2022 Supporting Statement B - OMB Collection of Information Employing Statis

2022 Supporting Statement B - OMB Collection of Information Employing Statis.docx

Energy Right Program

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B. Collections of Information Employing Statistical Methods


1. To collect this information, TVA employs telephone, online, and mail surveys of residential households and businesses residing in the service area of one of the 154 local power companies (LPCs) that purchase power from TVA. This survey is conducted as an independent measure of indirect program impact, effectiveness of communication efforts, evolving household demographics, program administration, changes in the saturation of non-electric fuels, potential interest in distributed energy, possible adoption of demand response programs, interest in electrification programs, drivers of energy efficiency, and changes in saturation of electrical equipment. This information is not available from other public sources and must be gathered by TVA. The results of this survey aid groups such as TVA’s Enterprise Planning as well as Products and Services managers in assessing the effectiveness of TVA’s energy efficiency and demand response programs, planning improvements to existing programs, and designing new programs. Local power company staffs also use these results to determine ways to better meet the needs of their residential and commercial customers.


The respondent universe is comprised of households and businesses residing in the TVA service area. From this universe, sample sizes are calculated based on each LPCs total customer base and the proportion of overall TVA service area (Valley) customer base represented. TVA has developed a three-tiered approach to ensure that each LPCs survey sample size is sufficient for minimal analysis and based on customers served. More information on this approach can be found in Section B.2.


Samples sizes are calculated to attain representation with a minimum sample size of 30 for each LPC. Since reaching 30 completes per LPC is difficult, local power company samples are summed to the seven TVA geographically dispersed District levels. The total sample is designed for achieving a margin of error less than 2 percent at the 95 percent confidence level for the overall TVA service area. With sufficient sample sizes, statistical analysis can be completed down to the individual LPC service area for many LPCs. Results are summarized down to the LPC level; however, in most cases, TVA recommends using District or TVA level results when making substantive decisions from the data. Table 1 contains the overall framework using this sampling method.



TABLE 1

2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Albertville Municipal Utilities Board

7,902

Alabama

21

21.36%

Arab Electric Cooperative

12,458

Alabama

36

16.31%

Athens Electric Department, City of

34,227

Alabama

42

15.11%

Bessemer Electric Service

9,476

Alabama

20

21.89%

Cherokee Electric Cooperative

17,330

Alabama

21

21.37%

Courtland Electric Department

652

Alabama

0

0.00%

Cullman Electric Cooperative

35,273

Alabama

43

14.94%

Cullman Power Board

6,511

Alabama

6

39.99%

Decatur Utilities

22,517

Alabama

34

16.79%

Florence Utilities

40,482

Alabama

86

10.56%

Fort Payne Improvement Authority

6,464

Alabama

11

29.53%

Franklin Electric Cooperative

6,530

Alabama

3

56.57%

Guntersville Electric Board

4,681

Alabama

13

27.15%

Hartselle Utilities

4,300

Alabama

5

43.81%

Huntsville Utilities

160,556

Alabama

270

5.96%

Joe Wheeler Electric Membership Corporation

34,756

Alabama

64

12.24%

Marshall-DeKalb Electric Cooperative

14,808

Alabama

34

16.79%

Muscle Shoals Electric Board

6,311

Alabama

14

26.16%

North Alabama Electric Cooperative

13,041

Alabama

20

21.90%

Russellville Electric Board

3,927

Alabama

2

69.29%

Sand Mountain Electric Cooperative

25,158

Alabama

31

17.59%

Scottsboro Electric Power Board

6,706

Alabama

23

20.40%

Sheffield Utilities

15,337

Alabama

26

19.20%

Tarrant Electric Department

2,156

Alabama

6

39.96%

Tuscumbia Electricity Department

3,940

Alabama

5

43.80%

Alabama District Totals

495,499


836

3.39%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Benton Electric System

1,847

Kentucky

4

48.96%

Bowling Green Municipal Utilities

24,775

Kentucky

32

17.31%

Franklin Electric Plant Board

3,773

Kentucky

7

37.01%

Fulton Electric System

1,244

Kentucky

0

0.00%

Glasgow Electric Plant Board

5,466

Kentucky

8

34.63%

Hickman Electric Plant Board

870

Kentucky

3

56.52%

Hopkinsville Electric System

10,300

Kentucky

24

19.98%

Mayfield Electric and Water Systems

4,434

Kentucky

8

34.62%

Murray Electric System

6,398

Kentucky

20

21.88%

Pennyrile Rural Electric Cooperative Corporation

42,525

Kentucky

61

12.54%

Russellville Electric Plant Board

3,214

Kentucky

4

48.98%

Tri-County Electric Membership Corporation

41,875

Kentucky

41

15.30%

Warren Rural Electric Cooperative Corporation

52,588

Kentucky

87

10.50%

West Kentucky Rural Electric Cooperative Corporation

30,436

Kentucky

21

21.38%

Kentucky District Totals

229,745


320

5.47%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Caney Fork Electric Cooperative

27,029

Middle TN

29

18.19%

Clarksville Department of Electricity (CDE) Lightband

60,290

Middle TN

66

12.06%

Columbia Power & Water Systems

22,496

Middle TN

24

19.99%

Cookeville Electric Department

14,029

Middle TN

17

23.75%

Cumberland Electric Membership Corporation

84,034

Middle TN

85

10.62%

Dickson Electric Department

27,745

Middle TN

42

15.11%

Duck River Electric Membership Corporation

62,606

Middle TN

89

10.38%

Fayetteville Public Utilities

15,688

Middle TN

13

27.17%

Gallatin Department of Electricity

15,197

Middle TN

15

25.29%

Lawrenceburg Utility Systems

17,011

Middle TN

17

23.76%

Lewisburg Electric System

4,535

Middle TN

5

43.81%

McMinnville Electric System

6,360

Middle TN

6

39.99%

Meriwether Lewis Electric Cooperative

28,390

Middle TN

38

15.89%

Middle Tennessee Electric Membership Corporation

185,383

Middle TN

192

7.07%

Mt. Pleasant Power System

3,181

Middle TN

7

37.01%

Murfreesboro Electric Department

52,119

Middle TN

44

14.77%

Nashville Electric Service

345,517

Middle TN

352

5.22%

PES Energize (Pulaski Electric System)

11,812

Middle TN

17

23.75%

Shelbyville Power System

8,493

Middle TN

11

29.53%

Smithville Electric System

2,053

Middle TN

0

0.00%

Sparta Electric & Public Works

2,180

Middle TN

3

56.55%

Springfield Department of Electricity

6,290

Middle TN

7

37.02%

Tullahoma Board of Public Utilities

8,746

Middle TN

11

29.53%

Upper Cumberland Electric Membership Corporation

41,587

Middle TN

46

14.44%

Winchester Utility System

4,671

Middle TN

9

32.64%

Middle Tennessee District Totals

1,057,442


1,145

2.89%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

4-County Electric Power Association

38,457

Mississippi

72

11.54%

Aberdeen Electric Department, City of

2,782

Mississippi

4

48.97%

Alcorn County Electric Power Association

14,716

Mississippi

28

18.50%

Amory Water & Electric

3,086

Mississippi

9

32.62%

Central Electric Power Association

29,673

Mississippi

31

17.59%

Columbus Light and Water Department

9,369

Mississippi

22

20.87%

East Mississippi Electric Power Association

32,284

Mississippi

11

29.54%

Holly Springs Utilities Department

8,686

Mississippi

5

43.82%

Louisville Utilities

2,535

Mississippi

2

69.28%

Macon Electric Department, City of

930

Mississippi

0

0.00%

Monroe County Electric Power Association

10,796

Mississippi

12

28.28%

Natchez Trace Electric Power Association

12,434

Mississippi

15

25.29%

New Albany Light, Gas & Water, City of

7,875

Mississippi

11

29.53%

North East Mississippi Electric Power Association

23,589

Mississippi

24

19.99%

Northcentral Mississippi Electric Power Association

24,908

Mississippi

36

16.32%

Okolona Electric Department, City of

4,167

Mississippi

4

48.98%

Oxford Electric Department, City of

7,407

Mississippi

2

69.29%

Philadelphia Utilities

2,806

Mississippi

4

48.97%

Pontotoc Electric Power Association

15,227

Mississippi

19

22.47%

Prentiss County Electric Power Association

10,808

Mississippi

13

27.17%

Starkville Utilities

11,376

Mississippi

24

19.98%

Tallahatchie Valley Electric Power Association

21,387

Mississippi

36

16.32%

Tippah Electric Power Association

10,406

Mississippi

20

21.89%

Tishomingo County Electric Power Association

10,891

Mississippi

11

29.53%

Tombigbee Electric Power Association

35,338

Mississippi

64

12.24%

Tupelo Water & Light Department, City of

10,591

Mississippi

38

15.87%

Water Valley Electric Department, City of

1,555

Mississippi

0

0.00%

West Point Electric System, City of

3,178

Mississippi

6

39.98%

Mississippi District Totals

367,257


523

4.28%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Alcoa Electric Department, City of

25,243

Northeast

34

16.80%

Appalachian Electric Cooperative

39,633

Northeast

62

12.44%

Bristol Tennessee Essential Services

28,797

Northeast

50

13.85%

BVU Authority

13,605

Northeast

17

23.75%

Clinton Utilities Board

25,311

Northeast

24

20.00%

Elizabethton Electric Department, City of

22,952

Northeast

37

16.10%

Erwin Utilities

7,592

Northeast

9

32.65%

Greeneville Light and Power System

30,970

Northeast

37

16.10%

Harriman Utility Board

9,256

Northeast

15

25.28%

Holston Electric Cooperative

24,901

Northeast

22

20.88%

Jellico Electric and Water Systems

3,702

Northeast

5

43.80%

Johnson City Power Board

66,762

Northeast

82

10.82%

Knoxville Utilities Board

179,100

Northeast

200

6.93%

LaFollette Utilities

19,022

Northeast

17

23.76%

Lenoir City Utilities Board

52,145

Northeast

50

13.85%

Maryville Electric Department, City of

18,114

Northeast

24

19.99%

Morristown Utilities Commission

11,862

Northeast

8

34.64%

Mountain Electric Cooperative, Inc.

27,455

Northeast

27

18.85%

Newport Utilities

18,575

Northeast

15

25.29%

Oak Ridge Electric Department

13,096

Northeast

27

18.84%

Plateau Electric Cooperative

13,891

Northeast

16

24.49%

Powell Valley Electric Cooperative

25,978

Northeast

31

17.59%

Sevier County Electric System

35,546

Northeast

44

14.77%

Northeast District Totals

713,508


853

3.35%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Athens Utilities Board

10,948

Southeast

19

22.46%

Blue Ridge Mountain Electric Membership Corporation

39,964

Southeast

43

14.94%

Chickamauga Electric System

848

Southeast

3

56.51%

Cleveland Utilities

26,600

Southeast

37

16.10%

Dayton Electric Department, City of

8,617

Southeast

6

40.00%

EPB (Chattanooga)

153,982

Southeast

150

8.00%

Etowah Utilities

4,387

Southeast

7

37.02%

Fort Loudoun Electric Cooperative

27,552

Southeast

29

18.19%

Loudon Utilities

10,055

Southeast

17

23.75%

Murphy Electric Power Board

3,431

Southeast

3

56.56%

North Georgia Electric Membership Corporation

84,406

Southeast

107

9.47%

Rockwood Electric Utility

11,550

Southeast

9

32.66%

Sequachee Valley Electric Cooperative

29,653

Southeast

28

18.51%

Sweetwater Utilities Board

7,096

Southeast

4

48.99%

Tri-State Electric Membership Corporation

15,378

Southeast

22

20.88%

Volunteer Energy Cooperative

95,534

Southeast

118

9.02%

Southeast District Totals

530,001


602

3.99%


2018 RESIDENTIAL SATURATION MARGIN OF ERROR SUMMARY

Local Power Company

2018 Residents

District

2018 Sample

2018 Margin of Error

Benton County Electric System

8,494

West TN

14

26.17%

Bolivar Energy Authority

8,767

West TN

2

69.29%

Brownsville Utility Department

4,241

West TN

4

48.98%

Carroll County Electric Department

12,211

West TN

19

22.47%

Chickasaw Electric Cooperative

16,110

West TN

13

27.17%

Covington Electric System

3,724

West TN

11

29.51%

Dyersburg Electric System

9,407

West TN

5

43.82%

Forked Deer Electric Cooperative, Inc.

8,305

West TN

4

48.99%

Gibson Electric Membership Corporation

31,713

West TN

33

17.05%

Humboldt Utilities

3,488

West TN

2

69.29%

Jackson Energy Authority

29,187

West TN

44

14.76%

Lexington Electric System

17,897

West TN

16

24.49%

Memphis Light, Gas and Water Division

360,916

West TN

362

5.15%

Milan Department of Public Utilities

6,769

West TN

13

27.16%

Newbern Electric Water and Gas

1,429

West TN

0

0.00%

Paris Board of Public Utilities

15,472

West TN

20

21.90%

Pickwick Electric Cooperative

16,424

West TN

26

19.20%

Ripley Power & Light

5,337

West TN

11

29.52%

Southwest Tennessee Electric Membership Corporation

42,127

West TN

58

12.86%

Tennessee Valley Electric Cooperative

15,935

West TN

10

30.98%

Trenton Light & Water Department

1,945

West TN

3

56.55%

Union City Electric System

5,241

West TN

17

23.73%

Weakley County Municipal Electric System

15,765

West TN

34

16.79%

West Tennessee District Totals

640,904


721

3.65%






Valley Totals

4,034,356

 

5000

1.39%



U.S. Postal Service (USPS) zip codes are used to define the sample frame


2. The survey population is comprised of all residential households or businesses residing in the TVA service area. From this population, sample sizes are calculated based on each local power company’s total customer base and the proportion of overall TVA service area residential customers represented. Sample sizes are determined based on a pooled proportion formula and have a goal of attaining 30 responses for each local power company. Individual LPC samples are summed to the seven TVA geographically dispersed District levels. The total sample is designed for achieving a margin of error less than 2 percent at the 95 percent confidence level for the overall Valley. See Table 1 above.


When this method of sampling is used, local power companies within each stratum remain relatively stable due to similar growth patterns over time. While TVA would like to have this information annually with error margins of less than one percent, this is not practical from a cost standpoint or from a response burden. Attaining an overall margin of error of 1.3 percent to 1.8 percent provides sufficient differentiation that TVA can reasonably determine whether the EnergyRight® programs are having an indirect impact on Valley residents. While error margins at the local power company and District level vary, trends and differences can be seen for the larger power companies and the Districts. Also, TVA offers local power companies the opportunity to request some data by local power company groups. These may be groups of power companies that wish to aggregate service areas for some reason. Reasons might include pooling advertising resources due to a viewing or listening area boundary and the need to determine appropriate messages for these boundaries. A frequency of two to three years provides data at sufficient intervals that trends and changes can be seen without overburdening residents with surveys. This is also possible since this is an indirect measure of the EnergyRight® programs’ effectiveness.


Due to the quota sampling method described earlier, it is also necessary to weight responses by local power company. This weighting is designed to account for the over-representation of the samples for smaller power companies Weights are determined by dividing the proportion of the overall Valley residential customer base represented by a local power company’s residential customers by the proportion of the overall Valley residential sample represented by a local power company’s sample.


Local Power Company Weight = Local Power Company Proportion of Residential Customers

Local Power Company Proportion of Sample


For simplicity, weights are rounded to the nearest hundredth for analysis. Residential results are also weighted by data from the American Community Survey (ACS). Five-year trend results are used from data on all counties which comprise TVA’s market area. Weights are based on homeownership, age of the residence, units in structure, and age of householders.


Commercial and industrial studies are weighted to D&B counts by TVA District, building type, and square footage.


4. The survey instrument used may be modified slightly between iterations depending upon changes in language usage, appliance availability, and appliance usage patterns. However, most questions remain consistent over time to enhance reliability. Modifications to the survey are carefully considered by various TVA staff that will use the information and are tested by the contractor before launching the fieldwork for the survey. These interviews, as well as the training, are monitored by TVA staff members. Also, as interviews begin, calls are monitored closely in a further effort to ensure the reliability of the data gathered.


5. When questions regarding statistical aspects of the survey methodology and analysis arise, TVA relies on our contractor staff. For the most recent study, KANTAR was the contractor. KANTAR is a full-service global strategy and research organization specializing in public policy and opinion surveys, banking and finance, telecommunications, media, energy, transportation, insurance, and health care. The KANTAR staff who work on TVA related surveys are listed below.



Chris Freehauf

VP, Client Services

KANTAR

3630 Peachtree Road NE, 11th Floor

Atlanta, GA 30326

t: 404-801-3727


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