105
100
100
108
107
100
2,360
1,820
1,190
1,475
985
525
2,600
1,790
1,140
1,735
1,045
880
110
98
96
118
106
168
2,550
2,280
1,310
1,720
1,130
605
2,800
2,250
1,260
2,000
1,200
960
110
99
96
116
106
159
Other States 1 ..............
400
426
106
2,381
2,418
102
2,781
2,843
102
United States ...............
6,330
6,431
102
68,226
72,153
106
74,556
78,583
105
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2018 and 2019
[Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under
50 pounds
50-119
pounds
120-179
pounds
180 pounds
and over
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
Colorado ...........................
Illinois ................................
Indiana ..............................
Iowa ..................................
Kansas ..............................
Michigan ...........................
Minnesota .........................
Missouri ............................
Nebraska ..........................
North Carolina ...................
305
1,570
990
5,875
445
330
2,695
1,605
1,010
3,450
305
1,510
1,110
6,360
490
310
2,950
1,530
1,190
3,440
150
1,580
1,240
7,675
530
290
2,455
640
865
2,000
130
1,650
1,230
8,010
510
310
2,850
590
890
2,140
95
890
870
5,210
385
220
1,700
530
570
1,520
95
900
860
5,520
375
225
1,710
545
670
1,580
75
840
850
3,700
500
260
1,070
510
575
1,420
100
850
950
4,100
540
275
1,110
495
600
1,540
Ohio ..................................
Oklahoma .........................
Pennsylvania ....................
South Dakota ....................
Texas ................................
Utah ..................................
650
845
325
520
310
220
780
805
315
655
345
355
640
385
340
405
275
105
690
465
330
450
290
175
500
230
270
275
150
105
540
225
265
305
185
175
570
360
255
275
250
95
590
295
230
325
225
175
Other States 1 ...................
895
926
524
514
466
479
495
499
United States ....................
22,040
23,376
20,099
21,224
13,986
14,654
12,100
12,899
1
8
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019
[May not add due to rounding]
Breeding
State
Market
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
Total
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
Colorado ......................
Illinois ..........................
Indiana ........................
Iowa .............................
Kansas ........................
Michigan ......................
Minnesota ....................
Missouri .......................
Nebraska .....................
North Carolina .............
155
560
260
1,020
170
120
570
470
440
900
155
590
250
1,010
180
120
570
490
440
900
100
105
96
99
106
100
100
104
100
100
595
4,840
3,990
22,580
1,880
1,060
8,530
3,180
3,110
8,300
605
4,860
4,200
23,990
1,980
1,120
8,830
2,860
3,410
8,500
102
100
105
106
105
106
104
90
110
102
750
5,400
4,250
23,600
2,050
1,180
9,100
3,650
3,550
9,200
760
5,450
4,450
25,000
2,160
1,240
9,400
3,350
3,850
9,400
101
101
105
106
105
105
103
92
108
102
Ohio .............................
Oklahoma ....................
Pennsylvania ...............
South Dakota ...............
Texas ..........................
Utah .............................
200
445
120
255
150
80
210
450
140
280
155
80
105
101
117
110
103
100
2,350
1,755
1,190
1,495
960
630
2,740
1,840
1,190
1,730
985
880
117
105
100
116
103
140
2,550
2,200
1,310
1,750
1,110
710
2,950
2,290
1,330
2,010
1,140
960
116
104
102
115
103
135
Other States 1 ..............
411
451
110
2,300
2,467
107
2,710
2,918
108
United States ...............
6,326
6,471
102
68,745
72,187
105
75,070
78,658
105
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2018 and 2019
[Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
Under
50 pounds
State
50-119
pounds
120-179
pounds
180 pounds
and over
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
2018
2019
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
Colorado ........................
Illinois ............................
Indiana ..........................
Iowa ...............................
Kansas ..........................
Michigan ........................
Minnesota ......................
Missouri .........................
Nebraska .......................
North Carolina ...............
270
1,555
1,035
5,650
455
320
2,880
1,625
1,065
3,290
280
1,485
1,130
6,040
475
340
2,850
1,270
1,200
3,400
125
1,525
1,225
7,450
515
280
2,510
575
805
1,780
130
1,580
1,170
7,620
475
310
2,670
570
875
1,930
85
910
820
5,260
380
210
1,830
510
610
1,600
100
975
930
5,750
420
220
1,860
540
650
1,610
115
850
910
4,220
530
250
1,310
470
630
1,630
95
820
970
4,580
610
250
1,450
480
685
1,560
Ohio ...............................
Oklahoma ......................
Pennsylvania .................
South Dakota .................
Texas ............................
Utah ...............................
670
755
335
575
270
240
840
780
305
680
300
320
610
390
335
365
260
125
760
485
340
400
275
185
520
280
265
285
170
135
550
260
275
330
170
185
550
330
255
270
260
130
590
315
270
320
240
190
Other States 1 ................
868
953
494
526
453
496
485
491
United States .................
21,858
22,648
19,369
20,301
14,323
15,321
13,195
13,916
1
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
9
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
December-February 2019 and 2020
[December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State
2019
Pig crop 1
Pigs per litter
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
2019
2020
2019
2020
2020 as
percent
of 2019
(percent)
(number)
(number)
(percent)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
Colorado .......................
Illinois ............................
Indiana ..........................
Iowa ..............................
Kansas ..........................
Michigan .......................
Minnesota .....................
Missouri ........................
Nebraska ......................
North Carolina ...............
78
270
125
530
86
56
300
245
185
455
72
290
120
520
87
57
300
250
190
450
92
107
96
98
101
102
100
102
103
99
9.20
10.65
10.20
11.20
10.60
10.90
11.60
10.55
11.55
9.90
10.30
10.95
10.60
11.25
10.40
11.10
11.85
11.00
11.60
10.50
718
2,876
1,275
5,936
912
610
3,480
2,585
2,137
4,505
742
3,176
1,272
5,850
905
633
3,555
2,750
2,204
4,725
103
110
100
99
99
104
102
106
103
105
Ohio ..............................
Oklahoma .....................
Pennsylvania ................
South Dakota ................
Texas ............................
Utah ..............................
93
205
55
119
66
40
100
210
53
141
69
40
108
102
96
118
105
100
10.70
10.65
10.80
11.85
10.20
9.20
11.00
10.40
11.00
12.10
10.35
11.00
995
2,183
594
1,410
673
368
1,100
2,184
583
1,706
714
440
111
100
98
121
106
120
Other States 2 ...............
191
209
109
9.96
10.49
1,906
2,195
115
United States ................
3,099
3,158
102
10.70
11.00
33,163
34,734
105
1
Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold.
2
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2018-2020
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State
2018
2019
Pig crop 1
Pigs per litter
2020 3
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
2020 as
percent
of 2019
2018
2019
(percent)
(number)
(number)
2018
2019
(1,000 head) (1,000 head)
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(percent)
Colorado ...................
Illinois ........................
Indiana ......................
Iowa ..........................
Kansas ......................
Michigan ...................
Minnesota .................
Missouri ....................
Nebraska ..................
North Carolina ...........
75
275
110
550
76
52
305
240
190
455
78
275
120
530
86
54
295
242
200
460
74
280
120
510
91
58
275
250
190
450
95
102
100
96
106
107
93
103
95
98
9.60
10.70
10.30
11.10
10.10
10.90
11.20
10.20
11.30
10.10
10.70
10.75
10.70
11.45
10.70
11.00
11.85
10.65
11.50
10.50
720
2,943
1,133
6,105
768
567
3,416
2,448
2,147
4,596
835
2,956
1,284
6,069
920
594
3,496
2,577
2,300
4,830
116
100
113
99
120
105
102
105
107
105
Ohio ..........................
Oklahoma .................
Pennsylvania ............
South Dakota ............
Texas ........................
Utah ..........................
88
205
50
110
64
34
98
215
54
123
66
43
103
205
53
140
69
41
105
95
98
114
105
95
11.00
10.70
10.50
11.70
9.80
7.60
11.20
10.55
11.10
11.95
10.50
10.70
968
2,194
525
1,287
627
258
1,098
2,268
599
1,470
693
460
113
103
114
114
111
178
Other States 2 ...........
185
194
210
108
10.04
10.32
1,854
2,005
108
United States ............
3,064
3,133
3,119
100
10.63
11.00
32,556
34,454
106
1
2
3
Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold.
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Intentions.
10
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2018-2020
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows farrowing
State
2018
2018
2019
(percent)
(number)
(number)
2020 3
2019
Pig crop 1
Pigs per litter
2020 as
percent
of 2019
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
2018
2019
(1,000 head) (1,000 head)
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(percent)
Colorado ....................
Illinois ........................
Indiana ......................
Iowa ...........................
Kansas ......................
Michigan ....................
Minnesota ..................
Missouri .....................
Nebraska ...................
North Carolina ...........
79
265
125
575
87
57
300
255
185
485
79
290
120
550
90
55
300
260
194
500
74
280
130
510
91
54
270
255
190
450
94
97
108
93
101
98
90
98
98
90
9.50
10.65
10.50
11.20
10.90
10.80
11.15
10.45
11.30
10.30
10.70
10.95
11.00
11.35
10.90
11.10
11.95
11.10
11.65
10.50
751
2,822
1,313
6,440
948
616
3,345
2,665
2,091
4,996
845
3,176
1,320
6,243
981
611
3,585
2,886
2,260
5,250
113
113
101
97
103
99
107
108
108
105
Ohio ...........................
Oklahoma ..................
Pennsylvania .............
South Dakota .............
Texas ........................
Utah ...........................
89
210
51
117
68
39
102
230
51
129
71
44
100
210
51
139
70
41
98
91
100
108
99
93
10.90
10.65
10.70
11.10
10.10
11.00
11.30
10.90
11.30
11.85
10.90
11.00
970
2,237
546
1,299
687
429
1,153
2,507
576
1,529
774
484
119
112
105
118
113
113
Other States 2 ............
185
210
219
105
10.05
10.44
1,864
2,189
117
United States .............
3,172
3,275
3,134
96
10.72
11.11
34,019
36,369
107
1
Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold.
2
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
3
Intentions.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States:
September-November 2018 and 2019
[May not add due to rounding]
Sows Farrowing
Pig crop 1
Pigs per litter
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
2018
2019
2018
2019
2019 as
percent
of 2018
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
(number)
(number)
(1,000 head)
(1,000 head)
(percent)
Colorado .......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Iowa ..............................
Kansas .........................
Michigan .......................
Minnesota .....................
Missouri ........................
Nebraska ......................
North Carolina ..............
75
280
130
570
85
54
310
255
195
475
76
285
125
540
92
56
305
260
195
470
101
102
96
95
108
104
98
102
100
99
9.60
10.65
10.60
11.20
10.90
10.50
11.40
10.60
11.45
10.15
10.60
10.95
10.50
11.35
10.75
10.85
11.85
11.10
11.70
10.55
720
2,982
1,378
6,384
927
567
3,534
2,703
2,233
4,821
806
3,121
1,313
6,129
989
608
3,614
2,886
2,282
4,959
112
105
95
96
107
107
102
107
102
103
Ohio ..............................
Oklahoma .....................
Pennsylvania ................
South Dakota ................
Texas ...........................
Utah ..............................
99
205
52
127
67
37
104
220
57
139
69
41
105
107
110
109
103
111
10.60
10.60
11.00
11.65
10.40
10.00
11.40
10.85
11.20
12.00
10.40
11.50
1,049
2,173
572
1,480
697
370
1,186
2,387
638
1,668
718
472
113
110
112
113
103
128
Other States 2 ...............
189
213
113
10.15
10.47
1,906
2,231
117
United States ................
3,205
3,247
101
10.76
11.09
34,496
36,007
104
State
1
Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold.
2
Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
11
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 5,100 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these
estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the
survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March 2020, data were
collected from about 3,600 operations, 70.1 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic
data reporting, mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were
asked to report inventories as of March 1, 2020.
Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing
recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for
reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with
the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,
and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for
reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the
previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of
the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are
available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized
through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for
consistency and reasonableness.
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for
selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance
and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory
estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be
above or below the current estimate of 77.6 million head by more than 1.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the
difference will not exceed 1.7 percent.
Reliability of Quarterly Hog Estimates
[Based on data for the previous 20 quarters]
Item
Root mean
square error
(percent)
Difference between first and latest estimate
90 percent
confidence
level
Average
Smallest
Largest
(percent)
(1,000)
(1,000)
(1,000)
Quarters
Below latest
Above latest
(number)
(number)
All hogs and pigs ............................
1.0
1.7
630
60
1,365
12
8
Pig crop .........................................
1.7
2.9
460
13
1,063
13
7
Second intentions ......................
2.2
3.8
53
2
129
16
4
First intentions ............................
2.3
4.0
58
8
145
15
5
Expected farrowings
12
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present
[This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]
Item
Estimate
Record high
Series began
(1,000 head)
(year)
(year)
All hogs and pigs
March 1 ..........................................................
June 1 .............................................................
September 1 ...................................................
December 1 ....................................................
77,629
75,725
78,583
83,741
2020
2019
2019
1943
1988
1964
1988
1866
Market
March 1 ..........................................................
June 1 .............................................................
September 1 ...................................................
December 1 ....................................................
71,254
69,316
72,153
72,187
2020
2019
2019
2019
1988
1964
1988
1963
Pig crop
December-February1 ......................................
March-May ......................................................
June-August ...................................................
September-November .....................................
34,734
34,454
36,369
36,007
2020
2019
2019
2019
1970
1970
1970
1970
(number)
Pigs per litter
December-February1 ......................................
March-May ......................................................
June-August ...................................................
September-November .....................................
1
(year)
11.00
11.00
11.11
11.09
(year)
2020
2019
2019
2019
1970
1970
1970
1970
December preceding year.
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].
Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 692-0069
Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424
Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632
Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585
Heidi Lanouette – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ................................................................................................. (202) 720-3040
Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278
Suzanne Richards – Dairy Products ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-4448
Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (March 2020)
USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
13
Access to NASS Reports
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USDA NASS Data Users’ Meeting
Virtual Meeting
Tuesday, April 21, 2020
USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will hold a virtual meeting for users of U.S. domestic and
international agriculture data. NASS is organizing the 2020 Data Users’ Meeting in cooperation with five other
USDA agencies – Agricultural Marketing Service, Economic Research Service, Farm Service Agency, Foreign
Agricultural Service, and World Agricultural Outlook Board – and the Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade
Division. Agency representatives will provide updates on recent and pending changes in statistical and
information programs important to agriculture, answer questions, and welcome comments and input from data
users.
For registration details or additional information about the Data Users’ Meeting, see the meeting page on the
NASS website (https://www.nass.usda.gov/Education_and_Outreach/Meeting/index.php). Contact Vernita
Murray (NASS) at 202-690-8141 or [email protected] or Patricia Snipe (NASS) at 202-720-2248 or
[email protected] for information.
| File Type | application/pdf |
| File Title | Quarterly Hogs and Pigs 03/26/2020 |
| Author | USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service |
| File Modified | 2020-03-26 |
| File Created | 2020-03-26 |