Regulatory Analysis for the Final Rule:
Approval of American Society of Mechanical Engineers Code Cases
NRC-2017-0025; RIN 3150-AJ94
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Office of Nuclear Material Safety and Safeguards
Division of Rulemaking, Environmental, and Financial Support
ENTER DATE WHEN READY TO ISSUE
This final rule recommends approval, through the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) regulations, of the latest revisions to the NRC regulatory guides (RGs) listing American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Code Cases for the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code and Code for Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plants, Division 1, OM Code: Section IST. These are Code Cases that the NRC finds acceptable or acceptable with NRC-specified conditions (“conditionally acceptable”). The NRC is issuing three RG revisions that identify the ASME Code Cases approved by the NRC:
RG 1.84, “Design, Fabrication, and Materials Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section III,” Revision 39, which would supersede the incorporation by reference of RG 1.84, Revision 38, issued October 2019
RG 1.147, “Inservice Inspection Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section XI, Division 1,” Revision 20, which would supersede the incorporation by reference of RG 1.147, Revision 19, issued October 2019
RG 1.192, “Operation and Maintenance Code Case Acceptability, ASME OM Code,” Revision 4, which would supersede the incorporation by reference of RG 1.192, Revision 3, issued October 2019
This regulatory action also is incorporating by reference NUREG-2228, “Weld Residual Stress Finite Element Analysis Validation: Part II—Proposed Validation Procedure,” that is associated with a condition in one of the regulatory guides. NUREG-2228 provides the procedure for validating the weld residual stress analysis methodology associated with ASME Code Case N-847.
This document presents the regulatory analysis of the final rule for the three RGs that list the Code Cases the NRC is approving. To improve the credibility of its cost estimates for this regulatory action, the staff conducted (1) an uncertainty analysis to consider the effects of input uncertainty on the cost estimate and (2) a sensitivity analysis to identify the variables that most affect the cost estimate (i.e., the cost drivers).
Contents
Section Page
Abbreviations and Acronyms xiii
2. Statement of the Problem and Objective 1
2.2 Statement of the Problem 2
3. Identification and Preliminary Analysis of Alternative Approaches 3
3.1 Alternative 1: No Action 3
3.2 Alternative 2: Incorporate by Reference NRC‑Approved ASME BPV and OM Code Cases 4
4. Estimation and Evaluation of Costs and Benefits 5
4.1 Identification of Affected Attributes 5
4.2.5 Cost and Benefit Inflators 9
4.2.10 NRC Code Cases Incorporated by Reference 12
5.1 Public Health (Accident) 21
5.2 Occupational Health (Accident and Routine) 21
5.9 Improvements in Knowledge 25
5.11.1 National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 26
5.12.1 Uncertainty Analysis Assumptions 26
5.12.2 Uncertainty Analysis Results 29
5.12.3 Summary of Uncertainty Analysis 32
5.14.1 Quantified Net Benefit 33
5.14.2 Nonquantified Benefits 33
5.15 Safety Goal Evaluation 35
5.15.4 Safety Goal Evaluation Result 37
5.16 Results for the Committee to Review Generic Requirements 37
Figure Page
Figure 1 Net Industry Costs (7-percent NPV)—Alternative 2 29
Figure 2 Net NRC Costs (7-percent NPV)—Alternative 2 29
Table Page
Table 2 Position Titles and Occupations 10
Table 3 Conditioned Code Cases Under Consideration 12
Table 4 Industry Operation—Averted Costs for Requests 23
Table 6 NRC Operation Costs—Averted Cost for Requests 25
Table 9 Uncertainty Analysis Variables 28
Table 10 Descriptive Statistics for Uncertainty Results (7-Percent NPV) 30
Table 12 Specific CRGR Information Requirements for Regulatory Analysis 36
ADAMS Agencywide Documents Access and Management System
ANII Authorized Nuclear Inservice Inspector
ASME American Society of Mechanical Engineers
ASME Codes ASME BPV and OM Codes
BLS Bureau of Labor Statistics
BPV Boiler and Pressure Vessel
BPV Code ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code
BWR boiling-water reactor
CFR Code of Federal Regulations
CPI-U Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
CRGR Committee to Review Generic Requirements
dpa displacement(s) per atom
EWR excavation and weld repair
FR Federal Register
ISI inservice inspection
IST inservice testing
ksi one thousand pounds per square inch
LOE level of effort
NPV net present value
NRC U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
NTTAA National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995
NUREG NRC technical report
OM operation and maintenance
OM Code ASME Code for Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plants Division 1, OM Code: Section IST
OMB U.S. Office of Management and Budget
PERT program evaluation and review technique
RG regulatory guide
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is amending its regulations to incorporate by reference the latest revisions to three NRC regulatory guides (RGs) approving new, revised, and reaffirmed Code Cases published by the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME). The NRC is incorporating by reference the following three RGs:
RG 1.84, “Design, Fabrication, and Materials Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section III,” Revision 39
RG 1.147, “Inservice Inspection Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section XI, Division 1,” Revision 20
RG 1.192, “Operation and Maintenance Code Case Acceptability, ASME OM Code,” Revision 4
This regulatory action also is incorporating by reference NUREG-2228, “Weld Residual Stress Finite Element Analysis Validation: Part II—Proposed Validation Procedure,” that is associated with a condition in one of the regulatory guides. NUREG-2228 provides the procedure for validating the weld residual stress analysis methodology associated with ASME Code Case N-847.
This regulatory action allows nuclear power plant licensees and applicants for construction permits, operating licenses, combined licenses, standard design certifications, standard design approvals, and manufacturing licenses to voluntarily use the ASME Code Cases newly listed in these RGs as alternatives to engineering standards for the construction, inservice inspection, and inservice testing of nuclear power plant components.
The analysis presented in this document examines the averted costs (i.e., benefits) and costs of the final rule and implementing guidance relative to the baseline case (i.e., the no‑action alternative).
The NRC staff has made the following key findings:
Final Rule Analysis. The final rule would result in a cost-justified change based on a net averted cost (benefit) to the industry that ranges from $3.92 million using a 7‑percent discount rate (net present value (NPV)) to $4.45 million using a 3‑percent discount rate. Compared to the regulatory baseline, the NRC would realize a net averted cost (i.e., benefit) that ranges from $1.94 million using a 7‑percent discount rate to $2.22 million using a 3‑percent discount rate. Table ES‑1 shows the net costs and benefits to the industry and the NRC of the final rule. The final rule alternative would result in net averted costs to the industry and the NRC ranging from $5.86 million using a 7‑percent discount rate to $6.67 million using a 3‑percent discount rate.
Table ES-1 Net Costs and Benefits for Alternative 2
Nonquantified Benefits. Other benefits of the final rule include the NRC’s continued ability to meet its goal of ensuring the protection of public health and safety and the environment through the approval of revised and new code cases of the ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code and ASME Code for Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plants, Division 1, OM Code: Section IST, which allow the use of the most current methods and technology. The final rule is consistent with the provisions of the National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 and implementing guidance in U.S. Office of Management and Budget Circular A‑119, “Federal Participation in the Development and Use of Voluntary Consensus Standards and in Conformity Assessment Activities,” dated January 27, 2016 (OMB, 2016), which encourage Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to de novo agency development of standards affecting an industry. Finally, the ASME code consensus process is an important part of the regulatory framework.
Uncertainty Analysis. The regulatory analysis describes a Monte Carlo simulation that shows the mean net benefit for this final rule is $5.86 million, with a greater than 99‑percent confidence that the rule is net cost beneficial. A reasonable inference from the uncertainty analysis is that proceeding with the final rule represents an efficient use of resources and averted costs to the NRC and the industry because the minimum calculated uncertainty result is a positive value. The hours for relief and alternative request preparation and submission by the industry is the factor responsible for the largest variation in averted costs.
Decision Rationale. When comparing the final rule to the no‑action baseline, the staff concludes that the final rule is justified from a quantitative standpoint because its provisions would result in $5.86 million of net averted costs (i.e., net benefits) to the NRC and the industry. In addition, the staff concludes that the final rule is justified when considering nonquantified costs and benefits, because the significance of the nonquantified benefits outweighs those of the nonquantified costs.
This document presents the regulatory analysis of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) final rule for the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Code Cases (Agencywide Documents Access and Management System (ADAMS) Accession No. ML21196A096) and the following three associated regulatory guides (RGs):
RG 1.84, “Design, Fabrication, and Materials Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section III,” Revision 39 (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A225)
RG 1.147, “Inservice Inspection Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section XI, Division 1,” Revision 20 (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A222)
RG 1.192, “Operation and Maintenance Code Case Acceptability, ASME OM Code,” Revision 4 (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A223)
With this regulatory action, the NRC is incorporating by reference the latest revisions to the three RGs listed above, thereby approving the newly identified ASME Code Cases. This regulatory action also is incorporating by reference NUREG-2228, “Weld Residual Stress Finite Element Analysis Validation: Part II—Proposed Validation Procedure,” that is associated with a condition in one of the regulatory guides. NUREG-2228 provides the procedure for validating the weld residual stress analysis methodology associated with ASME Code Case N-847.
ASME develops and publishes its Boiler and Pressure Vessel (BPV) Code, which contains requirements for the design, construction, and inservice inspection (ISI) examination of nuclear power plant components, and its Code for Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plants, Division 1, OM Code: Section IST (OM Code),1 which contains requirements for inservice testing (IST) of nuclear power plant components. In response to BPV and OM Code user requests, ASME develops Code Cases that provide voluntary alternatives to BPV and OM Code requirements under special circumstances.
The NRC approves the ASME BPV and OM Codes in Section 50.55a of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR), “Codes and standards,” through the process of incorporation by reference. As such, each provision of the ASME Codes incorporated by reference into and mandated by 10 CFR 50.55a constitutes a legally binding NRC requirement imposed by rule. As noted previously, ASME Code Cases mostly represent alternative approaches for complying with provisions of the ASME BPV and OM Codes. Accordingly, the NRC periodically amends 10 CFR 50.55a to incorporate by reference the NRC RGs listing approved ASME Code Cases that may be used as voluntary alternatives to the ASME BPV and OM Codes.
This final rule is the latest in a series of rules that incorporate by reference new versions of several RGs identifying new, revised, and reaffirmed2 and unconditionally or conditionally acceptable ASME Code Cases that the NRC approves for use. In developing these RGs, the staff reviews ASME BPV and OM Code Cases, determines the acceptability of each Code Case, and publishes its findings in the RGs. The staff revises the RGs periodically as ASME publishes new Code Cases. The NRC incorporates by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a the RGs listing acceptable and conditionally acceptable ASME Code Cases. The NRC published a final rule (85 FR 14736; March 16, 2020) that incorporated by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a the most recent versions of RG 1.84, Revision 38 (NRC, 2019a); RG 1.147, Revision 19 (NRC, 2019b); and RG 1.192, Revision 3 (NRC, 2019c), all issued October 2019.
ASME may revise Code Cases for many reasons, such as incorporating operational examination and testing experience or updating material requirements based on research results. On occasion, an inaccuracy in an equation is discovered, or an examination as practiced is found to be inadequate in detecting a newly discovered degradation mechanism. Therefore, it follows that, when a licensee initially implements a Code Case, 10 CFR 50.55a requires it to use the most recent version of that Code Case as listed in the approved or conditionally approved tables in 10 CFR 50.55a. A request to use a previous Code Case could be submitted and approved as an alternative under 10 CFR 50.55a(z); the NRC evaluates such requests on a case-by-case basis.
ASME BPV Code Section III applies only to new construction (i.e., the edition and addenda to be used in the construction of a plant are selected based on the date of the construction permit, and licensees are not required to later update their Section III code of record). If a licensee implements an ASME BPV Code Section III Code Case and if the NRC incorporates by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a a later version of the Code Case, that licensee may use either version of the Code Case.
Licensee programs under ASME BPV Code Section XI ISI and ASME OM Code IST are updated every 10 years to the latest edition3 and addenda of ASME BPV Code Section XI and OM Code that were incorporated by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a and in effect 18 months before the start of the next inspection interval. Licensees that were using an earlier revision of a Code Case before the effective date of the NRC’s final rule incorporating its revision may continue to use the previous version for the remainder of the 120‑month ISI or IST interval. This relieves licensees of the costs of having to update their ISI or IST program each time the NRC incorporates a revised Code Case. In their subsequent ISI or IST interval, licensees’ code of record updates must also update any Code Cases they chose to use or apply for a Code Case request under 10 CFR 50.55a(z).
The objective of this regulatory action is to incorporate by reference the latest revisions to three RGs that list Code Cases published by ASME and approved by the NRC:
RG 1.84, Revision 39
RG 1.147, Revision 20
RG 1.192, Revision 4
These revisions supersede the incorporation by reference of RG 1.84, Revision 38 (NRC, 2019a); RG 1.147, Revision 19 (NRC, 2019b); and RG 1.192, Revision 3 (NRC, 2019c). This regulatory action also is incorporating by reference NUREG-2228, which provides the procedure for validating the weld residual stress analysis methodology associated with ASME Code Case N-847. This regulatory action (1) improves the effectiveness of future licensing actions, (2) is consistent with the provisions of the National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (NTTAA) that encourage Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to de novo agency development of standards affecting an industry, and (3) is consistent with the agency policy of evaluating the latest version of consensus standards already approved by the NRC in terms of their suitability for endorsement by regulation or RG.
The NRC has identified two alternatives to this action:
Alternative 1: Take no action (i.e., status quo, regulatory baseline).
Alternative 2: Through rulemaking, incorporate by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a the NRC‑approved ASME BPV Code Cases in RG 1.84, Revision 39, and RG 1.147, Revision 20, the ASME OM Code Cases in RG 1.192, Revision 4, and NUREG-2228.
The no‑action alternative (status quo, regulatory baseline) is a nonrulemaking alternative. The no‑action alternative would not revise the NRC’s regulations to incorporate by reference the latest revisions to these three RGs and would not make conforming changes to 10 CFR 50.55a to comply with guidance from the Office of the Federal Register for incorporating by reference multiple standards into regulations. The no‑action alternative would likely result in licensees and applicants requesting and receiving NRC approval under 10 CFR 50.55a(z) to use alternatives each time they want to use these ASME Code Cases. The NRC does not recommend this alternative for the following reasons:
Licensees and applicants would continue to submit requests for alternatives to apply Code Cases under 10 CFR 50.55a(z) because the NRC has not approved those Code Cases in the RGs and has not incorporated them by reference in 10 CFR 50.55a. This process would continue to impose a regulatory cost on licensees, applicants, and the NRC.
Public confidence in the NRC as an effective regulator may be reduced because ASME periodically publishes, revises, and annuls its Code Cases. Under Alternative 1, outdated material and possibly inaccurate information would remain incorporated by reference into the Code of Federal Regulations.
This alternative does not meet the intent of the NTTAA, which encourages Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to their de novo development of standards affecting an industry.
Alternative 2 would incorporate by reference the latest revisions to the RGs listing ASME Code Cases that are newly approved by the NRC. It would allow licensees and applicants to implement these ASME Code Cases and their conditions and modifications, if any, without seeking prior NRC approval. This alternative continues the agency’s use of periodic rulemakings to incorporate by reference in 10 CFR 50.55a the latest RGs that list NRC approved alternatives to the provisions of the ASME BPV and OM Codes.
The NRC recommends the rulemaking alternative for the following reasons:
This alternative reduces the regulatory cost on applicants or holders of licenses for nuclear power plants by eliminating the need to submit plant-specific requests for alternatives in accordance with 10 CFR 50.55a(z), and it reduces the need for the NRC to review those submittals.
This alternative meets the NRC’s goal of ensuring the protection of public health and safety and the environment by continuing to provide NRC approval of new, revised, or reaffirmed ASME Code Cases, which would allow the use of the most current methods and technology.
This alternative supports the NRC’s goal of maintaining an open regulatory process by informing the public about the process and by giving the public the opportunity to participate in it.
This alternative supports the NRC’s commitment to participating in the national consensus standard process through the approval of these ASME Code Cases, and it conforms to NTTAA requirements.
This alternative is quantitatively cost beneficial. Section 5 of this analysis discusses the costs and benefits of this alternative relative to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1).
This section presents the process for evaluating the costs and benefits expected to result from Alternative 2 compared to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1). All costs and benefits are monetized when possible. The net costs and benefits are then summed to determine whether the difference between the costs and benefits results in a positive benefit. In some cases, costs and benefits are not monetized because meaningful quantification is not possible.
This section identifies the components of the public and private sectors, commonly referred to as attributes, that the NRC staff expects to be affected by Alternative 2 (the rulemaking alternative identified in Section 3.2). Alternative 2 would apply to licensees and applicants for nuclear power plants and nuclear power plant design certifications. The NRC believes that nuclear power plant licensees would be the primary beneficiaries. The staff developed an inventory of the affected attributes using the list in NUREG/BR‑0058, “Regulatory Analysis Guidelines of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission,” draft Revision 5, issued January 2020 (NRC, 2020a).
The rule would affect the following attributes:
Public Health (Accident). This attribute accounts for expected changes in radiation exposure to the public caused by changes in accident frequencies or accident consequences associated with Alternative 2 (i.e., delta risk relative to Alternative 1). Compared to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1), Alternative 2 meets the NRC’s goal of ensuring the protection of public health and safety and the environment by continuing to approve new ASME Code Cases that allow the use of the most current methods and technology and that may decrease the likelihood of an accident and, therefore, decrease the overall risk to public health.
Occupational Health (Accident). This attribute measures immediate and longterm health effects experienced by site workers because of changes in accident frequency or consequences associated with Alternative 2 (i.e., delta risk). A decrease in worker radiological exposure is a decrease in risk (i.e., a benefit); an increase in worker exposures is an increase in risk (i.e., a negative benefit). The use of ASME Code Cases may decrease the incremental risk to occupational health following an accident, but this effect is not easily quantifiable. For example, advances in ISI and IST may lead to an incremental decrease in the frequency of an accident, resulting in averted worker postaccident radiological exposure when compared to the regulatory baseline.
Occupational Health (Routine). This attribute accounts for radiological exposures to workers during normal facility operations (i.e., nonaccident situations). The staff expects that licensees’ voluntary use of NRC-approved Code Cases would reduce occupational radiation exposure in a positive, but not easily quantifiable, manner. For example, the staff expects that the use of the approved Code Cases would reduce worker radiological exposures during routine inspections or testing when compared to the regulatory baseline.
NRC Implementation. This attribute accounts for the projected net economic effect on the NRC to place the alternative into operation. To implement Alternative 2, the NRC incurs a cost in relation to Alternative 1 (i.e., regulatory baseline) for developing the proposed and final rule and updating corresponding guidance in RG 1.84, RG 1.147, and RG 1.192. These costs are sunk at the end of the final rule stage, which is when this regulatory analysis is published.
Industry Operation. This attribute accounts for the projected net economic effect on all affected licensees caused by routine and recurring activities required by Alternative 2. Under Alternative 2, licensees of nuclear power plants would submit fewer Code Case requests under 10 CFR 50.55a(z), which would provide a net benefit (i.e., averted cost) to the licensees.
NRC Operation. This attribute accounts for the projected net economic effect on the NRC after the action is taken. If a licensee or applicant wants to use an ASME Code Case that the NRC has not approved, it will typically request, under 10 CFR 50.55a(z), permission to use the ASME Code Case through a submittal. This submittal requires additional NRC staff time to evaluate the Code Case to determine its acceptability and whether any limitations or modifications should apply. Under Alternative 2, these Code Case alternative requests would be reduced, resulting in a net benefit (i.e., averted cost) to the NRC.
Improvements in Knowledge. This attribute accounts for improvements in knowledge by permitting licensees to use advances in ISI and IST. Such advances may also result in the earlier identification of material or equipment degradation that, if undetected, could cause further degradation that could eventually lead to a plant transient or the unavailability of plant equipment to respond to a plant transient.
Regulatory Efficiency. This attribute accounts for regulatory and compliance improvements resulting from the implementation of Alternative 2 compared to Alternative 1. Alternative 2 would increase regulatory efficiency because licensees and applicants that wish to use NRCapproved ASME Code Cases would not require 10 CFR 50.55a(z) alternative requests. Further, Alternative 2 is consistent with NTTAA provisions that encourage Federal agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to their de novo development of standards affecting an industry. Alternative 2 is consistent with the NRC’s policy of evaluating the latest version of consensus standards in terms of their suitability for endorsement by regulations and RGs. In addition, Alternative 2 is consistent with the NRC’s goal to harmonize its regulations with international standards to improve regulatory efficiency for both the NRC and international standards groups.
Attributes with No Effects. Attributes that are not expected to contribute to the results under either of the alternatives include industry implementation; public health (routine); offsite property; onsite property; other government, general public, safeguards, and security considerations; and environmental considerations addressing Section 102(2) of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969.
This section describes the process used to evaluate costs and benefits associated with the alternatives. The benefits include any desirable changes in affected attributes (e.g., monetary savings, improved safety, improved security). The costs include any undesirable changes in affected attributes (e.g., monetary costs, increased exposures).
Of the eight affected attributes, the analysis quantitatively evaluates three: industry operation, NRC implementation, and NRC operation. Quantitative analysis requires a baseline characterization of the affected society, including factors such as the number of affected entities, the nature of the activities currently performed, and the types of systems and procedures that licensees or applicants would implement, or would no longer implement, because of the alternatives. Where possible, the staff calculated costs for these three attributes using three-point estimates to quantify uncertainty. The detailed cost tables used in this regulatory analysis are included in the individual sections for each of the provisions. The staff evaluated the remaining five attributes qualitatively because the benefits relating to consistent policy application and improvements in ISI and IST techniques are not easily quantifiable or because the data necessary to quantify and monetize the impacts on these attributes are not available.
The staff documents its assumptions throughout this regulatory analysis. For reader convenience, Appendix A summarizes the major assumptions and input data used in this analysis.
This regulatory analysis provides the incremental impacts of the final rule relative to a baseline that reflects anticipated behavior if the NRC does not undertake regulatory or nonregulatory action. The regulatory baseline assumes full compliance with existing NRC requirements, including current regulations and relevant orders. This is consistent with NUREG/BR‑0058 (NRC, 2020a), which states that “in evaluating a new requirement…the staff should assume that all existing NRC and Agreement State requirements have been implemented.” Section 5 of this regulatory analysis presents the estimated incremental costs and benefits of Alternative 2 compared to this baseline, the no‑action alternative (i.e., Alternative 1).
This final rule will affect all operating light-water nuclear power plants. The analysis considers 52 plant sites containing one or more operating U.S. light-water nuclear power reactor units in 2022, decreasing to 51 sites in 2025–2027.
All monetized costs are expressed in 2021 dollars. Ongoing costs of operation related to Alternative 2 are assumed to begin no earlier than 30 days after publication of the final rule in the Code of Federal Regulations unless otherwise stated, and they are modeled on an annual cost basis. All NRC implementation costs are now sunk costs at this stage of rulemaking. Estimates are made for recurring annual operating expenses. The values for annual operating expenses are modeled as a constant expense for each year of the analysis horizon. The staff performed a discounted cash flow calculation to discount these annual expenses to 2021 dollar values.
In accordance with guidance from U.S. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Circular A‑4, “Regulatory Analysis,” issued September 2003 (OMB, 2003), and NUREG/BR‑0058, draft Revision 5 (NRC, 2020a), the staff used net present value (NPV) calculations to determine how much society would need to invest today to ensure that the designated dollar amount is available in a given year in the future. By using NPVs, the staff can value costs and benefits to a reference year for comparison, regardless of when the cost or benefit is incurred. The choice of a discount rate and its associated conceptual basis is a topic of ongoing discussion within the Federal government. Based on OMB Circular A-4 and consistent with NRC past practice and guidance, present-worth calculations in this analysis use 3‑percent and 7‑percent real discount rates. A 3‑percent discount rate approximates the real rate of return on long‑term government debt, which serves as a proxy for the real rate of return on savings to reflect reliance on a social rate of time preference discounting concept.4 A 7‑percent discount rate approximates the marginal pretax real rate of return on an average investment in the private sector; it is the appropriate discount rate whenever the main effect of a regulation is to displace or alter the use of capital in the private sector. A 7‑percent rate is consistent with an opportunity cost5 of capital concept to reflect the time value of resources directed to meet regulatory requirements.
The staff estimated the analysis inputs for some attributes based on the values published in NUREG/BR‑0058 (NRC, 2020a) or other sources as referenced, which are provided in prior‑year dollars. To evaluate the costs and benefits consistently, these inputs are converted into base‑year dollars. The most common inflator is the consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPIU), developed by the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Using the CPI-U, the prior‑year dollars are converted to 2021 base-year dollars. The following formula is used to determine the amount in 2021 base-year dollars from 2020:
Table 1 summarizes the values of CPI-U used in this regulatory analysis.
Base Year |
CPI-U Annual Average a |
Actual/Forecast Percent Change from Previous Year |
2020 |
258.811 |
— |
2021 |
265.114 b |
2.44% |
a Statistics from BLS, “Archived Consumer Price Index Supplemental Files: Historical CPI-U, May 2021” (BLS, 2021b).
b The average CPI-U value for January 2021 through May 2021.
For the purposes of this regulatory analysis, the staff applied strict incremental cost principles to develop labor rates that include only labor and material costs that are directly related to the implementation, operation, and maintenance of the final rule requirements. This approach is consistent with the guidance in NUREG/CR‑3568, “A Handbook for Value-Impact Assessment,” issued December 1983 (NRC, 1983), and general cost-benefit methodology. The NRC incremental labor rate is $137 per hour.6
The staff used the 2020 BLS Occupational Employment and Wages data (https://www.bls.gov), which provided labor categories and the mean hourly wage rate by job type. The staff used the inflator discussed in Section 4.2.5 to inflate these labor rate data to 2021 dollars. The labor rates used in the analysis reflect net hourly compensation, which includes wages and nonwage benefits (using a burden factor of 2.4, applicable for contract labor and conservative for regular utility employees). The staff used the BLS data tables to select appropriate hourly labor rates for performing the estimated procedural, licensing, and utility-related work necessary during and after implementation of the alternative. In establishing this labor rate, wages paid to the individuals performing the work plus the associated fringe benefit component of labor cost (i.e., the time for plant management exceeding those directly expensed) are considered incremental expenses and are included. Table 2 summarizes the BLS labor categories the staff used to estimate industry labor costs to implement this final rule, and Appendix A lists the industry labor rates used in the analysis. The staff performed an uncertainty analysis, which is discussed in Section 5.12.
Table 2 Position Titles and Occupations
Position Title (in this Regulatory Analysis) |
Standard Occupational Classification Code |
Managers |
Top Executives (11-1000) |
Chief Executives (11-1011) |
|
General and Operations Managers (11-1021) |
|
Industrial Production Managers (11-3051) |
|
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics Installers and Repairers (49-1011) |
|
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers (51-1011) |
|
Technical Staff |
Nuclear Engineers (17-2161) |
Physicists (19-2012) |
|
Nuclear Technicians (19-4051) |
|
Industrial Machinery Mechanics (49-9041) |
|
Nuclear Power Reactor Operators (51-8011) |
|
Administrative Staff |
Office and Administrative Support Occupations (43-0000) |
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers (43-1011) |
|
Office Clerks, General (43-9061) |
|
Licensing Staff |
Lawyers (23-1011) |
Paralegals and Legal Assistants (23-2011) |
Source: BLS, “Standard Occupational Classification” (BLS, 2021a)
The sign conventions used in this analysis are that all favorable consequences for Alternative 2 are positive and all adverse consequences are negative. Negative values are shown using parentheses (e.g., negative $500 is displayed as ($500)).
The staff analyzed the ASME Code Cases that are (1) acceptable without conditions or (2) acceptable with conditions. The ASME Code Cases are in effect for a span of 3 years, renewable once for 3 additional years, for a total of 6 years.
To estimate the costs associated with the evaluated alternatives, the staff used a work breakdown approach to deconstruct each requirement down to its mandated activities. For each required activity, the NRC further subdivided the work across labor categories (i.e., executives, managers, technical staff, administrative staff, and licensing staff). The staff estimated the required level of effort (LOE) for each required activity and used a blended labor rate to develop bottom up cost estimates.
The staff gathered data from several sources and consulted ASME Code working group members to develop LOE and unit cost estimates. The staff applied several cost estimation methods in this analysis and used its collective professional knowledge and judgment to estimate many of the costs and benefits. Additionally, the staff used a buildup method, solicitation of licensee input, and extrapolation techniques to estimate costs and benefits.
The staff began by estimating the cost of some activities using the engineering buildup method, which combines the incremental costs of an activity from the bottom up to establish a net cost. For this step, the NRC reviewed previous license submittals, determined the number of pages in each section, and then used these data to develop preliminary LOEs.
The staff consulted subject matter experts within and outside the agency to develop most of the LOE estimates used in the analysis. For example, to estimate licensee costs and averted costs (benefits) related to the NRC conditions on the ASME codes in the final rule, the staff consulted licensees for information on the associated LOE. The staff contributed to the estimation of LOE for review-related activities.
The staff extrapolated to estimate the cost of some activities, relying on actual past or current costs to estimate the future cost of similar activities. For example, to calculate the estimated averted costs of Code Case alternative requests and the costs for preparation of the final rule and accompanying regulatory guidance, the staff used data from past projects to determine the labor categories of the staff who would perform the work and to estimate the amount of time required under each category to complete the work. If data were not available, the staff estimated the LOE based on similar steps in the process for which data were available.
To evaluate the effect of uncertainty in the model, the staff employed a Monte Carlo simulation, which is an approach to uncertainty analysis in which input variables are expressed as distributions. The simulation was run 10,000 times, and values were chosen at random from the distributions of the input variables provided in Table 9. The result was a distribution of values for the output variable of interest. Monte Carlo simulation also enables users to determine the input variables that have the greatest effect on the value of the output variable. Section 5.12 gives a detailed description of the Monte Carlo simulation methods and presents the results.
When the NRC incorporates by reference Code Cases unconditionally, the licensees do not need to submit alternative requests to use these Code Cases. The lack of alternative requests for these Code Cases presents a cost savings to the industry and the NRC. Table 1 of RG 1.147, RG 1.84, and RG 1.192 includes the ASME Code Cases, both new and revised, that the final rule would incorporate by reference.
When the NRC incorporates by reference Code Cases with conditions, licensees may incur an additional regulatory cost to meet the conditioned Code Cases (i.e., Code Cases with new conditions as a result of this final rule). The conditions would specify (for each applicable Code Case) the additional activities that must be performed, the limits on the activities specified in the Code Case, and the supplemental information needed to provide clarity. Table 2 of RG 1.147, RG 1.84, and RG 1.192 includes these ASME Code Cases, both new and revised, that the final rule would incorporate by reference. The final rule and the RGs discuss the NRC’s evaluation of the Code Cases and the reasons for the agency’s conditions. The conditioned Code Cases can possibly place an additional resource cost on licensees under the affected attribute of industry operation. However, licensees would not need to submit alternative requests to use the conditioned Code Cases. The lack of alternative requests for these conditioned Code Cases presents a cost savings to the industry and the NRC. Table 3 lists the conditions on the Code Cases that this final rule would add, modify, or remove and indicates whether the conditions present an additional resource cost on the industry.
The NRC is including approved Code Cases in this update of the RGs whether or not licensees are likely to use the Code Cases. The incorporation by reference of Code Cases provides the industry flexibility to use certain Code Case methodologies without NRC approval or alternative requests. Any Code Case the staff does not expect the industry to use is estimated as having negligible costs and benefits.
Table 3 Conditioned Code Cases Under Consideration
The staff used data from subject matter experts and knowledge gained from past rulemakings to estimate the costs and benefits associated with this final rule. Quantitative and qualitative (i.e., non-quantified) information on attributes affected by the final rule came from the staff. The NRC considered the potential differences between the new requirements and the current requirements and estimated the impacts of the incremental changes into this regulatory analysis.
This section presents the quantitative and qualitative results by attribute relative to the regulatory baseline. As described in the previous sections, costs and benefits are quantified where possible and can have either a positive or a negative algebraic sign, depending on whether Alternative 2 has a favorable or adverse effect compared to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1). This section discusses those attributes that are not easily represented in monetary values. Although this ex ante cost-benefit analysis7 provides information that can be used when deciding whether to select the rulemaking alternative, the analysis is based on estimates of the future costs and benefits. Whether the estimates hold in the future, the process of conducting regulatory analyses has value in and of itself because it helps decisionmakers think in depth about specific rulemaking alternatives and their associated results.
The regulatory analysis guidelines (NRC, 2020) state that the NRC’s periodic review and endorsement of consensus standards, such as new versions of the ASME codes and associated Code Cases, is a special case because consensus standards have already undergone extensive external review and have been endorsed by the industry. In addition, endorsement of the ASME codes and Code Cases has been a longstanding NRC policy. Licensees and applicants participate in the development of the ASME codes and Code Cases and are aware that periodic updating of the ASME codes is part of the regulatory process. Code Cases are ASME‑developed alternatives to the BPV and OM Codes that licensees and applicants may voluntarily choose to adopt without an alternative request—if the Code Cases are approved through incorporation by reference in the NRC’s regulations. Finally, endorsement of the ASME BPV and OM Codes and Code Cases is consistent with the NTTAA, inasmuch as the NRC has determined that sound regulatory reasons exist for establishing, by rulemaking, regulatory requirements for design, maintenance, ISI, IST, and examinations.
In a typical incorporation of Code Cases, the NRC endorsements can involve hundreds, if not thousands, of individual provisions. Evaluating the benefit in relation to the cost of each individual provision in this regulatory analysis would be prohibitive, and such an exercise would have limited value. Thus, this regulatory analysis does not evaluate individual requirements of the consensus standards.
Industry practice to adopt ASME BPV and OM Code Cases through incorporation by reference into the regulations may incrementally reduce the likelihood of a radiological accident in a positive, but not easily quantifiable, manner. Pursuing Alternative 2 would continue to meet the NRC’s goal of maintaining safety by still providing its approval of new ASME Code Cases to allow licensees to gain experience with new technology before incorporation into the ASME code. Alternative 2 would also permit licensees to use advances in ISI and IST, provide alternative examinations for older plants, respond promptly to user needs, and offer a limited and clearly focused alternative to specific ASME code provisions. Improvements in ISI and IST may also result in the earlier identification of material degradation that, if undetected, could cause further degradation that could eventually lead to a plant transient. For these reasons, Alternative 2 maintains the same level of, or may provide an incremental improvement in, safety when compared to the regulatory baseline.
The NRC’s practice of reviewing ASME BPV and OM Code Cases, determining their acceptability, and specifying its findings in RGs that are incorporated by reference into the regulations ensures that the mandated ASME code requirements and approved code alternatives result in an acceptable level of quality and safety. Pursuing Alternative 2 (the rule alternative) would continue to meet the NRC’s goal of maintaining safety, permitting licensees to use ISI and IST advancements, providing alternative examinations, responding to user needs, and offering alternatives to ASME Code provisions. The staff expects that licensees’ and applicants’ voluntary use of NRC-approved Code Cases would reduce occupational radiation exposure in a positive, but not easily quantifiable, manner. For example, the staff expects that the use of the approved Code Cases would result in an incremental decrease in the likelihood of an accident and would reduce worker radiological exposures during routine inspections or testing when compared to the regulatory baseline.
This attribute accounts for the projected net economic effect of routine and recurring activities required by the alternative for all affected licensees. Under Alternative 2, a nuclear power plant licensee would not need to submit a request for an alternative under 10 CFR 50.55a(z) or a relief request under 10 CFR 50.55a(f) or (g) to receive permission to use a later edition or addendum of the ASME codes (as an alternative to the ASME code provisions) that provides a net benefit (i.e., averted cost) to the licensee.
The use of later editions and addenda of the ASME BPV and OM Codes would benefit nuclear power plant licensees and applicants for several reasons. Later editions and addenda may introduce the use of advanced techniques, procedures, and measures. Alternative 2 has the advantage that, on implementation of the final rule, licensees and applicants would be able to voluntarily ask to use a more recent edition or addendum of the ASME BPV and OM Codes under the provisions in 10 CFR 50.55a(f)(4)(iv) and (g)(4)(iv).8
Submission of a Code Case relief or alternative request to the NRC is not a trivial matter. Once ASME issues a code edition, the licensee or applicant must determine the applicability to its facility and the benefit derived from its use. If the licensee or applicant determines that use of the code would be beneficial, but the NRC has not approved the code edition, the licensee or applicant must request the use of the Code Case, and appropriate levels of licensee or applicant management must review and approve the request before submission to the NRC. A review of Code Case requests submitted to the NRC over a 5 year period of time ending in 2014 found that they ranged from a few pages to several hundred pages, with an average of approximately 32 pages of average technical complexity.
Therefore, the NRC estimates that a Code Case request submittal requires an average of 150 hours of effort to develop the technical justification and an additional 80 hours to research, review, approve, process, and submit the document to the NRC for the use of the Code Case alternatives under 10 CFR 50.55a(z) (for a total of 230 hours per submittal). The actual time for a Code Case request submittal may be lower or higher than 230 hours, depending on its complexity. The NRC assumes that licensees or applicants would decide whether to request the use of a code alternative by weighing the cost against the benefit to be derived. In some cases, licensees may decide to forfeit the benefits of using the newer ASME code, whether in terms of radiological considerations or cost reduction.
A review of past submittals of Code Case requests has determined that plant owners submit Code Case relief and alternative requests that cover multiple units and multiple plant sites. Based on annual Code Case relief and alternative request submissions before and after ASME final rules are published, the staff estimated that, if Alternative 2 is not adopted, operating sites would submit 26 relief requests annually for the Code Cases in this final rule. Under Alternative 2, a nuclear power plant licensee would no longer need to submit these Code Case alternative requests under 10 CFR 50.55a(z), which would provide a net benefit (i.e., averted cost) to the licensee. As shown in Table 4, Alternative 2 would avert 26 additional Code Case submittals (and their associated preparation) each year under 10 CFR 50.55a(z). The averted Code Case submittals would start in 2022, the year that the final rule is expected to take effect.
Table 4 Industry Operation—Averted Costs for Requests
Table 5 shows the net industry implementation and operation costs for the requirements under Alternative 2. These net industry costs represent savings of $3.92 million at a 7-percent NPV and $4.45 million at a 3-percent NPV.
Note: Costs are rounded to three significant figures.
The NRC has incurred implementation costs to complete the rulemaking process. These costs include writing the Federal Register notice, revising the RGs, reviewing and addressing public comments on the rule, and finalizing the rule. At the conclusion of the final rule stage, all of these NRC implementation costs are sunk, and there is no estimated NRC implementation cost.
When the NRC receives a request to use a Code Case as an alternative, the staff requires additional time to evaluate the acceptability relative to the criteria currently approved by the agency. Under Alternative 2, the additional 26 Code Case requests per year would not be required. The averted Code Case requests would start in 2022, the year that the final rule is expected to take effect. If the NRC incorporates the ASME Code Cases by reference in the Code of Federal Regulations, a nuclear power plant licensee could use these ASME Code Cases without submitting a request to the NRC for review.
As shown in Table 6, the NRC estimates that each submittal would require, on average, 115 hours of staff time to perform the technical review (including resolving technical issues), document the evaluation, and respond to the licensee’s request. The absence of these submittals would result in an NRC averted cost that ranges from $1.94 million based on a 7 percent NPV to $2.22 million based on a 3 percent NPV. Therefore, Alternative 2 would provide a net benefit (i.e., averted cost).
Table 6 NRC Operation Costs—Averted Cost for Requests
Table 7 shows the net NRC implementation and operation costs for Alternative 2. The NRC costs represent cost savings; these savings are estimated to range from $1.94 million at a 7 percent discount rate to $2.22 million at a 3 percent discount rate.
Table 8 shows the net implementation and operation costs for the industry and the NRC under Alternative 2. These costs represent cost savings to the industry and the NRC and are estimated to range from $5.86 million at a 7 percent discount rate to $6.67 million at a 3 percent discount rate.
Compared to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1), Alternative 2 would improve the knowledge of the industry and the NRC staff by permitting licensees to use advances in ISI and IST. The industry and the NRC would develop greater knowledge and common understanding of the ASME Code.
Compared to the baseline, Alternative 2 would increase regulatory efficiency because licensees that want to use NRC-approved ASME Code Cases would not need to submit requests for alternatives to the NRC’s regulations. This would give licensees flexibility and decrease their uncertainty when modifying or preparing to perform ISI or IST. Further, Alternative 2 is consistent with the provisions of the NTTAA, which encourages Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to de novo agency development of standards affecting an industry. Alternative 2 is also consistent with the NRC’s policy of evaluating the latest versions of consensus standards in terms of their suitability for endorsement by regulations and RGs. Finally, Alternative 2 is consistent with the NRC’s goal of harmonizing its regulations with international standards to improve regulatory efficiency for both the NRC and international standards groups.
Alternative 2 is consistent with the provisions of the NTTAA and its implementing guidance in OMB Circular A‑119, “Federal Participation in the Development and Use of Voluntary Consensus Standards and in Conformity Assessment Activities,” dated January 27, 2016 (OMB, 2016), which encourage Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to de novo agency development of standards affecting an industry.
Alternative 2 would continue the NRC’s practice of establishing requirements for the design, construction, operation, ISI, and IST of nuclear power plants by approving the use of new ASME BPV and OM Code Cases in 10 CFR 50.55a.
Given the existing data and information, Alternative 2 is an effective way to implement the updated ASME Code Cases. The updates would amend 10 CFR 50.55a to incorporate by reference the latest revisions to RGs 1.84, 1.147, and 1.192, which list Code Cases published by ASME and approved by the NRC.
The staff completed a Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis using the specialty software @RISK. The Monte Carlo approach answers the question, “What distribution of net costs and benefits results from multiple draws of the probability distribution assigned to key variables?”
The staff provides the following analysis of the variables with the greatest uncertainty on estimates of values. To conduct this analysis, the staff performed a Monte Carlo simulation using the @RISK software program.9 Monte Carlo simulations involve introducing uncertainty into the analysis by replacing the point estimates of the variables used to determine base‑case costs and benefits with probability distributions. By defining input variables as probability distributions instead of point estimates, the influence of uncertainty on the results of the analysis (i.e., the net benefits) can be effectively modeled.
The probability distributions chosen to represent the different variables in the analysis were bounded by the range-referenced input and the staff’s professional judgment. When defining the probability distributions for use in a Monte Carlo simulation, summary statistics are needed to characterize the distributions. These summary statistics include the minimum, most likely, and maximum values of a program evaluation and review technique (PERT) distribution,10 the minimum and maximum values of a uniform distribution, and the specified integer values of a discrete population. The staff used the PERT distribution to reflect the relative spread and skewness of the distribution defined by the three estimates.
Table 9 identifies the data elements; the distribution; and the low, most likely, and high estimates of the distribution that were used in the uncertainty analysis.
Table 9 Uncertainty Analysis Variables
Data Element |
Mean Estimate |
Distribution |
Low Estimate |
Most Likely Estimate |
High Estimate |
Averted Relief Request (Industry) |
|||||
Hours to produce request |
230 |
PERT |
200 |
230 |
260 |
Annual number of requests |
26 |
PERT |
24 |
26 |
28 |
Averted Review of Relief Request (NRC) |
|||||
Hours to review |
115 |
PERT |
100 |
115 |
130 |
Number of actions (this is a recurring averted cost) |
26 |
PERT |
24 |
26 |
28
|
Hourly Rate for NRC |
|||||
Weighted hourly rate (NRC) |
$137.00 |
PERT |
$136.00 |
$137.00 |
$138.00 |
Hourly Rate for Industry |
|||||
Weighted hourly rate (industry) |
$137.20 |
PERT |
$109.09 |
$139.16 |
$157.43 |
The NRC performed the Monte Carlo simulation by recalculating the results 10,000 times. For each iteration, the values identified in Table 9 were chosen randomly from the probability distributions that define the input variables. The values of the output variables were recorded for each iteration, and these values were used to define the resultant probability distribution.
For the analysis shown in each figure below, 10,000 simulations were run in which the key variables were changed to assess the resulting effect on costs and benefits. Figures 1, 2, and 3 display the histograms of the incremental costs and benefits from the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1). The analysis shows that both the industry and the NRC would benefit in terms of cost savings (positive cost) if this rule were issued.
Figure 1 Net Industry Costs (7-percent NPV)—Alternative 2
Figure 2 Net NRC Costs (7-percent NPV)—Alternative 2
Figure 3 Net Costs (7-percent NPV)—Alternative 2
Table 10 presents descriptive statistics for the uncertainty analysis.
Table 10 Descriptive Statistics for Uncertainty Results (7-Percent NPV)
Uncertainty Result |
Incremental Cost-Benefit (2021 million dollars) |
|||||
Min |
Mean |
Std Dev |
Max |
5% |
95% |
|
Net Industry Cost |
$2.76 |
$3.91 |
$0.34 |
$5.09 |
$3.33 |
$4.49 |
Net NRC Cost |
$1.63 |
$1.95 |
$0.11 |
$2.34 |
$1.76 |
$2.91 |
Net Cost |
$4.70 |
$5.86 |
$0.37 |
$7.21 |
$5.24 |
$6.49 |
Table 10 displays the key statistical results, including the 90-percent confidence interval in which the net benefits would fall between the 5‑percent and 95‑percent values.
Figure 4 shows a tornado diagram that identifies the cost drivers for this final rulemaking. This figure ranks the cost drivers based on their contribution to the uncertainty in cost. The largest cost drivers are the industry labor rate and the hours for industry to process a relief request and submit it to the NRC. These cost drivers generate the largest variation in the Net costs due to uncertainty. The remaining cost drivers show a diminishing variation of the net cost.
Figure 4 Top 5 Cost Drivers For Which Uncertainty Impacts The Net Costs (7‑percent NPV)—Alternative 2
The simulation analysis shows that the estimated mean benefit (i.e., positive averted costs or savings) for this final rule is $5.86 million with 90 percent confidence that the net benefit is between $5.24 million and $6.49 million using a 7 percent discount rate. A reasonable inference from the uncertainty analysis is that proceeding with the final rule represents an efficient use of resources and averted costs for the NRC and the industry because the minimum calculated uncertainty result is a positive value. Also, the staff estimates that the rule alternative is cost beneficial to the industry and to the NRC when they are considered separately.
The NRC performed a screening review to determine whether any of the individual requirements (or set of integrated requirements) of the rule would be unnecessary to achieve the objectives of the rulemaking. The NRC determined that the objectives of the rulemaking are to incorporate RGs by reference and to make conforming changes. Furthermore, the NRC concludes that each of the rule’s requirements would be necessary to achieve one or more objectives of the rulemaking. Table 11 provides the results of this review.
Regulatory Goals for Final Rule |
(1) Approve Use of the New Code Cases in Each of the RGs |
(2) Make Incorporation by Reference Conforming Changes |
10 CFR 50.55a(a)(3)(i), NRC RG 1.84, Revision 39 |
X |
X |
10 CFR 50.55a(a)(3)(ii), NRC RG 1.147, Revision 20 |
X |
X |
10 CFR 50.55a(a)(3)(iii), NRC RG 1.192, Revision 4 |
X |
X |
NUREG-2228, Revision 0 |
|
X |
This regulatory analysis identified both quantifiable and nonquantifiable costs and benefits that would result from incorporating NRC-approved ASME BPV and OM Code Cases by reference into the Code of Federal Regulations. Although quantifiable costs and benefits appear to be more tangible, the staff urges decisionmakers not to discount costs and benefits that cannot be quantified. Such benefits or costs can be as important as or even more important than benefits or costs that can be quantified and monetized.
As shown in Table 8 above, the estimated quantified averted costs for Alternative 2, compared to the regulatory baseline (Alternative 1), over 6 years will be from approximately $6.20 million (7‑percent discount rate) to $7.04 million (3‑percent discount rate). Table 8 shows that Alternative 2 would also be cost beneficial for the NRC and the industry when they are considered separately.
In addition to the quantified costs discussed in this regulatory analysis, the attributes of public health (accident), occupational health (accident and routine), improvements in knowledge, regulatory efficiency, and other considerations would produce several non-quantified costs and benefits for the general public, the industry, and the NRC. The sections below summarize these benefits.
Advances in ISI and IST may incrementally decrease the likelihood of a radiological accident, the likelihood of post-accident plant worker exposures, and the level of plant worker radiological exposures during routine inspections or testing. The NRC’s approval of later editions and addenda of the ASME BPV and OM Codes and associated Code Cases may contribute to plant safety by providing alternative examination methods that may result in the earlier identification of material degradation that, if undetected, could cause further degradation and eventually lead to a plant transient. These alternative methods may increase assurance of plant safety system readiness and may prevent, through inspection and testing, the introduction of a new failure mode or common-cause failure mode not previously evaluated.
The industry’s practice of adopting the ASME BPV and OM Code Cases that are incorporated by reference into the regulations may incrementally reduce the likelihood of a radiological accident in a positive, but not easily quantifiable, manner. Pursuing Alternative 2 would continue to meet the NRC goal of maintaining safety by approving later editions and addenda of the ASME codes and associated Code Cases to permit licensees to use advances in ISI and IST, provide alternative examinations for older plants, respond promptly to user needs, and offer a limited and clearly focused alternative to specific ASME code provisions. Improvements in ISI and IST may also result in the earlier identification of material degradation that, if undetected, could cause further degradation that eventually could lead to a plant transient. As such, Alternative 2 would maintain the same or possibly an incrementally improved level of safety that could result in an incremental decrease in public radiation exposures when compared to the regulatory baseline.
The NRC’s approval of later editions and addenda of the ASME BPV and OM Codes and associated Code Cases may reduce occupational radiation exposures in a positive, but not easily quantifiable, manner. For example, the advances in ISI and IST may result in an incremental decrease in the likelihood of an accident resulting in worker exposure when compared to the regulatory baseline.
The NRC approval of later editions and addenda of the ASME BPV and OM Codes and associated Code Cases would improve knowledge by enhancing the ability of the industry and the staff to gain experience with new technology before its incorporation into the ASME codes and by permitting licensees to use advances in ISI and IST. Improved ISI and IST may result in the earlier identification of material degradation that, if undetected, could cause further degradation that could eventually lead to a plant transient.
Alternative 2 is consistent with the provisions of the NTTAA and its implementing guidance in OMB Circular A‑119, which encourage Federal regulatory agencies to consider adopting voluntary consensus standards as an alternative to de novo agency development of standards affecting an industry.
Alternative 2 would continue the NRC’s practice of establishing requirements for the design, construction, operation, ISI, and IST of nuclear power plants by approving the use of later editions and addenda of the ASME BPV and OM Codes in 10 CFR 50.55a.
Alternative 2 would incorporate the current ASME BPV and OM Code edition, addenda, and Code Cases for the design, construction, operation, ISI, and IST of nuclear power plants by approving their use in 10 CFR 50.55a. This alternative would allow licensees to use risk‑informed, performance‑based approaches and the most current methods and technology to design, construct, operate, examine, and test nuclear power plant components while maintaining NRC oversight of these activities.
The timely incorporation by reference of current addenda and editions of the ASME BPV and OM Codes into the Code of Federal Regulations and the review and approval of associated Code Cases would help the NRC remain an effective industry regulator. This role would be undermined if outdated material remains incorporated by reference in the Code of Federal Regulations.
The staff believes that incorporating by reference into the Code of Federal Regulations the most recent ASME BPV and OM Code editions and addenda and associated NRC-approved Code Cases would decrease industry and NRC operating costs. If the staff has underestimated the number or the complexity of these eliminated submittals, then the averted costs would increase proportionally.
The final rule alternative would allow licensees and applicants to apply the most recent ASME BPV and OM Code Cases approved by the NRC, sometimes with NRC-specified conditions. The NRC’s safety goal evaluation applies only to regulatory initiatives considered to be generic safety enhancement backfits subject to the substantial additional protection standard in 10 CFR 50.109(a)(3). The NRC does not regard the incorporation by reference of NRC-approved ASME Code Cases to be backfitting or to represent an inconsistency with any issue finality provisions in 10 CFR Part 52, “Licenses, certifications, and approvals for nuclear power plants.” The Federal Register notice of the final rule states the basis for this determination.
Incorporation by reference of the Code Cases of Section III, Division 1, of the ASME BPV Code is prospective in nature. Incorporation of the Code Cases would not affect a design that has been approved or a plant that has received a construction permit, an operating license, or a combined license. This is because the Code Cases of the ASME BPV Code to be used in constructing a plant are, by rule, determined based on the date of the construction permit or the combined license and are not changed, except voluntarily by the licensee with NRC approval. Thus, incorporation by reference of later Code Cases of Section III, Division 1, of the ASME BPV Code would not constitute a “backfitting” as defined in 10 CFR 50.109(a)(1).
Incorporation by reference of later Code Cases of Section XI, Division 1, of the ASME BPV Code and of the ASME OM Code would affect the ISI and IST programs of operating reactors. However, the Backfit Rule generally does not apply to incorporation by reference of later Code Cases of Section XI of the ASME BPV Code and of the ASME OM Code for the following reasons:
The NRC’s longstanding policy has been to incorporate later versions of the ASME BPV and OM Codes into its regulations; thus, licensees know when receiving their operating licenses that such updating is part of the regulatory process. This is reflected in 10 CFR 50.55a, which requires licensees to revise their ISI and IST programs every 120 months to the latest edition and addenda of Section XI of the ASME BPV Code and of the ASME OM Code incorporated by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a that are in effect 12 months before the start of a new 120‑month ISI and IST interval. Thus, when the NRC endorses a later version of an ASME code, it is implementing this longstanding policy.
The ASME BPV and OM Codes are national consensus standards developed by participants with broad and varied interests, in which all interested parties, including the NRC staff and nuclear utility personnel, participate. This consideration is consistent with both the intent and spirit of the Backfit Rule (i.e., the NRC provides for the protection of public health and safety but does not unilaterally impose an undue cost on applicants or licensees).
The NRC does not apply the Backfit Rule to the endorsement of a later code in the following other circumstances:
When the NRC takes exception to a later ASME BPV or OM Code provision and merely retains the current existing requirement or limits or prohibits the use of the later code provision, the Backfit Rule would not apply because the NRC is not imposing new requirements. However, the NRC provides the technical or policy bases, or both, for taking exceptions to the code in the Statement of Considerations for the rule.
When an NRC exception relaxes an existing ASME BPV or OM Code provision but does not prohibit a licensee from using the existing code provision, the Backfit Rule would not apply.
Based on the reasons described, a safety goal evaluation is not appropriate for this regulatory analysis.
This section addresses regulatory analysis information requirements for rulemaking actions or staff positions subject to review by the Committee to Review Generic Requirements (CRGR). All information called for by the CRGR procedures (NRC, 2018) is presented in this regulatory analysis or in the Federal Register notice for the final rule. Table 12 provides a cross‑reference between the relevant information and its location in this document or the Federal Register notice.
Table 12 Specific CRGR Information Requirements for Regulatory Analysis
CRGR |
Information Item To Be Included in a Regulatory Analysis Prepared for CRGR Review |
Where Item Is Discussed |
Appendix B, (i) |
The new or revised generic requirement or staff position as it is issued as a final rule |
Final rule text in Federal Register notice for the final rule |
Appendix B, (ii) |
Draft papers or other documents supporting the requirements or staff positions |
Federal Register notice for the final rule |
Appendix B, (iii) |
The sponsoring office’s position on each requirement or staff position as to whether it would modify, implement, relax, or reduce existing requirements or staff positions |
Regulatory Analysis, Section 5, and Backfitting and Issue Finality, Section XIII, Federal Register notice for the final rule |
Appendix B, (iv) |
The method of implementation |
Regulatory Analysis, Section 7 |
Appendix B, (vi) |
Identification of the category of power reactors, new reactors, or nuclear materials facilities or activities to which the generic requirement or staff position applies |
Regulatory Analysis, Section 4.2.2 |
Appendix B, |
If the action involves a power reactor backfit and the exceptions at 10 CFR 50.109(a)(4) are not applicable, the items required at 10 CFR 50.109(c) and the required rationale at 10 CFR 50.109(a)(3) |
Backfitting and Issue Finality, Section XIII, Federal Register notice for the final rule |
Appendix B, (xvi) |
An assessment of how the action relates to the Commission’s Safety Goal Policy Statement |
Regulatory Analysis, Section 5.15 |
Table 13 provides the quantified and qualified costs and benefits for Alternative 2. The quantitative analysis used best estimate values.
Table 13 Summary of Costs and Benefits
Net Monetary Savings or (Costs)—Net Present Value |
Nonquantified Benefits or (Costs) |
Alternative 1: No action $0 |
None |
Alternative 2: Incorporate by reference RG 1.84, Revision 39; RG 1.147, Revision 20; RG 1.192, Revision 4; and NUREG-2228
Industry (all provisions): $3.92 million using a 7% discount rate $4.45 million using a 3% discount rate
NRC (all provisions): $1.94 million using a 7% discount rate $2.22 million using a 3% discount rate
Net Benefit (Cost) (all provisions): $5.86 million using a 7% discount rate $6.67 million using a 3% discount rate
|
Benefits:
Costs:
|
The industry and the NRC benefit from the final rule (Alternative 2) because of the averted costs from licensees not needing to submit and the NRC not needing to review and approve ASME Code Case requests on a plant-specific basis under 10 CFR 50.55a(z).
Alternative 2 would also have the qualitative benefit of meeting the NRC goal of ensuring the protection of public health and safety and the environment through the NRC’s approval of the use of later ASME BPV and OM Code Cases. It would also allow for the use of the most current methods and technology. This alternative would support the NRC’s goal of maintaining an open regulatory process, because approving ASME Code Cases would demonstrate the agency’s commitment to participating in the national consensus standards process and maintain the NRC’s role as an effective regulator.
The NRC has had a decades-long practice of approving or mandating, or both, the use of certain of these ASME Code Cases in 10 CFR 50.55a through the rulemaking process of “incorporation by reference.” Retaining the practice of approving or mandating the ASME Codes would continue the regulatory stability and predictability provided by the current practice. Retaining the practice would also ensure consistency across the industry and assure the industry and the public that the NRC will continue to support the use of the most updated and technically sound techniques developed by ASME to provide adequate protection to the public. In this regard, these ASME codes are voluntary consensus standards developed by participants with broad and varied interests, and they have already undergone extensive external review before being evaluated by the NRC. Finally, the NRC’s use of the ASME codes is consistent with the NTTAA, which directs Federal agencies to adopt voluntary consensus standards instead of developing “Government-unique” standards (i.e., those developed by Federal agencies), unless inconsistent with applicable law or otherwise impractical.
Based solely on quantified costs and benefits, the regulatory analysis shows that the rulemaking is justified because the net quantified benefits of the regulatory action would exceed the costs of the action, for all discount rates up to 7 percent. Certainly, if the qualitative benefits (including the safety benefit, regulatory efficiency, and other nonquantified benefits) are considered together with the quantified benefits, then the benefits would outweigh the identified quantitative and qualitative impacts. The uncertainty analysis shows a net benefit (averted cost) for all simulations with a range of averted cost from $4.70 million to $7.20 million at a 7‑percent NPV. Therefore, integrating both quantified and nonquantified costs and benefits, the benefits of the final rule outweigh the costs to implement the rule.
This rule will become effective 30 days after the publication of the final rule in the Federal Register.
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), “Standard Occupational Classification,” U.S. Department of Labor, January 2021a. Available at https://www.bls.gov/soc/home.htm; last accessed on March 16, 2021.
BLS, “Archived Consumer Price Index Supplemental Files: Historical CPI-U, May 2021,” May 2021b. Available at https://www.bls.gov/cpi/tables/supplemental-files/home.htm; last accessed on June 15, 2021.
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995, as amended, Public Law 104‑113. Available at http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-104publ113/pdf/PLAW-104publ113.pdf.
Office of Management and Budget (OMB), Circular A‑4, “Regulatory Analysis,” September 2003. Available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/omb/circulars/A4/a-4.pdf.
OMB, Circular No. A‑119, “Federal Participation in the Development and Use of Voluntary Consensus Standards and in Conformity Assessment Activities,” January 27, 2016. Available at https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2016/01/27/2016-01606/revision-of-omb-circular-no-a-119-federal-participation-in-the-development-and-use-of-voluntary.
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), NUREG/CR‑3568, “A Handbook for Value-Impact Assessment,” December 1983 (ADAMS Accession No. ML062830096).
NRC, Regulatory Issue Summary 2004‑12, “Clarification on Use of Later Editions and Addenda to the ASME OM Code and Section XI,” July 28, 2004 (ADAMS Accession No. ML042090436).
NRC, “Committee to Review Generic Requirements Procedures and Internal Administrative Process,” June 2018. Available at (ADAMS Accession No. ML17355A533).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.84, “Design, Fabrication, and Materials Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section III,” Revision 38, October 2019a (ADAMS Accession No. ML19128A276).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.147, “Inservice Inspection Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section XI, Division 1,” Revision 19, October 2019b (ADAMS Accession No. ML19128A244).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.192, “Operation and Maintenance Code Case Acceptability, ASME OM Code,” Revision 3, October 2019c (ADAMS Accession No. ML19128A261).
NRC, NUREG/BR-0058, “Regulatory Analysis Guidelines of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission,” draft Revision 5, January 2020a (ADAMS Accession No. ML19261A277).
NRC, NUREG-2228, “Weld Residual Stress Finite Element Analysis Validation: Part II-Proposed Validation Procedure,” July 2020b (ADAMS Accession No. ML 20212L592).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.84, “Design, Fabrication, and Materials Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section III,” Revision 39, October 2021a (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A225).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.147, “Inservice Inspection Code Case Acceptability, ASME Section XI, Division 1,” Revision 20, October 2021b (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A222).
NRC, Regulatory Guide 1.192, “Operation and Maintenance Code Case Acceptability, ASME OM Code,” Revision 4, October 2021c (ADAMS Accession No. ML21181A223).
Table A-1 Major Assumptions and Input Data
Data Element |
Best Estimate |
Unit |
Source or Basis of Estimate |
Key Years |
|||
Year of final rule |
2022 |
year |
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) input. |
Analysis base year |
2021 |
year |
NRC input. |
Number of Reactor Units |
|||
Number of currently operating reactor units in 2022 |
92 |
units |
Based on Appendix A to NUREG-1350, Volume 32, “2020–2021 Information Digest,” issued October 2020. |
Number of forecasted operating reactor units in 2025 |
91 |
units |
Based on NUREG-1350, Volume 32, Appendix A; the staff anticipates operation of Vogtle Electric Generating Plant, Units 3 and 4, in 2021 and 2022, respectively. |
Number of forecasted operating reactor units in 2026 |
90 |
units |
Based on NUREG-1350, Volume 32, Appendix A; the staff anticipates operation of Vogtle Electric Generating Plant, Units 3 and 4, in 2021 and 2022, respectively. |
Number of Sites |
|||
Number of sites with currently operating reactors in 2022 |
52 |
sites |
Information on operating reactor sites was obtained from the NRC’s “Operating Nuclear Power Reactors (by Location or Name)” at https://www.nrc.gov/info-finder/reactors/ with data current as of March 24, 2021 (last accessed on April 15, 2021). |
Number of sites forecasted with currently operating reactors in 2025 |
51 |
sites |
Calculation: [total number of sites with operating reactors] + [sites with construction completed in years 2020 through 2024] - [sites with all units closed in years 2020 through 2024]. Information on operating reactor sites was obtained from the NRC’s “Operating Nuclear Power Reactors (by Location or Name)” https://www.nrc.gov/info-finder/reactors/ with data current as of March 24, 2021 (last accessed on April 15, 2021). |
Applicability Period (Years) |
|||
Final rule applicability term |
6 |
years |
Code Cases last 3 years and are typically renewed once, for a total of 6 years. |
Labor Rates |
|||
Executive |
$229 |
Dollars per hour |
Labor rates used are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employer Costs for National Compensation Survey dataset, 2020 values. These hourly rates were inflated to 2021 dollars using values of the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. A multiplier of 2.4, which includes fringe and indirect management costs, was then applied and resulted in the displayed labor rates. |
Managers |
$144 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
Technical staff |
$119 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
Administrative staff |
$76 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
Licensing staff |
$138 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
Nuclear engineer |
$153 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
Nuclear technician |
$107 |
Dollars per hour |
BLS tables. |
NRC staff |
$137 |
Dollars per hour |
NRC calculation, 2021. |
REGULATORY ANALYSIS FOR THE FINAL RULE: APPROVAL OF AMERICAN SOCIETY OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERS CODE CASES [NRC-2017-0025; RIN 3150-AJ94] DATED
DISTRIBUTION:
ASanders, NMSS |
FSchofer, NMSS |
JTappert, NMSS |
GLappert, NMSS |
ADAMS Accession No: PKG: ML21194A054; RA: ML21196A096 *concurred via email
OFFICE |
NMSS/REFS/RASB* |
QTE* |
NMSS/REFS/RASB/RAT* |
NMSS/DRM/RASB/BC |
NMSS/DRM/RRPB/BC |
NAME |
ASanders |
JDougherty |
FSchofer* |
CBladey (ALove-Blair for) |
IBerrios |
DATE |
6/15/21 |
6/28/21 |
6/29/21 |
10/19/2021 |
8/13/2021 |
OFFICE |
NMSS/REFS/D |
OGC |
NRR/D |
|
|
NAME |
JTappert (KCoyne for) |
SClark |
AVeil |
|
|
DATE |
12/2/2021 |
11/29/2021 |
|
|
|
OFFICIAL RECORD COPY
1 The editions and addenda of the ASME Code for Operation and Maintenance of Nuclear Power Plants have had different titles from 2005 to 2017 and are referred to collectively in this rule as the “OM Code.”
2 ASME categorizes Code Cases as one of three types: new, revised, or reaffirmed. A new Code Case provides a new alternative to specific ASME code provisions or addresses a new need. ASME defines a revised Code Case to be a revision (modification) to an existing Code Case to address, for example, technological advancements in examination techniques or to address NRC conditions imposed in one of the RGs that have been incorporated by reference into 10 CFR 50.55a. ASME defines “reaffirmed” as a Code Case that does not have any change to technical content but includes editorial changes.
3 See SRM-SECY-21-0029, “Rulemaking Plan on Relaxation of Inservice Testing and Inservice Inspection Program Update Frequencies Required in 10 CFR 50.55a,” dated November 8, 2021 (ADAMS Accession No. ML21312A490), for recent Commission direction regarding rulemaking to change the requirements for code of record updates.
4 The “social rate of time preference” discounting concept refers to the rate at which society is willing to postpone a marginal unit of current consumption in exchange for more future consumption.
5 “Opportunity cost” represents what is foregone by undertaking a given action. If the licensee personnel were not engaged in revising procedures, they would be occupied by other work activities. Throughout the analysis, the NRC estimates the opportunity cost of performing these incremental tasks as the industry personnel’s pay for the designated unit of time.
6 The NRC labor rates presented here differ from those developed under the NRC’s license fee recovery program (10 CFR Part 170, “Fees for facilities, materials, import and export licenses, and other regulatory services under the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended”). NRC labor rates for fee recovery purposes are appropriately designed for full-cost recovery of the services rendered and thus include nonincremental costs (e.g., overhead, administrative, and logistical support costs).
7 An ex ante cost-benefit analysis is prepared before a policy, program, or alternative is in place and can assist in the decision about whether resources should be allocated to that alternative.
8 Regulations in 10 CFR 50.55a(f)(4) and (g)(4) establish the effective ASME code edition and addenda to be used by licensees in performing IST of pumps and valves and ISIs of components (including supports), respectively. NRC Regulatory Issue Summary 2004-12, “Clarification on Use of Later Editions and Addenda to the ASME OM Code and Section XI,” dated July 28, 2004 (NRC, 2004), clarified the requirements for IST and ISI programs when using later editions and addenda of the ASME OM Code.
9 Information about this software is available at https://www.palisade.com.
10 A PERT distribution is a special form of the beta distribution with specified minimum and maximum values. The shape parameter is calculated from the defined most likely value. The PERT distribution is similar to a triangular distribution in that it has the same set of three parameters. Technically, it is a special case of a scaled beta (or beta general) distribution. The PERT distribution is generally considered superior to the triangular distribution when the parameters result in a skewed distribution, as the smooth shape of the curve places less emphasis in the direction of skew. Similar to the triangular distribution, the PERT distribution is bounded on both sides and, therefore, may not be adequate for modeling purposes that need to capture tail or extreme events.
File Type | application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document |
File Title | ASME 09-13 draft final RA |
Author | TGS |
File Modified | 0000-00-00 |
File Created | 2022-03-04 |