Crop Production Report

Crop
Production
Washington, D.C.

Released September 12, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of
Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Up 2 Percent from August Forecast
Soybean Production Down Slightly
Cotton Production Up 3 Percent
Corn production is forecast at 13.3 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month and 26 percent above 2006. Based
on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 155.8 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from August
and 6.7 bushels above last year. If realized, this would be the second highest yield on record, behind the
160.4 bushel yield in 2004. Production would be the largest on record as growers expect to harvest the most corn
acres for grain since 1933. Expected yields are higher than last month across the northern and central Great Plains
and Corn Belt where heavy rainfall during the month provided much-needed moisture for the crop. Yield forecasts
in the southern Great Plains and Delta are also higher than last month as early harvest results are better than
anticipated. Yields are unchanged or lower than August across much of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic States.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.62 billion bushels, down slightly from the August forecast and down 18 percent
from last year’s record high. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.4 bushels per
acre, down 0.1 bushel from last month and down 1.3 bushels from last year. Compared with last month, yields are
forecast lower across the central Corn Belt, the Tennessee Valley, and the Southeast. Hot, dry conditions
contributed to most of the decline, especially in Kentucky and Tennessee, down 8 bushels and 9 bushels from last
month, respectively. However, yields increased from the August 1 forecast in the northern Great Plains and
northwestern Corn Belt, as beneficial rains fell during the month of August.
All Cotton production is forecast at 17.8 million 480-pound bales, up 3 percent from last month but down
17 percent from last year’s 21.6 million bales. Yield is expected to average 811 pounds per harvested acre, up
28 pounds from last month but down 3 pounds from 2006. Harvested area is expected to total 10.5 million acres of
all cotton, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year. Upland cotton production is
forecast at 17.0 million 480-pound bales, up 3 percent from last month but down 18 percent from last year.
Compared with last month, lower upland production forecasts in the Delta and Southeast were offset by the
15 percent increase in Texas production to 7.00 million 480-pound bales. American-Pima production is forecast at
793,000 bales, down 2 percent from last month but up 4 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested area is
expected to total 289,000 acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 11 percent from 2006.
California navel orange production for the 2007-08 season is forecast at 43.0 million boxes (1.61 million tons), up
26 percent from last season’s revised production of 34.0 million boxes (1.28 million tons). This initial forecast is
based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the California Central Valley between July 25 and
August 30. Based on this survey, average fruit per tree is nearly 100 oranges higher than was measured in last
season’s survey but average fruit size is slightly smaller.

Cr Pr 2-2 (9-07)

This report was approved on September 12, 2007.

Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Carol C. House

Acting Secretary of
Agriculture
Mark Keenum

Crop Production
September 2007

2

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Contents
Page
Grains & Hay
Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Plant Population Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Sorghum for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Oilseeds
Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Cumulative Boll Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts
Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Hazelnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Walnuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Citrus Fruits
Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops
Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Crop Production
September 2007

3

33
20
41
39
30
32

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Area Harvested
State

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Bushels

AL
AR
CA
CO
DE
GA
IL
IN
IA
KS
KY
LA
MD
MI
MN
MS
MO
NE
NJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
PA
SC
SD
TN
TX
VA
WA
WI
Oth
Sts 1
US
1

Yield

Production
2007

Aug 1

Sep 1

Bushels

Bushels

2006

2007

1,000 Bushels

1,000 Bushels

165
180
110
860
161
225
11,150
5,380
12,350
3,000
1,040
290
425
1,960
6,850
325
2,630
7,750
64
45
480
740
1,400
2,960
220
960
290
3,220
500
1,450
345
75
2,800

240
530
190
1,050
175
480
13,000
6,450
13,950
3,400
1,340
730
470
2,230
7,650
950
3,380
8,700
84
45
540
1,030
2,200
3,780
250
1,000
370
4,450
780
1,850
400
130
3,300

72.0
146.0
165.0
156.0
145.0
112.0
163.0
157.0
166.0
115.0
146.0
140.0
142.0
147.0
161.0
110.0
138.0
152.0
129.0
185.0
129.0
132.0
111.0
159.0
105.0
122.0
110.0
97.0
125.0
121.0
120.0
210.0
143.0

65.0
153.0
170.0
150.0
80.0
115.0
178.0
157.0
180.0
132.0
120.0
150.0
90.0
111.0
156.0
125.0
137.0
168.0
112.0
185.0
123.0
94.0
125.0
143.0
135.0
110.0
100.0
117.0
95.0
142.0
80.0
210.0
145.0

65.0
155.0
175.0
150.0
80.0
120.0
180.0
160.0
182.0
135.0
120.0
160.0
85.0
113.0
158.0
130.0
140.0
174.0
105.0
185.0
123.0
89.0
127.0
150.0
138.0
110.0
100.0
124.0
100.0
144.0
80.0
210.0
148.0

11,880
26,280
18,150
134,160
23,345
25,200
1,817,450
844,660
2,050,100
345,000
151,840
40,600
60,350
288,120
1,102,850
35,750
362,940
1,178,000
8,256
8,325
61,920
97,680
155,400
470,640
23,100
117,120
31,900
312,340
62,500
175,450
41,400
15,750
400,400

15,600
82,150
33,250
157,500
14,000
57,600
2,340,000
1,032,000
2,538,900
459,000
160,800
116,800
39,950
251,990
1,208,700
123,500
473,200
1,513,800
8,820
8,325
66,420
91,670
279,400
567,000
34,500
110,000
37,000
551,800
78,000
266,400
32,000
27,300
488,400

248

294

145.2

142.9

143.6

36,012

42,224

70,648

85,418

149.1

152.8

155.8

10,534,868

13,307,999

Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop
Production 2007 Summary.”

Crop Production
September 2007

4

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Area Harvested
Yield
State

AR
CO
IL
KS
LA
MO
NE
NM
OK
SD
TX
Oth
Sts 1

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Bushels

2007
Aug 1

Sep 1

Bushels

Bushels

Production
2006

2007

1,000 Bushels

1,000 Bushels

60
130
72
2,500
87
95
240
60
200
80
1,300

210
160
78
2,600
205
95
150
70
210
180
2,500

85.0
26.0
89.0
58.0
96.0
85.0
80.0
35.0
34.0
36.0
48.0

87.0
42.0
90.0
74.0
93.0
98.0
95.0
45.0
57.0
42.0
67.0

87.0
44.0
90.0
79.0
96.0
98.0
98.0
37.0
53.0
50.0
69.0

5,100
3,380
6,408
145,000
8,352
8,075
19,200
2,100
6,800
2,880
62,400

18,270
7,040
7,020
205,400
19,680
9,310
14,700
2,590
11,130
9,000
172,500

113

240

69.4

73.9

75.5

7,843

18,110

494,750
277,538
73.9
70.9
56.2
6,698
4,937
US
1
Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop
Production 2007 Summary.”

Crop Production
September 2007

5

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Planted and Harvested by Class, State, and
United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1
Class
and
State

Area Planted
2005

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Area Harvested
2007

2

2005

2006

2007 2

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Long Grain
1,000 Acres

AR
CA
LA
MS
MO
TX

1,540.0
9.0
520.0
265.0
215.0
202.0

1,300.0
6.0
340.0
190.0
215.0
149.0

1,185.0
9.0
355.0
190.0
179.0
143.0

1,533.0
9.0
515.0
263.0
213.0
201.0

1,295.0
5.0
335.0
189.0
213.0
149.0

1,180.0
9.0
350.0
189.0
177.0
143.0

US

2,751.0

2,200.0

2,061.0

AR
CA
LA
MO
TX

102.0
465.0
10.0
1.0
0.0

105.0
460.0
10.0
1.0
1.0

Medium Grain
145.0
445.0
23.0
1.0
3.0

US

578.0

577.0

617.0
Short Grain
1.0
69.0

2,734.0

2,186.0

2,048.0

101.0
463.0
10.0
1.0
0.0

104.0
458.0
10.0
1.0
1.0

144.0
442.0
23.0
1.0
3.0

575.0

574.0

613.0

1.0
54.0

1.0
60.0

1.0
69.0

55.0

61.0

70.0

AR
CA

1.0
54.0

1.0
60.0

US

55.0

61.0

AR
CA
LA
MS
MO
TX

1,643.0
528.0
530.0
265.0
216.0
202.0

1,406.0
526.0
350.0
190.0
216.0
150.0

1,331.0
523.0
378.0
190.0
180.0
146.0

1,635.0
526.0
525.0
263.0
214.0
201.0

1,400.0
523.0
345.0
189.0
214.0
150.0

1,325.0
520.0
373.0
189.0
178.0
146.0

US

3,384.0

2,838.0

2,748.0

3,364.0

2,821.0

2,731.0

1
2

70.0
All

Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain.
Updated from “Acreage” released June 29, 2007.

Crop Production
September 2007

6

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Rice: Yield and Production by Class, State, and
United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1
Class
and
State

Yield
2005

2006

Pounds

Pounds

Production
2007

AR
CA
LA
MS
MO
TX

6,650
7,100
5,900
6,400
6,600
6,800

6,860
5,800
5,820
7,000
6,400
7,200

US

6,493

6,689

Aug 1

Sep 1
Long Grain

Pounds

Pounds

2005

2006

2007 2

1,000 Cwt

1,000 Cwt

1,000 Cwt

101,945
639
30,385
16,832
14,058
13,668

88,837
290
19,497
13,230
13,632
10,728

177,527

146,214

6,787
34,957
598
66
0

7,020
36,090
596
64
32

42,408

43,802

60
3,240

60
3,660

3,300

3,720

4,445

108,792
38,836
30,983
16,832
14,124
13,668

95,917
40,040
20,093
13,230
13,696
10,760

92,088
42,640
22,380
13,419
12,104
9,198

138,240

Medium Grain
AR
CA
LA
MO
TX

6,720
7,550
5,980
6,600
0

6,750
7,880
5,960
6,400
3,200

US

7,375

7,631

49,144

Short Grain
AR
CA

6,000
6,000

6,000
6,100

US

6,000

6,098

AR
CA
LA
MS
MO
TX

6,650
7,380
5,900
6,400
6,600
6,800

6,850
7,660
5,820
7,000
6,400
7,170

All
6,950
8,200
6,000
7,100
6,800
6,300

6,950
8,000
5,900
7,100
6,700
6,800

US
6,636
6,868
6,984
7,024
223,235
193,736
191,829
1
Sweet rice acreage and production included with short grain.
2
Indicated September 1, 2007, rice class estimates are based on a 5-year average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted
as data become available through the growing season. State estimates by class will be published in the “Crop Production 2007
Summary.”

Crop Production
September 2007

7

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Area Harvested
State

AL
AR
DE
GA
IL
IN
IA
KS
KY
LA
MD
MI
MN
MS
MO
NE
NJ
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
PA
SC
SD
TN
TX
VA
WI
Oth
Sts 1
US
1

Yield

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Bushels

Production
2007

Aug 1

Sep 1

Bushels

Bushels

2006

2007

1,000 Bushels

1,000 Bushels

150
3,070
177
140
10,050
5,680
10,100
3,080
1,370
840
465
1,990
7,250
1,650
5,110
5,010
86
198
1,360
3,870
4,620
215
425
390
3,850
1,130
155
510
1,640

170
2,750
155
205
8,300
4,580
8,770
2,300
1,140
580
420
1,790
6,200
1,440
4,450
3,950
78
213
1,370
3,050
3,980
250
435
410
3,250
1,050
75
490
1,390

20.0
35.0
31.0
25.0
48.0
50.0
50.5
32.0
44.0
35.0
34.0
45.0
44.0
26.0
38.0
50.0
35.0
46.0
32.0
31.0
47.0
17.0
40.0
29.0
34.0
39.0
24.0
31.0
44.0

26.0
38.0
24.0
30.0
47.0
47.0
50.0
34.0
38.0
37.0
25.0
33.0
40.0
39.0
37.0
50.0
27.0
37.0
27.0
34.0
44.0
24.0
39.0
26.0
35.0
33.0
32.0
25.0
43.0

20.0
38.0
24.0
29.0
46.0
43.0
51.0
34.0
30.0
39.0
25.0
33.0
42.0
39.0
37.0
52.0
27.0
37.0
22.0
35.0
44.0
24.0
39.0
22.0
40.0
24.0
32.0
27.0
42.0

3,000
107,450
5,487
3,500
482,400
284,000
510,050
98,560
60,280
29,400
15,810
89,550
319,000
42,900
194,180
250,500
3,010
9,108
43,520
119,970
217,140
3,655
17,000
11,310
130,900
44,070
3,720
15,810
72,160

3,400
104,500
3,720
5,945
381,800
196,940
447,270
78,200
34,200
22,620
10,500
59,070
260,400
56,160
164,650
205,400
2,106
7,881
30,140
106,750
175,120
6,000
16,965
9,020
130,000
25,200
2,400
13,230
58,380

21

24

38.4

35.9

34.5

807

829

74,602

63,265

42.7

41.5

41.4

3,188,247

2,618,796

Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop Production 2007 Summary.”

Crop Production
September 2007

8

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and
United States, 2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
State

2005

Area Planted
2006

2007

2005

Area Harvested
2006

2007 1

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

225.0
160.0
755.0
15.0
19.0
97.0
35.0
63.0
265.0
23.0

165.0
130.0
580.0
17.0
12.0
85.0
23.0
59.0
155.0
17.0

160.0
125.0
530.0
19.0
10.0
93.0
17.0
59.0
190.0
22.0

223.0
152.0
750.0
14.0
19.0
96.0
33.0
60.0
260.0
22.0

163.0
120.0
575.0
16.0
12.0
84.0
22.0
56.0
145.0
16.0

157.0
115.0
520.0
18.0
10.0
92.0
16.0
56.0
185.0
21.0

1,657.0

1,243.0
Yield

1,225.0

1,629.0

1,209.0
Production

1,190.0

AL
FL
GA
MS
NM
NC
OK
SC
TX
VA
US
State

2005

2006

Pounds

Pounds

2007
Aug 1

Sep 1

Pounds

Pounds

2005

2006

2007

1,000 Pounds

1,000 Pounds

1,000 Pounds

2,300
2,800
2,800
3,100
3,500
3,000
3,100
3,100
3,600
2,800

2,200
2,700
2,900
3,100
3,500
2,300
3,200
2,800
3,300
2,400

613,250
410,400
2,130,000
44,800
66,500
288,000
107,910
168,000
975,000
66,000

407,500
300,000
1,581,250
48,000
43,200
268,800
66,000
173,600
536,500
49,600

345,400
310,500
1,508,000
55,800
35,000
211,600
51,200
156,800
610,500
50,400

2,909
2,874
2,989
US
1
Updated from “Crop Production” released August 10, 2007.

2,803

4,869,860

3,474,450

3,335,200

2,750
2,700
2,840
3,200
3,500
3,000
3,270
2,800
3,750
3,000

AL
FL
GA
MS
NM
NC
OK
SC
TX
VA

2,500
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,600
3,200
3,000
3,100
3,700
3,100

Cotton: Area Planted by Type, State,
and United States, 2006-2007
Upland

State

1

Amer-Pima

All

2006

2007 1

2006

2007 1

2006

2007 1

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

AL
AZ
AR
CA
FL
GA
KS
LA
MS
MO
NM
NC
OK
SC
TN
TX
VA

575.0
190.0
1,170.0
285.0
103.0
1,400.0
115.0
635.0
1,230.0
500.0
50.0
870.0
320.0
300.0
700.0
6,400.0
105.0

400.0
180.0
860.0
195.0
84.0
1,040.0
50.0
330.0
660.0
390.0
50.0
500.0
175.0
180.0
500.0
4,900.0
60.0

US

14,948.0

10,554.0

7.0

3.0

275.0

260.0

13.0

5.0

31.0

25.0

326.0

293.0

575.0
197.0
1,170.0
560.0
103.0
1,400.0
115.0
635.0
1,230.0
500.0
63.0
870.0
320.0
300.0
700.0
6,431.0
105.0

400.0
183.0
860.0
455.0
84.0
1,040.0
50.0
330.0
660.0
390.0
55.0
500.0
175.0
180.0
500.0
4,925.0
60.0

15,274.0

10,847.0

Updated from “Acreage” released June 29, 2007.

Crop Production
September 2007

9

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,
and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Type
and
State

Area Harvested

Production 1

Yield

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Pounds

2007
Aug 1

Sep 1

Pounds

Pounds

2006

2007

1,000 Bales 2

1,000 Bales 2

Upland
AL
AZ
AR
CA
FL
GA
KS
LA
MS
MO
NM
NC
OK
SC
TN
TX
VA

560.0
188.0
1,160.0
283.0
101.0
1,370.0
110.0
630.0
1,220.0
496.0
48.0
865.0
180.0
298.0
695.0
4,100.0
104.0

390.0
178.0
850.0
194.0
82.0
1,010.0
45.0
325.0
655.0
389.0
44.0
495.0
165.0
178.0
495.0
4,700.0
59.0

579
1,420
1,045
1,321
789
818
511
946
829
953
930
713
541
697
945
679
717

652
1,375
1,083
1,383
785
792
576
946
960
941
1,042
682
700
650
869
623
600

578
1,375
1,045
1,410
644
808
480
960
953
925
1,113
611
698
485
815
715
586

675.0
556.0
2,525.0
779.0
166.0
2,334.0
117.0
1,241.0
2,107.0
985.0
93.0
1,285.0
203.0
433.0
1,368.0
5,800.0
155.4

470.0
510.0
1,850.0
570.0
110.0
1,700.0
45.0
650.0
1,300.0
750.0
102.0
630.0
240.0
180.0
840.0
7,000.0
72.0

US

12,408.0

10,254.0

806

767

797

20,822.4

17,019.0

7.0
274.0
12.5
30.0

3.0
257.0
5.0
24.0

919
1,204
768
720

900
1,379
747
935

880
1,382
720
800

13.4
687.0
20.0
45.0

5.5
740.0
7.5
40.0

323.5

289.0

1,136

1,325

1,317

765.4

793.0

560.0
195.0
1,160.0
557.0
101.0
1,370.0
110.0
630.0
1,220.0
496.0
60.5
865.0
180.0
298.0
695.0
4,130.0
104.0

390.0
181.0
850.0
451.0
82.0
1,010.0
45.0
325.0
655.0
389.0
49.0
495.0
165.0
178.0
495.0
4,724.0
59.0

579
1,402
1,045
1,263
789
818
511
946
829
953
897
713
541
697
945
679
717

652
1,365
1,083
1,381
785
792
576
946
960
941
994
682
700
650
869
624
600

578
1,367
1,045
1,394
644
808
480
960
953
925
1,073
611
698
485
815
715
586

675.0
569.4
2,525.0
1,466.0
166.0
2,334.0
117.0
1,241.0
2,107.0
985.0
113.0
1,285.0
203.0
433.0
1,368.0
5,845.0
155.4

470.0
515.5
1,850.0
1,310.0
110.0
1,700.0
45.0
650.0
1,300.0
750.0
109.5
630.0
240.0
180.0
840.0
7,040.0
72.0

10,543.0

814

783

811

21,587.8

17,812.0

Amer-Pima
AZ
CA
NM
TX
US
All
AL
AZ
AR
CA
FL
GA
KS
LA
MS
MO
NM
NC
OK
SC
TN
TX
VA
1
2

12,731.5
US
Production ginned and to be ginned.
480-lb. net weight bale.

Crop Production
September 2007

10

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,
2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
2005

Production
2006

2007 1

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

State

US
1

8,172.1

7,347.9

6,163.0

Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Production 1
Area Harvested
Yield 1
State

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Tons

2007
Aug 1

Sep 1

Tons

Tons

2006

2007

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

FL
HI
LA
TX

400.0
22.4
435.0
40.7

396.0
22.5
420.0
45.0

35.9
75.0
27.3
41.2

39.0
79.0
29.0
41.0

36.9
79.0
29.0
40.9

14,346
1,681
11,876
1,677

14,612
1,778
12,180
1,841

US
1
Net tons.

898.1

883.5

32.9

35.3

34.4

29,580

30,411

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and United States,
2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1
Area Harvested
State

CA
CO
ID
MI
MN
MT
NE
ND
OR
WA
WY

Yield

2006

2007

2006

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Tons

43.1
38.0
187.0
154.0
477.0
48.5
57.8
243.0
13.1
2.0
40.1

39.1
29.3
167.0
149.0
475.0
47.0
44.5
247.0
11.0
2.0
30.5

Production
2007

Aug 1

Sep 1

Tons

Tons

35.4
24.0
29.8
21.0
22.6
25.0
21.5
23.2
28.4
38.0
21.0

36.1
23.4
31.7
23.2
24.9
27.0
23.3
26.0
30.1
37.0
19.9

35.4
25.4
30.5
21.5
22.4
26.0
23.3
23.0
30.6
38.0
22.0

2006

2007

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

1,556
889
5,928
3,573
11,877
1,310
1,347
6,318
394
74
798

1,384
744
5,094
3,204
10,640
1,222
1,037
5,681
337
76
671

30,090
34,064
24.2
24.0
26.1
1,241.4
1,303.6
US
1
Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in central
CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA.

Crop Production
September 2007

11

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and
United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Type
and
State

Area Harvested
2006

2007

2006

Acres

Acres

Pounds

CT 1
FL 2
GA
KY
MA 1
MO 1
NC
OH
PA
SC
TN
VA

2,500
1,100
17,000
83,000
1,150
1,500
158,800
3,500
7,900
23,000
19,800
19,650

US

338,900

1
2

Yield

Production
2007

Aug 1

Sep 1

Pounds

Pounds

2007

1,000 Pounds

1,000 Pounds

4,970

2,100
2,018
1,746
2,100
1,991
1,800
2,166
2,250
2,056
1,989

3,992
2,860
30,090
186,780
1,820
3,375
330,410
7,000
16,240
48,300
49,135
46,642

42,000
176,600
2,130
3,570
336,400
5,940
17,110
49,500
39,175
40,980

2,023

726,644

718,375

1,775

1,775

20,000
87,500
1,220
1,700
169,000
3,300
7,900
22,000
19,050
20,600

1,597
2,600
1,770
2,250
1,583
2,250
2,081
2,000
2,056
2,100
2,482
2,374

2,100
2,141
1,746
2,100
2,190
1,800
2,161
2,250
2,416
2,351

355,070

2,144

2,189

2,800

2006

Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.
Estimates discontinued in 2007.

Crop Production
September 2007

12

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,
State, and United States, 2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-cured
FL 1
GA
NC
SC
VA
US
Class 2, Fire-cured
KY
TN
VA
US
Class 3, Air-cured
Light Air-cured
Burley
KY
MO 2
NC
OH
PA
TN
VA
US
Southern MD Belt
PA
Total Light Air-cured
Dark Air-cured
KY
TN
US
Class 4, Cigar Filler
PA Seedleaf
PA
Class 5, Cigar Filler
CT Valley Binder
CT 2
MA 2
US 2
Class 6, Cigar Wrapper
CT Valley Shade-grown
CT 2
MA 2
US 2
All Cigar Types

Area Harvested
2006
2007

2006

2007

Acres

Pounds

Pounds

Acres

Yield

Production
2006
2007
1,000 Pounds

1,000 Pounds

1,100
17,000
155,000
23,000
17,000
213,100

20,000
165,000
22,000
18,000
225,000

2,600
1,770
2,090
2,100
2,430
2,095

2,100
2,000
2,250
2,000
2,033

2,860
30,090
323,950
48,300
41,310
446,510

42,000
330,000
49,500
36,000
457,500

6,200
5,300
350
11,850

6,500
6,400
400
13,300

3,500
3,200
2,090
3,324

3,000
2,700
2,000
2,826

21,700
16,960
732
39,392

19,500
17,280
800
37,580

73,000
1,500
3,800
3,500
5,500
14,000
2,300
103,600

77,000
1,700
4,000
3,300
5,000
12,000
2,200
105,200

2,100
2,250
1,700
2,000
2,100
2,200
2,000
2,095

1,900
2,100
1,600
1,800
2,150
1,700
1,900
1,878

153,300
3,375
6,460
7,000
11,550
30,800
4,600
217,085

146,300
3,570
6,400
5,940
10,750
20,400
4,180
197,540

1,100
104,700

1,100
106,300

1,900
2,093

2,100
1,880

2,090
219,175

2,310
199,850

3,800
500
4,300

4,000
650
4,650

3,100
2,750
3,059

2,700
2,300
2,644

11,780
1,375
13,155

10,800
1,495
12,295

1,300

1,800

2,000

2,250

2,600

4,050

1,650
950
2,600

1,800
1,000
2,800

1,760
1,610
1,705

1,900
1,800
1,864

2,904
1,530
4,434

3,420
1,800
5,220

850
200
1,050
4,950

1,000
220
1,220
5,820

1,280
1,450
1,312
1,699

1,550
1,500
1,541
1,916

1,088
290
1,378
8,412

1,550
330
1,880
11,150

355,070
338,900
All Tobacco
1
Estimates discontinued in 2007.
2
Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast.

2,144

2,023

726,644

718,375

Crop Production
September 2007

13

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal
Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007
Seasonal
Group and
State

Area Planted

Area Harvested

Yield

Production

2006

2007

2006

2007

2006

2007

2006

2007

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Cwt

Cwt

1,000 Cwt

1,000 Cwt

Winter 1
CA
FL 2

12.0
5.7

11.5

12.0
5.5

11.5

260
250

215

3,120
1,375

2,473

Total

17.7

11.5

17.5

11.5

257

215

4,495

2,473

3.9
15.3
23.1
17.0
6.1
17.7
10.7

4.0
15.5
27.8
16.5
11.3
16.0
9.7

3.9
15.3
22.6
16.6
6.0
15.5
10.2

4.0
15.5
27.2
16.2
11.0
14.5
9.2

300
395
285
285
285
210
280

280
395
284
280
290
190
320

1,170
6,044
6,441
4,731
1,710
3,255
2,856

1,120
6,123
7,726
4,536
3,190
2,755
2,944

Total

70.7

73.0

67.5

70.4

293

294

19,766

20,668

Summer
AL
CA
CO 3
DE
IL
KS
MD
MO
NJ
TX
VA

1.7
6.3
3.7
3.0
6.5
6.0
4.0
7.8
2.5
10.5
6.0

1.5
7.0
3.0
2.0
6.3
4.5
3.0
7.0
2.3
11.2
6.0

1.6
6.3
3.6
2.1
6.3
5.7
2.9
7.6
2.5
9.7
5.6

1.3
7.0
2.8
2.0
6.1
4.4
3.0
6.7
2.3
8.9
5.8

150
335
360
240
395
320
320
315
240
440
270

120
360
360
260
400
345
300
305
255
420
185

240
2,111
1,296
504
2,489
1,824
928
2,394
600
4,268
1,512

156
2,520
1,008
520
2,440
1,518
900
2,044
587
3,738
1,073

58.0

53.8

53.9

50.3

337

328

18,166

Spring 1
AZ
CA
FL 2
Hastings
Other FL
NC
TX

Total 3

See footnote(s) at end of table.

Crop Production
September 2007

16,504
--continued

14

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal
Group, State, and United States, 2006-2007 (continued)
Seasonal
Group and
State
Fall 3 4
CA
CO
ID
10 SW Co
Other ID
ME
MA
MI
MN
MT
NE
NV
NM
NY
ND
OH
OR
Malheur
Other OR
PA
RI
WA
WI
Total

Area Planted

Area Harvested

Yield

Production

2006

2007

2006

2007

2006

2007

2006

2007

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

Cwt

Cwt

1,000 Cwt

1,000 Cwt

8.6
59.9
335.0
21.0
314.0
58.5
3.1
43.5
51.0
10.6
19.5
6.6
5.0
20.6
100.0
3.3
35.0
3.5
31.5
11.0
0.5
156.0
66.0

7.5
59.2
350.0
24.0
326.0
57.5
2.7
42.5
50.0
10.8
20.5
7.5
5.5
20.0
95.0
2.9
36.5
3.5
33.0
10.5
0.6
165.0
65.0

8.6
59.7
334.0
21.0
313.0
58.0
3.1
43.0
48.0
10.5
19.4
6.6
5.0
19.0
98.0
3.1
35.0
3.5
31.5
10.5
0.5
155.0
66.0

7.5
59.0
348.0
24.0
324.0
57.0
2.7
42.0
47.0
10.7
20.2
7.5
5.5
19.3
90.0
2.7
36.5
3.5
33.0
10.0
0.6
165.0
65.0

450
380
386
475
380
310
240
330
425
335
450
445
420
300
260
325
530
435
540
260
260
580
445

3,870
22,686
128,915
9,975
118,940
17,980
744
14,190
20,400
3,518
8,730
2,937
2,100
5,700
25,480
1,008
18,533
1,523
17,010
2,730
130
89,900
29,370

993.7

1,009.2

983.0

996.2

406

398,921

1,121.9
1,147.5
1,140.1
393
US
1,128.4
1
Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2
Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes in 2007.
3
2006 crop revised.
4
The forecast of fall potato production will be published in “Crop Production” on November 9, 2007.

Crop Production
September 2007

15

441,348

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Varieties Planted, 2007 Crop
The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducts variety surveys in 8 States, accounting for 87 percent of the
2007 U.S. fall potato planted acres. Colorado data are from a growers potato variety survey. The remaining
7 States conduct objective yield surveys where all producing areas are sampled in proportion to planted acreage.
Variety data shown below are actual percentages from these surveys.
Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,
Selected States and 8 State Total, 2007 Crop 1
State
CO

Varieties
R Norkotah
Centennial R
Rio Grande R
R Nugget
Yukon Gold
Sangre
Cherry Red
Latonia
Durango Red
Colorado Rose
Purple Majesty
Chipeta
Atlantic
Other
Total

ID

R Burbank
Ranger R
R Norkotah
Western R
Alturas
Umatilla R
Shepody
Frito-Lay
Norland
Other
Total

ME

R Burbank
Frito-Lay
Superior
Shepody
Snowden
Yukon Gold
Goldrush
Katahdin
R Norkotah
Norland
Ontario
Atlantic
Monona
Norwis
Reba
Other

Total
See footnote(s) at end of table.

Crop Production
September 2007

Pct. of
Planted
Acres
50.0
9.0
8.0
5.6
3.8
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
19.7
100.0

State
MN

R Burbank
Norland
Umatilla R
Sangre
Cascade
NorValley
Dakota Rose
Red Pontiac
Ranger R
Snowden
Goldrush
Other
Total

ND

62.1
14.9
10.0
2.8
1.7
1.6
1.3
1.1
1.0
3.5
100.0
39.4
18.3
4.8
4.7
3.7
3.4
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.4
5.5

Varieties

R Burbank
Norland
Shepody
Ranger R
Umatilla R
Frito-Lay
Sangre
Dakota Pearl
Red LaSoda
NorValley
Goldrush
Other
Total

OR

R Burbank
R Norkotah
Ranger R
Shepody
Umatilla R
Alturas
Frito-Lay
Yukon Gold
NorValley
Other
Total

Pct. of
Planted
Acres
55.3
21.8
4.0
2.8
2.2
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.1
1.0
5.8
100.0
46.8
13.4
10.1
6.3
4.6
4.0
3.1
3.1
1.9
1.8
1.4
3.5
100.0
24.9
20.2
18.1
14.0
6.2
5.1
4.2
1.4
1.4
4.5
100.0

100.0
--continued

16

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Major Varieties Planted,
Selected States and 8 State Total, 2007 Crop 1 (continued)
State
WA

Varieties
R Burbank
Ranger R
Umatilla R
R Norkotah
Shepody
Alturas
Chieftain
Frito-Lay
Pike
Other
Total

WI

R Burbank
R Norkotah
Frito-Lay
Goldrush
Norland
Silverton R
Superior
Snowden
Ranger R
Atlantic
Shepody
Other
Total

Pct. of
Planted
Acres
38.5
16.9
11.7
9.6
6.9
3.6
2.1
1.8
1.2
7.7

State
TOTAL
(8 Sts)

100.0
23.0
16.9
16.6
11.2
9.3
6.1
3.5
3.5
1.5
1.5
1.3
5.6
100.0

Pct. of
Planted
Acres
45.5
11.4
10.7
4.0
3.9
3.9
3.8
1.6
1.2
1.1
0.9
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.6

Varieties
R Burbank
R Norkotah
Ranger R
Norland
Shepody
Umatilla R
Frito-Lay
Alturas
Goldrush
Western R
Yukon Gold
Centennial R
Snowden
Superior
Sangre
Rio Grande R
Chieftain
Dakota Pearl
Silverton R
NorValley
R Nugget
Atlantic
Pike
Red LaSoda
Cascade
Ivory Crisp
CalWhite
Bannock
Katahdin
Klondike Rose
Klondike Gold Dust
Ontario
Red Pontiac
Monona
Norwis
Premier R
Chipeta
NorDonna
GemStar
Summit
Dakota Rose
Reba
Viking
Freedom
Highland R
Dakota Crisp
Defender
Wallowa
Cherry Red
Latonia
Other

100.0

Total
1

Preliminary. Final Percent of Major Varieties Planted for selected States will be published in “Crop Production” on
November 9, 2007.

Crop Production
September 2007

17

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Oranges: Utilized Production by State and United States,
2005-06, 2006-07 and Forecasted September 1, 2007 1 2 3
Utilized Production
Boxes

Crop and State

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

1,000 Boxes

1,000 Boxes

1,000 Boxes

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

1,000 Tons

Early Mid &
Navel 4
8
9
200
AZ
250
1,613
1,275
43,000
1,763
34,000
CA
47,000
5
2,952
3,375
65,600
FL
75,000
68
60
1,600
1,400
TX
4,303
5,207
101,400
123,650
US
Valencia
4
8
100
200
AZ
413
525
11,000
14,000
CA
2,853
3,272
63,400
72,700
FL
16
9
380
200
TX
3,286
3,814
74,880
87,100
US
All
12
17
300
450
AZ
1,688
2,288
45,000
61,000
CA
5,805
6,647
129,000
147,700
FL 5
84
69
1,980
1,600
TX
7,589
9,021
176,280
210,750
US
1
2005-06 and 2006-07 revised. Revised grapefruit and other citrus fruit totals will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on
September 20, 2007.
2
The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year.
3
Net lbs. per box: AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85.
4
Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small quantities of
tangerines in TX.
5
Temples included in early, midseason, and navel varieties beginning with 2006-07 season.

Crop Production
September 2007

18

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007
Area
Month

Total in Crop

Harvested

2006

2007

2006

2007

Acres

Acres

Acres

Acres

Jul
Aug
1
Utilized fresh production.

1,755
2,160

1,735
2,135

1,510
1,330

Fresh Production 1
2006

2007

1,000 Pounds

1,000 Pounds

810
1,395

1,705
2,215

2,385
2,405

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State,
2005-2006 and Forecasted September 1, 2007
Crop and State

Hazelnuts
OR
Walnuts
CA

Crop Production
September 2007

2005

Utilized Production
2006

2007

Tons

Tons

Tons

27,600

43,000

33,000

355,000

346,000

320,000

19

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007
(Domestic Units) 1
Crop

Grains & Hay
Barley
Corn for Grain 2
Corn for Silage
Hay, All
Alfalfa
All Other
Oats
Proso Millet
Rice
Rye
Sorghum for Grain 2
Sorghum for Silage
Wheat, All
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Oilseeds
Canola
Cottonseed 3
Flaxseed
Mustard Seed
Peanuts
Rapeseed
Safflower
Soybeans for Beans
Sunflower
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton, All
Upland
Amer-Pima
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane
Tobacco
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils
Austrian Winter Peas
Dry Edible Beans
Dry Edible Peas
Lentils
Wrinkled Seed Peas 3
Potatoes & Misc.
Coffee (HI)
Ginger Root (HI)
Hops
Peppermint Oil
Potatoes, All
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spearmint Oil
Sweet Potatoes
Taro (HI) 4
1
2
3
4

Area Planted

Area Harvested

2006

2007

2006

2007

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

1,000 Acres

4,168.0
580.0
2,838.0
1,396.0
6,522.0

3,860.0
610.0
2,748.0
1,354.0
7,765.0

57,344.0
40,575.0
1,870.0
14,899.0

60,505.0
45,136.0
2,225.0
13,144.0

2,951.0
70,648.0
6,477.0
60,807.0
21,384.0
39,423.0
1,576.0
475.0
2,821.0
274.0
4,937.0
347.0
46,810.0
31,117.0
1,815.0
13,878.0

1,044.0

1,165.0

1,021.0

1,124.0

813.0
40.5
1,243.0
1.4
189.0
75,522.0
1,950.0

465.0
57.5
1,225.0
1.4
170.0
64,081.0
1,864.0

767.0
39.2
1,209.0
1.0
179.0
74,602.0
1,770.0

453.0
54.8
1,190.0
1.2
162.5
63,265.0
1,765.0

15,274.0
14,948.0
326.0
1,366.2

10,847.0
10,554.0
293.0
1,266.0

12,731.5
12,408.0
323.5
1,303.6
898.1
338.9

10,543.0
10,254.0
289.0
1,241.4
883.5
355.1

46.0
1,629.8
925.5
429.0

27.0
1,504.8
880.5
305.0

22.5
1,537.6
884.1
407.0

17.0
1,439.8
834.3
293.0

1,140.1
17.7
70.7
58.0
993.7

1,147.5
11.5
73.0
53.8
1,009.2

95.2

96.5

6.3
0.1
29.4
79.2
1,121.9
17.5
67.5
53.9
983.0
18.5
86.8
0.4

3,452.0
78,327.0

4,044.0
92,888.0

3,542.0
85,418.0
61,789.0
21,451.0
40,338.0
1,612.0
2,731.0
306.0
6,698.0
52,084.0
37,188.0
2,163.0
12,733.0

0.1
31.0
1,128.4
11.5
70.4
50.3
996.2
93.2

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year.
Area planted for all purposes.
Acreage is not estimated.
Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.

Crop Production
September 2007

20

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007
(Domestic Units) 1
Crop

Units

Yield
2006

Production
2007

Grains & Hay
Barley
Corn for Grain
Corn for Silage
Hay, All
Alfalfa
All Other
Oats
Proso Millet
Rice 2
Rye
Sorghum for Grain
Sorghum for Silage
Wheat, All
Winter
Durum
Other Spring

Bu
“
Tons
“
“
“
Bu
“
Cwt
Bu
“
Tons
Bu
“
“
“

61.0
149.1
16.2
2.33
3.35
1.78
59.5
21.5
6,868
26.3
56.2
13.4
38.7
41.7
29.5
33.2

Oilseeds
Canola
Cottonseed 3
Flaxseed
Mustard Seed
Peanuts
Rapeseed
Safflower
Soybeans for Beans
Sunflower

Lbs
Tons
Bu
Lbs
“
“
“
Bu
Lbs

1,366
14.4
720
2,874
1,100
1,069
42.7
1,211

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton, All 2
Upland 2
Amer-Pima 2
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane
Tobacco

Bales
“
“
Tons
“
Lbs

814
806
1,136
26.1
32.9
2,144

811
797
1,317
24.2
34.4
2,023

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils
Austrian Winter Peas 2
Dry Edible Beans 2
Dry Edible Peas 2
Lentils 2
Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Cwt
“
“
“
“

1,151
1,577
1,493
797

1,649

Potatoes & Misc.
Coffee (HI)
Ginger Root (HI)
Hops
Peppermint Oil
Potatoes, All
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spearmint Oil
Sweet Potatoes
Taro (HI) 3

Lbs
“
“
“
Cwt
“
“
“
“
Lbs
Cwt
Lbs

1,170
43,000
1,964
92
393
257
293
337
406
110
187

1
2
3

63.1
155.8
2.35
3.26
1.87
61.0
7,024
73.9
40.6
41.3
35.5
39.3

2,803
41.4

35,000
1,952
215
294
328

2006

2007

1,000

1,000

180,051
10,534,868
104,849
141,666
71,666
70,000
93,764
10,195
193,736
7,193
277,538
4,642
1,812,036
1,298,081
53,475
460,480

223,478
13,307,999
145,251
69,904
75,347
98,341
191,829
494,750
2,114,024
1,537,262
76,689
500,073

1,394,332
7,347.9
11,019
28,220
3,474,450
1,100
191,405
3,188,247
2,143,613

3,335,200

21,587.8
20,822.4
765.4
34,064
29,580
726,644

17,812.0
17,019.0
793.0
30,090
30,411
718,375

6,163.0

2,618,796

259
24,247
13,203
3,244
590
7,400
4,300
57,671.8
7,248
441,348
4,495
19,766
18,166
398,921
2,038
16,248
4,500

23,741

2,800
60,570.7
2,473
20,668
16,504

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year.
Yield in pounds.
Yield is not estimated.

Crop Production
September 2007

21

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007
(Domestic Units) 1
Crop

Units

2005

Production
2006

2007

1,000

1,000

1,000

2 3

Citrus
Grapefruit
Lemons
Oranges 4
Tangelos (FL)
Tangerines
Temples (FL) 4

Tons
“
“
“
“
“

Noncitrus
Apples
Apricots
Bananas (HI)
Grapes
Olives (CA)
Papayas (HI)
Peaches
Pears
Prunes, Dried (CA)
Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

1,000 Lbs
Tons
Lbs
Tons
“
Lbs
Tons
“
“
“

1,018
870
9,252
70
335
29

1,232
942
9,021
63
417
32

1,596
722
7,589
56
328

9,704.9
81.7
20,900.0
7,813.7
142.0
32,900.0
1,184.6
823.3
97.0
9.1

9,931.7
44.5
20,000.0
6,417.2
23.5
28,700.0
1,010.1
842.0
180.0
21.5

9,284.7
86.6
6,988.5
110.0
1,026.9
878.1
95.0
13.7

Nuts & Misc.
1,330,000
1,115,000
915,000
Lbs
Almonds (CA) (shelled)
33.0
43.0
27.6
Tons
Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)
206,300
280,250
Lbs
Pecans (in-shell)
320.0
346.0
355.0
Tons
Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)
1,258
1,449
1,242
Gals
Maple Syrup
1
Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season.
2
Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07.
3
Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on
September 20, 2007.
4
Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.

Crop Production
September 2007

22

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2006-2007
(Metric Units) 1
Crop

Grains & Hay
Barley
Corn for Grain 2
Corn for Silage
Hay, All 3
Alfalfa
All Other
Oats
Proso Millet
Rice
Rye
Sorghum for Grain 2
Sorghum for Silage
Wheat, All 3
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Oilseeds
Canola
Cottonseed 4
Flaxseed
Mustard Seed
Peanuts
Rapeseed
Safflower
Soybeans for Beans
Sunflower
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton, All 3
Upland
Amer-Pima
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane
Tobacco
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils
Austrian Winter Peas
Dry Edible Beans
Dry Edible Peas
Lentils
Wrinkled Seed Peas 4
Potatoes & Misc.
Coffee (HI)
Ginger Root (HI)
Hops
Peppermint Oil
Potatoes, All 3
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spearmint Oil
Sweet Potatoes
Taro (HI) 5
1
2
3
4
5

Area Planted

Area Harvested

2006

2007

2006

2007

Hectares

Hectares

Hectares

Hectares

1,686,750
234,720
1,148,510
564,950
2,639,390

1,562,100
246,860
1,112,090
547,950
3,142,420

23,206,540
16,420,300
756,770
6,029,480

24,485,770
18,266,090
900,440
5,319,250

1,194,240
28,590,540
2,621,180
24,607,980
8,653,890
15,954,090
637,790
192,230
1,141,630
110,890
1,997,950
140,430
18,943,540
12,592,740
734,510
5,616,290

422,500

471,460

413,190

454,870

329,010
16,390
503,030
570
76,490
30,563,000
789,150

188,180
23,270
495,750
570
68,800
25,932,940
754,340

310,400
15,860
489,270
400
72,440
30,190,680
716,300

183,320
22,180
481,580
490
65,760
25,602,710
714,280

6,181,240
6,049,310
131,930
552,890

4,389,670
4,271,100
118,570
512,340

5,152,310
5,021,390
130,920
527,550
363,450
137,150

4,266,650
4,149,690
116,960
502,380
357,540
143,690

18,620
659,560
374,540
173,610

10,930
608,980
356,330
123,430

9,110
622,250
357,790
164,710

6,880
582,670
337,630
118,570

461,390
7,160
28,610
23,470
402,140

464,380
4,650
29,540
21,770
408,410

38,530

39,050

2,550
40
11,880
32,050
454,020
7,080
27,320
21,810
397,810
7,490
35,130
150

1,396,990
31,698,150

1,636,570
37,590,840

1,433,410
34,567,810
25,005,390
8,681,010
16,324,390
652,360
1,105,210
123,840
2,710,610
21,077,870
15,049,610
875,340
5,152,920

30
12,560
456,650
4,650
28,490
20,360
403,150
37,720

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year.
Area planted for all purposes.
Total may not add due to rounding.
Acreage is not estimated.
Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.

Crop Production
September 2007

23

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2006-2007
(Metric Units) 1
Crop

Grains & Hay
Barley
Corn for Grain
Corn for Silage
Hay, All 2
Alfalfa
All Other
Oats
Proso Millet
Rice
Rye
Sorghum for Grain
Sorghum for Silage
Wheat, All 2
Winter
Durum
Other Spring
Oilseeds
Canola
Cottonseed 3
Flaxseed
Mustard Seed
Peanuts
Rapeseed
Safflower
Soybeans for Beans
Sunflower
Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops
Cotton, All 2
Upland
Amer-Pima
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane
Tobacco
Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils
Austrian Winter Peas
Dry Edible Beans
Dry Edible Peas
Lentils
Wrinkled Seed Peas 3
Potatoes & Misc.
Coffee (HI)
Ginger Root (HI)
Hops
Peppermint Oil
Potatoes, All 2
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Spearmint Oil
Sweet Potatoes
Taro (HI) 3
1
2
3

Yield

Production

2006

2007

2006

2007

Metric Tons

Metric Tons

Metric Tons

Metric Tons

3.28
9.36
36.29
5.22
7.51
3.98
2.13
1.20
7.70
1.65
3.53
29.99
2.60
2.81
1.98
2.23

3.39
9.78
5.27
7.31
4.19
2.19
7.87
4.64
2.73
2.78
2.38
2.64

1.53
0.90
0.81
3.22
1.23
1.20
2.87
1.36

3.14
2.78

0.91
0.90
1.27
58.58
73.83
2.40

0.91
0.89
1.48
54.34
77.16
2.27

1.29
1.77
1.67
0.89

1.85

1.32
48.20
2.20
0.10
44.09
28.79
32.82
37.78
45.49
0.12
20.98

39.23
2.19
24.10
32.91
36.78

3,920,150
267,597,970
95,117,410
128,517,230
65,014,300
63,502,930
1,360,980
231,220
8,787,720
182,710
7,049,790
4,211,150
49,315,540
35,327,980
1,455,350
12,532,210
632,460
6,665,900
279,900
12,800
1,575,980
500
86,820
86,769,860
972,330
4,700,190
4,533,540
166,650
30,902,340
26,834,520
329,600
11,750
1,099,830
598,880
147,150
26,760

4,865,660
338,038,740
131,769,490
63,415,840
68,353,650
1,427,420
8,701,220
12,567,230
57,534,300
41,837,420
2,087,130
13,609,760

5,590,980
1,512,820
71,271,950

3,878,110
3,705,450
172,660
27,297,190
27,588,400
325,850

1,076,870

3,360
1,950
26,160
3,290
20,019,210
203,890
896,570
824,000
18,094,750
920
737,000
2,040

1,270
27,470
112,170
937,480
748,610

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year.
Production may not add due to rounding.
Yield is not estimated.

Crop Production
September 2007

24

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007
(Metric Units) 1
Crop

2005

Production
2006

2007

Metric tons

Metric tons

Metric tons

Citrus 2 3
Grapefruit
Lemons
Oranges 4
Tangelos (FL)
Tangerines
Temples (FL) 4

923,510
789,250
8,393,270
63,500
303,910
26,310

1,117,650
854,570
8,183,710
57,150
378,300
29,030

1,447,870
654,990
6,884,620
50,800
297,560

Noncitrus
Apples
Apricots
Bananas (HI)
Grapes
Olives (CA)
Papayas (HI)
Peaches
Pears
Prunes, Dried (CA)
Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

4,402,070
74,070
9,480
7,088,470
128,820
14,920
1,074,610
746,900
88,000
8,260

4,504,940
40,350
9,070
5,821,540
21,320
13,020
916,370
763,880
163,290
19,500

4,211,470
78,530
6,339,820
99,790
931,630
796,550
86,180
12,430

Nuts & Misc.
603,280
505,760
415,040
Almonds (CA) (shelled)
29,940
39,010
25,040
Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)
93,580
127,120
Pecans (in-shell)
290,300
313,890
322,050
Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)
6,290
7,240
6,210
Maple Syrup
1
Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the
full 2007 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season.
2
Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07.
3
Orange production revised. Grapefruit and other citrus fruit revisions will be published in “Citrus Fruits 2007 Summary” on
September 20, 2007.
4
Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.

Crop Production
September 2007

25

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States
during 2007. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to
obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are rounded actual field counts from this survey.
Corn for Grain: Plant Population per Acre,
Selected States, 2003-2007
State

Month

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Number

Number

Number

Number

Number

IL

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

27,150
27,050
27,050
27,050

27,750
27,750
27,700
27,700

28,000
28,050
28,000
28,000

28,050
28,000
28,000
28,000

28,000

IN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

26,050
25,900
25,900
25,900

26,650
26,500
26,500
26,500

25,300
25,200
25,200
25,200

26,450
26,350
26,350
26,350

27,350

IA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

27,400
27,250
27,250
27,250

28,000
27,950
27,850
27,850

28,050
27,950
28,000
28,000

28,600
28,600
28,600
28,600

29,100

KS 1

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

22,000
21,900
21,900
21,900

21,600
21,500
21,400
21,400

21,800
21,750
21,750
21,750

20,600

MN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

29,300
29,200
29,250
29,300

28,400
28,300
28,400
28,450

28,850
28,900
28,900
28,900

29,850

MO 2

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

24,350
24,350
24,350
24,350

24,100
24,050
24,050
24,050

24,350
24,350
24,350
24,350

24,200

NE
All

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

23,800
23,700
23,700
23,700

24,100
24,100
24,050
24,050

23,900
23,700
23,700
23,700

24,750
24,550
24,600
24,450

25,000

NE
Irrigated

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

26,900
26,700
26,650
26,650

26,900
26,900
26,900
26,900

26,700
26,650
26,650
26,650

27,400
27,200
27,200
27,200

27,250

NE
Non-Irrigated

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

19,800
19,800
19,800
19,800

19,700
19,750
19,750
19,700

20,400
20,000
20,000
20,000

20,650
20,450
20,550
20,250

21,350

OH

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

25,900
25,900
25,900
25,900

26,950
26,550
26,650
26,650

25,650
25,600
25,600
25,600

26,250
26,250
26,200
26,200

26,900

SD 2

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

21,800
21,800
21,850
21,850

23,450
23,650
23,700
23,700

23,900
24,000
24,000
24,000

23,400

27,700
27,550
27,550
27,550

27,400
27,100
27,050
27,050

27,250
27,100
27,450
27,450

28,800

27,300
Sep
27,000
Oct
27,100
Nov
27,100
Final
Field counts began in 2004.
Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.

WI

1
2

28,700
28,800
28,800
28,800

Crop Production
September 2007

26

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,
Selected States, 2003-2007
State

Month

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Number

Number

Number

Number

Number

IL

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

26,700
26,700
26,650
26,650

27,350
27,400
27,400
27,400

26,950
26,850
26,850
26,850

27,600
27,450
27,400
27,400

27,750

IN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

25,350
25,400
25,350
25,350

26,200
25,950
26,050
26,050

24,850
24,600
24,650
24,650

25,850
25,750
25,700
25,750

26,950

IA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

26,700
26,550
26,600
26,600

27,350
27,550
27,500
27,500

27,150
27,100
27,100
27,100

27,350
27,350
27,350
27,350

28,500

KS 1

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

22,100
22,150
22,150
22,150

21,100
21,000
20,900
20,900

20,850
20,750
20,750
20,750

20,900

MN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

29,000
29,250
29,150
29,200

28,000
27,900
28,050
28,050

28,050
28,250
28,250
28,250

28,850

MO 2

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

24,400
24,250
24,250
24,250

22,550
22,600
22,600
22,600

23,850
23,800
23,800
23,800

23,950

NE
All

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

22,950
22,650
22,600
22,600

23,650
24,000
24,050
24,050

23,250
22,800
22,800
22,800

23,850
23,700
23,700
23,550

24,850

NE
Irrigated

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

26,550
26,350
26,300
26,300

26,550
26,700
26,650
26,650

26,250
25,900
25,900
25,900

26,750
26,600
26,600
26,650

27,200

NE
Non-Irrigated

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

18,300
17,850
17,800
17,800

19,100
19,800
20,000
20,000

19,550
18,950
18,900
18,900

19,400
19,150
19,200
18,800

21,100

OH

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

25,500
25,700
25,750
25,750

25,950
26,000
26,000
26,050

24,800
24,700
24,650
24,650

25,200
25,350
25,450
25,450

26,350

SD 2

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

21,950
22,700
22,700
22,700

23,150
23,100
23,050
23,050

22,050
21,900
21,700
21,700

23,250

25,600
27,150
26,800
26,800

26,550
26,350
26,350
26,350

26,750
26,850
27,200
27,200

27,800

26,150
Sep
26,300
Oct
26,250
Nov
26,250
Final
Field counts began in 2004.
Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.

WI

1
2

28,300
28,650
28,600
28,600

Crop Production
September 2007

27

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data
The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing States
during 2007. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain
specific counts and measurements. Data in these tables are actual field counts from this survey.
Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,
Selected States, 2003-2007
State
AR 1 2

Month

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Number

Number

Number

Number

Number

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

2,446
2,483
2,511

1,796
1,823
1,824

1,645
1,655
1,667

IL

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,800
1,606
1,634
1,634

2,070
1,923
1,943
1,947

1,973
1,820
1,858
1,858

2,035
1,890
1,923
1,923

1,923

IN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,786
1,692
1,582
1,582

1,909
1,866
1,917
1,917

1,855
1,790
1,899
1,899

1,927
1,893
1,909
1,909

1,725

IA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,749
1,629
1,647
1,647

1,772
1,731
1,737
1,741

1,969
1,935
1,968
1,970

1,846
1,758
1,760
1,760

1,935

KS 3

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,482
1,588
1,639
1,636

1,490
1,431
1,547
1,546

1,564
1,509
1,581
1,581

1,727

MN

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,582
1,417
1,440
1,440

1,487
1,406
1,446
1,435

1,684
1,598
1,640
1,640

1,612
1,586
1,568
1,568

1,676

MO

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,144
1,455
1,547
1,523

1,798
1,943
1,998
2,038

1,458
1,585
1,679
1,652

1,631
1,746
1,738
1,735

1,521

NE

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,727
1,642
1,636
1,636

1,835
1,836
1,895
1,895

1,862
1,903
1,920
1,920

1,740
1,801
1,784
1,766

1,950

ND 3

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,114
1,148
1,243
1,242

1,526
1,471
1,496
1,496

1,169
1,241
1,260
1,260

1,352

OH

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,808
1,873
1,840
1,837

2,040
1,890
1,974
1,981

1,857
1,895
1,835
1,866

1,900

SD 3

Sep
Oct
Nov
Final

1,248
1,332
1,302
1,308

1,634
1,617
1,605
1,556

1,318
1,345
1,316
1,312

1,554

1
2
3

1,791
1,898
1,764
1,752

September data not available due to plant immaturity.
Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002.
Field counts began in 2004.

Crop Production
September 2007

28

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data
The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States during
2007. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain specific
counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

State

Month

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1
2003
2004
2005
2006
Number

Number

Number

2007

Number

Number

AR

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

798
755
744
744
744

864
771
753
754
754

811
728
733
733
733

859
814
849
824
824

790

CA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

973
945
893
893
893

954
952
945
948
948

993
926
1,002
1,011
1,011

911
869
926
933
933

1,084

GA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

559
646
643
665
665

646
690
686
687
687

667
689
767
767
767

648
675
774
790
790

616

LA

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

681
778
775
775
775

635
707
691
691
691

746
768
775
775
775

760
781
786
785
785

796

MS

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

837
824
811
808
808

808
789
780
780
780

818
729
724
722
722

700
699
695
695
695

819

NC

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

628
630
632
632
632

758
719
732
733
733

799
693
721
721
721

637
641
671
671
671

527

TX

Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Final

465
431
429
435
435

639
672
593
624
624

620
516
586
585
585

530
477
533
544
544

602

1

Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially opened
bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.

Crop Production
September 2007

29

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Production
September 2007

30

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop Production
September 2007

31

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

August Weather Summary
The Southeast baked under mostly dry weather and relentless heat, withering crops that had begun to recover during
a relatively cool, showery regime in July. Scattered, late-month showers were too late for most Southeastern
summer crops, but locally replenished topsoil moisture. Hot, dry conditions reached as far north as the lower Ohio
and middle Mississippi Valleys, but heavy rain fell across the remainder of the Corn Belt. Midwestern rain
generally aided soybeans and late-planted corn, but also caused significant lowland flooding. Across the nation's
mid-section, conditions ranged from hot, mostly dry weather on the central Plains to relatively cool, wet conditions
farther south. In fact, excessive soil moisture in parts of the south-central U.S. slowed winter wheat planting
preparations and other fieldwork. In contrast, moisture was needed for the upcoming wheat establishment season in
Montana, where a dry August followed July's record-setting heat. Elsewhere, late-summer heat in much of the West
promoted crop maturation. Western precipitation varied widely, with some of the heaviest rain from the Southwest
to the central Rockies.
An impressive ribbon of August heat stretched all the way from the Intermountain West into the Southeast, with
monthly average temperatures as much as 8 degrees F above normal in the latter region. Pockets of near- to
below-normal readings were confined to a few small areas, including the Northeast and Northwest, along with the
north-central and south-central U.S.
August Agricultural Summary
Across the northern Rockies and Great Basin August remained hot and dry, with temperatures averaging near
normal to slightly below in the Pacific Northwest. Elsewhere in the West mostly dry conditions, along with warmer
than average temperatures, led to high irrigation demands. In central regions of the country, temperatures ranged
from cooler than average in central and southern Texas and the northern Great Plains to much warmer than average
through the central Great Plains. Six inches or more of rain fell across areas of the northern Corn Belt and
Mid-Atlantic States with some areas of southwest Wisconsin, southeast Minnesota, and Iowa receiving up to
16 inches of rain during August. Rainfall totals of six inches or more were also recorded in parts of Florida,
Georgia, Oklahoma, and Texas. Elsewhere, in the southern Corn Belt and Tennessee Valley, rainfall was scattered
and light with temperatures ranging 6 to 8 degrees above normal.
Nationwide, by August 5, ninety-six percent of the corn crop had reached the silking stage, 4 points ahead of
normal. Nearly half of the corn acres reached the dough stage early in the month and continued to progress rapidly,
ahead of the normal pace. By the end of the month, 96 percent of the crop had progressed to the dough stage,
4 points ahead of the 5-year average pace but in line with last year. Under mostly favorable conditions, corn
developed well ahead of the normal pace with 79 percent of the crop at or beyond the dent stage by September 2,
twelve points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty-five percent of the crop had reached maturity by the same date,
6 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of normal. The crop progressed well ahead of schedule in the
southern Corn Belt and Tennessee Valley, with Illinois, Kentucky, and Tennessee reporting nearly a quarter of the
crop mature by month’s end.
By August 26, ninety-four percent of the sorghum acreage had headed, compared with 88 percent last year and
85 percent for the 5-year average. All States were at or ahead of the normal pace, except Missouri and New Mexico
where heading trailed the 5-year average by 6 and 19 points, respectively. Coloring was behind normal in most
States early in the month, but by month’s end, only Missouri and Oklahoma were behind normal. Nationwide, on
September 2, seventy percent of the sorghum had begun coloring, 9 points ahead of last year’s pace and 13 points
ahead of normal. Harvest activity during the month was limited to the Delta and southern Great Plains with over
50 percent of the crop harvested in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas by the end of August.
Over half of the oat crop was harvested nationwide at the beginning of the month, with harvest nearly complete in
the central and southern Great Plains, Iowa, and Ohio. In Pennsylvania, Minnesota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin,
producers made rapid harvest progress during August, well ahead of the normal pace. By August 26,
ninety-six percent of the crop was harvested, 1 point behind last year but 5 points ahead of normal.
During the month, barley harvest remained well ahead of the 5-year average in all States. By the end of August,
96 percent of the crop was harvested, 4 points ahead of the previous year’s pace and 13 points ahead of the 5-year
average. As harvest neared completion, all States were at least 10 points ahead of normal, with the exception of
Washington where harvest was just slightly ahead of the 5-year average.
Harvest of the 2007 winter wheat crop had progressed to 94 percent complete by the first week of August, 3 points
ahead of normal after lagging behind schedule during most of July. In Texas, harvest continued into the middle of
August and was still 3 points behind the 5-year average at 97 percent complete. Most of the August harvest activity
occurred in the Pacific Northwest where growers progressed well ahead of their normal pace.
Ninety-six percent of spring wheat was harvested by month’s end, the same pace as the previous year but 16 points
ahead of the 5-year average. Although favorable weather allowed harvest to be completed ahead of normal in most
of the major spring wheat producing States, the pace in South Dakota and Washington was near normal.

Crop Production
September 2007

32

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

On August 5, sixty-six percent of the rice acreage was at or beyond the heading stage, 3 points ahead of the 5-year
average. The crop steadily advanced and ended the month at 97 percent headed, still 3 points ahead of normal.
Excessive moisture in south central Louisiana and Texas delayed harvest early in the month keeping progress
behind the normal pace by 6 points in Louisiana and 26 points in Texas. Despite these early delays, harvest
progressed rapidly in both States, advancing 35 and 43 percent, respectively, during the week ending August 20.
Nationally, by the end of the month, nearly a quarter of the acreage had been harvested by producers, surpassing last
year’s pace by 2 points and the 5-year average by 4 points.
The majority of soybean acreage had bloomed by mid-month, 1 point ahead of the 5-year average. By month’s end,
96 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the pod setting stage, 2 points ahead of normal. Crop development
progressed ahead of the 5-year average in nearly all States during August and by month’s end only Kansas,
Nebraska, South Dakota, and Tennessee lagged the normal pace, trailing by 4 points or less. By the end of August,
14 percent of the crop was dropping leaves or beyond, 3 points ahead of the average pace. In Louisiana and
Tennessee, the percent of soybean acres dropping leaves was 19 and 29 points ahead of normal, respectively.
During the week ending August 5, peanut pegging reached 86 percent compared with 88 percent last year and
94 percent for the 5-year average. All States except North Carolina and Virginia lagged the normal pace. By
mid-month, 95 percent of the crop had reached the pegging stage, 3 points behind the 5-year average. In Florida
and Texas, progress was 8 points or more behind normal.
Ninety-five percent of the cotton crop was at or beyond the squaring stage by the week ending August 5, behind last
year and normal by 1 point. Favorable conditions allowed the crop in Kansas to develop significantly ahead of
normal, but due to wet, cooler than average conditions in Oklahoma, progress trailed the normal pace by 13 points.
The acreage setting bolls progressed at a slower than normal pace during August, mainly due to slow development
in the Southeast and southern Great Plains. On August 5, seventy percent of the crop was at or beyond the boll
setting stage, 9 points behind the 5-year average. By mid-month, progress was still 6 points behind normal, at
86 percent. On September 2, boll setting finally pulled even with the 5-year average as 98 percent of the crop was
at or beyond this stage.
Corn for grain: Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 85.4 million acres, unchanged from
August but up 21 percent from 2006. If realized, this would be the most corn acres harvested for grain since 1933.
The September 1 corn objective yield data indicate the highest plant population on record for the combined
10 objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and
Wisconsin). The September objective yield forecasted ears per acre were also a record high, surpassing the previous
record set in 2004. Record high stalk and ear counts were recorded in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, Ohio,
South Dakota, and Wisconsin. Minnesota had a record high number of plants per acre while the indicated ears per
acre were the highest since 2004.
As of September 2, fifty-nine percent of the corn crop was rated in good to excellent condition, up 1 percentage
point from last month but unchanged from last year. Regionally, crop conditions improved from last month across
the northern Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains where heavy rainfall during the month provided muchneeded moisture for the crop. However, the abundant showers caused some lowland flooding, particularly across
the upper Midwest. Crop conditions declined from last month across the southern tier of the Corn Belt and into the
Tennessee Valley and Mid-Atlantic States where extremely hot, dry weather stressed the crop. Condition ratings
also declined slightly in the southern Great Plains as rainfall from the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin and other
thunderstorms added to already abundant soil moisture.
Under warmer than normal conditions, fields progressed rapidly through the dough stage and into the dent and
mature stages during the month. On September 2, ninety-six percent of the crop had reached the dough stage or
beyond, 4 points ahead of normal, while 79 percent of the crop was dented and beyond, 12 points ahead of normal.
Twenty-five percent of the acreage had reached maturity, 8 points ahead of the average pace with all States at or
ahead of normal, except Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, and South Dakota.
Sorghum: Production is forecast at 495 million bushels, up 4 percent from last month and up 78 percent from last
year. Based on September 1 conditions, the yield is forecast at 73.9 bushels per acre, up 3.0 bushels from August
and up 17.7 bushels from last year. If realized, this would be the highest yield on record. Area for harvest as grain
is forecast at 6.70 million acres, unchanged from August but up 36 percent from last year.
As of September 2, sorghum had progressed to 28 percent mature, compared with 30 percent last year and the
5-year average of 27 percent. Sorghum condition was rated 63 percent good to excellent, compared with 30 percent
at the same time last year. Yield forecasts were at or above last month’s level in all of the major sorghum producing
States except New Mexico and Oklahoma. Kansas received beneficial rainfall during August in the central and
northern parts of the State where most of the sorghum is produced. The yield in Kansas is expected to be
79.0 bushels per acre, up 5.0 bushels from last month and up 21.0 bushels from 2006. Texas, the second largest
sorghum producing State, expects a yield of 69.0 bushels per acre, up 2.0 bushels from last month and up

Crop Production
September 2007

33

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

21.0 bushels from last year due to favorable growing conditions. Record high yields are forecast in Nebraska,
Arkansas, and Texas.
Rice: Production is forecast at 192 million cwt, up 1 percent from the August forecast but down 1 percent from last
year. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 2.75 million acres, up slightly from the June estimate
but down 3 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.73 million acres, up slightly from last
month but down 3 percent from 2006. As of September 1, the U.S. yield is forecast at a record high 7,024 pounds
per acre, up 40 pounds per acre from last month and up 156 pounds from last year. If realized, this will surpass the
previous record high yield of 6,988 pounds per acre set in 2004. Record high yields are expected in Louisiana,
Mississippi, and Missouri.
As of September 2, rice harvest was behind normal in Texas and Louisiana at 79 and 75 percent complete,
respectively. In Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri, producers are harvesting their crop ahead of the normal pace.
In California, harvest was just beginning at 1 percent complete. Nationwide, the crop was rated in mostly fair to
good condition.
Soybeans: Area for harvest is forecast at 63.3 million acres, a decrease of 20,000 acres from August and down
15 percent from last year’s record high. The September objective yield pod counts are down slightly from the final
2006 survey results, despite pod counts being higher or unchanged in 5 of the 7 major soybean producing States.
Hot, dry weather across southern Illinois and Missouri hindered pod setting and development in those two States.
By the end of August, 96 percent of the U.S. crop was at or beyond the pod setting stage, equal to last year but
2 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. As of September 2, fourteen percent of the acreage was dropping
leaves or beyond, 2 points ahead of 2006 and 3 points ahead of normal.
As of September 2, fifty-six percent of the U.S. soybean crop was rated good to excellent, 2 percentage points
below the rating at the end of July and 3 points below the same week in 2006. Crop conditions declined during
August across most of Southeast, southern Corn Belt, Delta, and Tennessee Valley as hot temperatures for much of
the month stressed the soybean crop. The largest decline in condition from last month was seen in Kentucky, where
only 16 percent of the crop was rated as good to excellent, a decline of 53 points from the end of July. In contrast,
crop conditions did improve slightly during August across the northern Great Plains, the northern Corn Belt, and
Ohio as needed rain fell in those areas. However, these areas also experienced some flooding from heavy rain at
times. Despite the slight improvement, conditions in Ohio and the Great Lakes States were still worse than 2006,
with the crop condition rating in Michigan down 34 points from 2006. Record high yields are forecast in Louisiana,
Nebraska, and South Dakota, along with a record tying yield in Mississippi.
Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.34 billion pounds, down 1 percent from last month and down 4 percent from
last year’s crop. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 1.23 million acres, up 3 percent from the
June 1 estimate but down 1 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.19 million acres, up
3 percent from August but down 2 percent from 2006. Yields are expected to average 2,803 pounds per acre, down
106 pounds from last month and down 71 pounds from last year.
Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina) is expected to total
2.38 billion pounds, up 5 percent from August but down 5 percent from last year’s level. Planted area, at
893,000 acres, is up 5 percent from June but down 6 percent from 2006. Expected area for harvest, at
866,000 acres, is up 4 percent from August but down 7 percent from 2006. Yields in the region are expected to
average 2,744 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from last month and 45 pounds above last year. Yields are higher than
last year in all Southeast States except Alabama and South Carolina. Yields in Alabama and South Carolina are
expected to be down 300 pounds per acre from 2006, as hot, dry conditions continue to plague the area. As of
September 2, the percent of crop rated poor to very poor in the area ranged from 16 percent in Georgia to 40 percent
in Alabama.
Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 262 million pounds, down 24 percent from August and down
18 percent from last year’s crop. Planted acres, at 115,000, are down 3 percent from August but up 13 percent from
2006. Expected acreage for harvest, at 113,000, is down 3 percent from June but up 13 percent from last year.
Yield is forecast at 2,319 pounds per acre, down 642 pounds from last month and down 865 pounds from the
previous year, as drought conditions in the area have greatly reduced the yield potential of the 2007 crop. As of
September 2, the crop condition ratings in North Carolina and Virginia were 26 percent and 23 percent poor to very
poor, respectively.
Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 697 million pounds, down
7 percent from August 1 but up 8 percent from 2006. Planted acres, at 217,000, are unchanged from June but up
14 percent from 2006. Expected acreage for harvest, at 211,000, is unchanged from last month but up 18 percent
from last year. Yields are expected to average 3,302 pounds per acre for the region, down 259 pounds from last
month and down 305 pounds from the previous year. On September 2, the percentage of the crop rated good to
excellent in Oklahoma and Texas was 70 and 77 percent, respectively.

Crop Production
September 2007

34

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 10.3 million acres, is down 1 percent from last month and down
17 percent from last year. Based on administrative data, planted area is revised to 10.6 million acres, down
2 percent from the June estimate and down 29 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total
10.5 million acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from 2006. Upland producers plan to
harvest 10.3 million acres, down 1 percent from last month and down 17 percent from last year. American-Pima
harvested area, at 289,000 acres, is down 4,000 acres from last month and down 11 percent from last year.
In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia), producers
battled intense heat and lack of moisture during the month of August. Some producers expressed concern about
plants wilting, shedding squares, and dropping bolls due to the drought conditions. However, the crop developed
ahead of normal under the hot weather conditions. During the latter part of the month, the region did receive some
scattered showers but not enough to offer any relief to the stressed crop. As of September 2, crop condition ratings
were mostly fair to poor except in Alabama where the crop was rated mostly poor to very poor.
The cotton crop in the Delta States matured rapidly due to continual hot, dry weather during August. The crop was
reported to be in mostly fair to good condition. By late August, defoliation was underway with harvest beginning
throughout the region. In Mississippi, data from objective yield survey show the bolls per acre slightly below the 5year average. In Louisiana and Arkansas, boll counts were above the 5-year averages.
The High Plains of Texas finally received the high temperatures during August needed to promote crop growth and
development at a normal pace. As of September 2, eighteen percent of the crop had bolls opening, still lagging
normal due to the late start of the crop. The crop condition was rated mostly fair to good. By mid-August, harvest
in the Rio Grande Valley was underway later than normal, due to the cool temperatures and rain received during
July. Data from the objective yield survey indicate that the Texas boll weight is the third heaviest in the last five
years. In Oklahoma and Kansas, the crop was progressing behind normal but was rated in mostly good condition.
California upland cotton producers experienced ideal weather which helped promote cotton development. The crop
was rated in mostly good to excellent condition. In Arizona, harvest began during the latter part of August.
Objective yield measurements in California show the bolls per acre to be the highest in the last five years while boll
weight is the lowest in the last five years.
American-Pima production is forecast at a record high 793,000 bales, down 2 percent from August but up 4 percent
from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 1,317 pounds per harvested acre, down 8 pounds from the August
forecast but up 181 pounds from 2006. California growers are expected to harvest a record high production at
740,000 bales, down 1 percent from last month but up 8 percent from last year.
Ginnings totaled 182,250 running bales prior to September 1, compared with 405,500 running bales ginned prior to
the same date last year and 592,050 running bales in 2005.
Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 718 million pounds, 7 percent below the August 1 forecast and
down 1 percent from 2006. Area for harvest is forecast at 355,070 acres, virtually unchanged from the previous
forecast but 5 percent above last year. Yields for 2007 are expected to average 2,023 pounds per acre, 166 pounds
lower than the August forecast and 121 pounds below a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco
producing State, are expected to average 1,991 pounds per acre, 199 pounds less than a month ago and 90 pounds
below 2006. In Kentucky, the second leading tobacco producing State, yields are expected to average 2,018 pounds
per acre, down 123 pounds from the August forecast and 232 pounds less than last year. Yields are also expected to
decrease from the previous forecast in Tennessee and Virginia. Growers in Pennsylvania expect slightly higher
yields than a month ago. Yields in all of the other tobacco States remain unchanged from the August forecast.
Flue-cured production is expected to total 458 million pounds, 8 percent below last month but up 2 percent from
2006. Growers plan to harvest 225,000 acres in 2007, up less than 1 percent from the August forecast and
6 percent above a year ago. Yields are forecast to average 2,033 pounds per acre, 179 pounds below the last
forecast and 62 pounds less than the previous year. Yields in North Carolina are expected to average 2,000 pounds
per acre, down 200 pounds from the August forecast and 90 pounds below 2006. Growers in Virginia expect yields
400 pounds per acre lower than a month ago while yields in the two other flue-cured States remained unchanged.
Flue-cured tobacco is suffering, particularly in North Carolina and Virginia, due to hot, dry conditions hindering
plant growth and leaf weight. However, the dry conditions have helped keep disease pressure low in Georgia,
where Tomato Spotted Wilt Virus has been a problem for growers in previous years.
Burley production is expected to total 198 million pounds, down 6 percent from the August forecast and 9 percent
below last year. Burley growers plan to harvest 105,200 acres, unchanged from last month’s forecast but up
2 percent from 2006. Yields are expected to average 1,878 pounds per acre, 128 pounds below the August forecast
and down 217 pounds from a year ago. The production forecast for Kentucky, the largest burley producing State, at
146 million pounds, is 5 percent below the previous forecast and 2006. Area for harvest in Kentucky is forecast at
77,000 acres, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 5 percent above last year. Growers in Kentucky expect
yields to average 1,900 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from last month’s forecast and 200 pounds below a year
ago. Yields also decreased in North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia while yields in all other burley States
Crop Production
September 2007

35

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

remained unchanged from the previous forecast. The weather continued to be hot and dry in August, limiting
tobacco growth in the majority of the burley States.
Fire-cured production is expected to total 37.6 million pounds, down 11 percent from the August forecast and
5 percent below last year. Growers plan to harvest 13,300 acres in 2007, unchanged from last month but 12 percent
above 2006. The yield is expected to average 2,826 pounds per acre, 342 pounds below last month and down
498 pounds from 2006.
Southern Maryland Belt tobacco production in Pennsylvania is expected to total 2.31 million pounds, down
2 percent from last month’s forecast but 11 percent above last year. A total of 1,100 acres is expected to be
harvested this year, unchanged from both last month and last year. The average yield, at 2,100 pounds, is down
50 pounds from the August forecast but 200 pounds above a year ago.
Dark air-cured tobacco is expected to total 12.3 million pounds, down 4 percent from last month and 7 percent
below 2006. Growers plan to harvest 4,650 acres in 2007, unchanged from the August forecast but 8 percent above
last year. The yield is expected to average 2,644 pounds per acre, 114 pounds below last month’s forecast and
down 415 pounds from a year ago.
All cigar production is forecast to total 11.2 million pounds, 1 percent above the August forecast and up 33 percent
from 2006. Growers of cigar type tobacco plan to harvest 5,820 acres, unchanged from last month but 18 percent
above a year ago. Overall, yield is expected to average 1,916 pounds per acre, 16 pounds above the last forecast
and 217 pounds above last year.
Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 16.5 million cwt in 2007, down 1 percent from the
July 1 forecast and 9 percent below the 2006 final estimate. Harvested area is estimated at 50,300 acres, down
7 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 328 cwt per acre, 17 cwt above the July forecast but 9 cwt
below last year.
In Texas, record high rainfall led to increased abandonment from the previous forecast, however the average yield is
up 90 cwt from July 1. In Alabama, dry conditions adversely affected the quality of the crop. Colorado growers
started harvest later than usual due to delays in planting. Hail and hot temperatures contributed to lower yields. In
Virginia, hot and dry weather reduced yields from the July forecast. Yields also declined in Maryland due to dry
and hot weather. In New Jersey, crop conditions were rated mostly good to excellent with harvest expected to be
completed by the end of October. Harvest began on time in California with growers reporting an increase in yields
from the previous forecast.
Fall Potatoes, 2006 Final: Production of 2006 fall potatoes is finalized at 399 million cwt, 4 percent above the
2005 crop but 3 percent below 2004. Area harvested, at 983,000 acres, was 4 percent above the previous year but
down 4 percent from two years earlier. The average yield was 406 cwt per acre, up 3 cwt from 2005 and 5 cwt
above 2004.
When compared with the annual estimates made last January, fall production was up 2 percent. Increases in
California, Idaho, Nebraska, and Ohio more than offset declines in Maine and Massachusetts.
All Potatoes, 2006: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in 2006 totaled 441 million cwt, up
4 percent from 2005 but 3 percent below 2004. Area harvested is estimated at 1.12 million acres, up 3 percent from
a year earlier but 4 percent below 2004. The yield, averaging 393 cwt per acre, increased 3 cwt from 2005 and was
up 2 cwt from 2004. Winter production in 2006 declined 8 percent from 2005. Spring and summer production
increased 6 percent and 3 percent, respectively, from a year earlier. Fall potatoes were up 4 percent from the
previous year.
Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2007 is forecast at 30.4 million tons, down 4 percent
from the August forecast but up 3 percent from 2006. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 883,500 acres for sugar
and seed during the 2007 crop year, down 9,500 acres from the August forecast and 14,600 acres less than last year.
Yield is forecast at 34.4 tons per acre, down 0.9 ton from last month but up 1.5 tons from last year. Production is
down in Florida and Louisiana from the August forecast due to lower expected yields in Florida and lower expected
harvested acres in Louisiana.
Sugarbeets: Production is forecast at 30.1 million tons, 1 percent above the August forecast but 12 percent below
last year’s production of 34.1 million tons. Growers expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, unchanged from the
August forecast but down 5 percent from last year. The yield is forecast at 24.2 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton from last
month but down 1.9 tons from the 2006 record high yield. Yields are at or below last year’s level in all States
except Colorado, Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming.
Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.41 million pounds for August 2007, up 1 percent from
last month and 9 percent higher than the comparable month a year ago. Total area in crop for August is estimated at
2,135 acres, 23 percent higher than July 2007 but 1 percent less than August 2006. Harvested area totaled
Crop Production
September 2007

36

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

1,395 acres, 72 percent higher than July of this year and up 5 percent from the same month last year. August
weather was characterized as mostly sunny combined with occasional showers which benefitted orchard growth and
development. Irrigation was stepped up to replenish soil moisture levels. In preparation for Hurricane Flosse,
growers trimmed leaves from mature trees to prevent uprooting. Fortunately, Flosse was downgraded to a tropical
storm and passed with no damage to orchards. Newly planted acreage made favorable progress.
Florida Citrus: High temperatures reached the mid 90s on several days during the month in all citrus producing
areas. Occasional, but localized, afternoon rainstorms were reported throughout the month. Recorded rainfall in
Sebring and Ft. Pierce was less than half the average rainfall for the month. Yearly rainfall totals in all citrus
growing areas were still below average. Growers were continuing to irrigate to maintain adequate moisture levels.
In spite of the dry, hot weather, well cared for groves have a healthy appearance, and trees generally have good fruit
sets.
Fruit sizes on early and midseason oranges were reported to be as large as baseballs and grapefruit were reported as
being between baseball and softball size. Scouting for greening and removing affected trees have been major issues
for the citrus industry. Other grove activities included spraying, mowing, and pulling vines from trees in
preparation for harvest. Overall, trees continued to make good progress. New crop fruit are sizing well across the
State and growers have a positive outlook for this season’s crop.
California Citrus: Current season Valencia orange harvest continued at a slow pace as growers continued to work
around freeze damaged fruit. The upcoming season’s navel orange crop was progressing well, although some
reports of smaller than normal fruit sizes were received. Citrus growers treated groves to control fungus, insects,
and weeds. Other activities included irrigating, topping trees, and applying nutrients.
California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape growers across the State applied fertilizer, irrigated, cultivated, and
sprayed to control weeds, diseases, and insect pests. Raisin grape growers were breaking canes on
dried-on-the-vine varieties or laying grapes on trays to dry. Table grape harvest progressed in August for Autumn
Royal, Crimson, Christmas Rose, Flame Seedless, Black Emerald, Champagne, Kyoho, Muscat Seedless, Niabell,
Princess, Red Globe, Summer Royal, Sweet Scarlet, Thompson Seedless, and Zante Currant varieties. Wine grape
and juice harvests were underway. Stone fruit cultural activities continued throughout the month with irrigation,
fertilization, pruning, and treatments to control weeds and insects. Fig harvest continued. O'Henry, Prima 27,
Prima Gattie, Ryan Sun, September Sun, Snow Gem, Snow Giant, Summer Flame 34, Summer Lady, Sweet Blaze,
Sweet Dream, and Trazee peaches were harvested. Arctic Pride, Arctic Snow, August Fire, August Pearl, August
Red, Autumn Fire, Honeydew, Mango, Prima Diamond, Red Jim, Regal Red, Royal Giant, Royal Snow, September
Red, September Bright, and Summer Flare nectarine harvests continued. Plum harvest advanced for Angeleno,
Catalina, Emerald Beaut, Bette Anne, Fortune, Friar, Grand Rosa, Golden, Howard Sun, and Joanne Red varieties.
Black Kat, Dapple Dandy, Dinosaur Egg, Flavorich, and Sierra Sweet pluot harvests continued. Pomegranates were
showing more color. Apple and quince orchards were harvested. Prune harvest continued in some areas. Pear
harvest was nearing completion with good crop conditions reported. Strawberry fields were being prepared for the
fall crop. Olive fruit continued to size while some orchards were sprayed for olive fruit fly. Almond orchards
continued to be harvested and were being treated for insects and weeds. Pistachios continued to size throughout the
month. Pesticides for codling moths and husk flies were being applied in walnut groves. Nut orchard cultural
activities such as fertilization and irrigation remained underway during the month of August.
Hazelnuts: Production in Oregon is forecast at 33,000 tons, 23 percent less than last year’s crop of 43,000 tons, but
20 percent more than 2005. From 1992 to 2003, Oregon hazelnut production exhibited a biennial bearing pattern.
Production in those years fluctuated greatly from year to year, sometimes more than 200 percent. The 2004 crop
deviated from this pattern with a reduction in production of just one percent from the previous year. The pattern in
2005 differed when the crop was not only down for a second year in a row, but there was a small ‘crop swing’ of
only 26 percent from the previous year. The 2006 crop showed a return to the alternate pattern with increased
production, but again, there was not a large ‘crop swing’ as there had been prior to 2003. The 2007 production
forecast, down only 23 percent, once again is a smaller change than would be expected of the long-term biennial
bearing pattern.
The September forecast is based on the hazelnut objective yield survey conducted annually in Oregon. The survey,
this year, found an average of 222 nuts picked per tree compared with 380 in 2006. The percentage of good nuts
analyzed in the laboratory, at 86.6 percent, is 1.4 percentage points higher than last year and the highest since 2003.
The average dry weight per good nut sampled was 3.09 grams compared with 2.96 grams last year. Bad nuts due to
brown stain totaled 0.3 percent of all nuts, the same as in 2006.
Walnuts: California production is forecast at 320,000 tons, down 8 percent from last year’s 346,000 tons. Bearing
acreage remains the same as in 2006. The September forecast is based on the walnut objective measurement survey
conducted August 1 through August 25, 2007.
Survey data indicated an average nut set of 1,357 per tree, down 7 percent from last year’s average of 1,458 nuts.
Of the varieties with the largest planted acreage, Hartley nut set was down 8 percent from 2006; Chandler was down
23 percent; Serr was up 46 percent; and Vina was down 7 percent. The percentage of sound kernels in-shell was
Crop Production
September 2007

37

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

98.4 percent Statewide, compared with 98.0 percent last year. In-shell weight per nut was 20.3 grams, while the
average in-shell suture measurement was 31.9 millimeters. The average length in-shell is 37.6 millimeters. These
compare with last year’s measurements of 22.7 grams in-shell weight per nut, 31.4 millimeters average in-shell
suture measurement, and 39.5 millimeters average length in-shell.

Crop Production
September 2007

38

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecast
Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between August 24 and
September 7 to gather information on expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for corn,
cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for about 75 percent of the
U.S. production. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek permission
to randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields for the objective yield survey (corn, cotton, and soybeans).
The counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of
plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears, bolls, or
pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological
yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop
maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another
plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.
The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal
interviewer. Approximately 14,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about
probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide indications of
average yields.
Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were reviewed for
reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed considering weather
patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each Field Office submits an analysis
of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State
analyses to prepare the published September 1 forecasts.
Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made
each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of the
marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings, feeding, and
ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative data warrant
changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the August Crop Production
report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. Planted acres may also be revised for
cotton, peanuts, and rice in September Crop Production report each year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and
oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of September; and all other spring planted crops in the
October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted acres will only be made when either special survey data or
administrative data are available. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is
strong evidence that the intended harvested area has changed since the last forecast.
Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean
Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The
average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the
average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning
expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root Mean
Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain production forecast is 5.5 percent. This means that chances are 2
out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 5.5 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 9.6 percent.
Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the September 1
forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and the
final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 366 million bushels, ranging from 10 million bushels to
891 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 13 times and above 7 times. This
does not imply that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

Crop Production
September 2007

39

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Crop

Unit

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts
Root Mean
20-Year Record of
Square Error
Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate
90
Percent
Quantity
Years
Percent
Confidence
Below
Above
Interval
Average
Smallest
Largest
Final
Final
Million

Corn For Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Rice
Soybeans for Beans
Cotton 1
1

Bu
Bu
Cwt
Bu
Bales

5.5
7.8
3.6
5.3
6.6

9.6
13.5
6.3
9.2
11.4

366
30
5
119
993

Million

Million

10
1
0
19
84

891
115
16
288
2,366

Number

Number

13
8
14
12
13

7
12
6
8
7

Quantity is in thousands of bales.

Crop Production
September 2007

40

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information.
Jeff Geuder, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127
Field Crops Section
Greg Thessen, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Greg Thessen - Peanuts, Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Dawn Keen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section
Lance Honig, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,
Strawberries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,
Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,
Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Faye Propsom- Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,
Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Crop Production
September 2007

41

(202) 720-2127
(202) 720-5944
(202) 720-8068
(202) 720-9526
(202) 720-2127
(202) 720-7369
(202) 690-3234
(202) 720-7621
(202) 720-2127
(202) 720-7235
(202) 720-2157
(202) 720-5412
(202) 720-4215
(202) 720-3250
(202) 720-4288
(360) 902-1940
(202) 720-4285

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA

ACCESS TO REPORTS!!
For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:
INTERNET ACCESS
All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the
NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov.
E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION
All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home
Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or State. Follow the
instructions on the screen.
--------------------------------PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS
CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada)
Other areas, please call 703-605-6220
FAX: 703-605-6900
(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.)
---------------------------------ASSISTANCE
For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the
Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis
of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental
status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or a part of an
individual's income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.)
Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large
print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA's TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD).
To file a complaint of discrimination write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue,
S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410 or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or
(202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

USDA Data Users’ Meeting
October 29, 2007
Crowne Plaza Chicago O’Hare
Rosemont, Illinois
(847) 671-6350
The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The
purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs
and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the
Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and
World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be
included in the meeting.
For registration details or additional information for the Data Users’ Meeting, see the NASS homepage at
www.nass.usda.gov/forum/ or contact Marjorie Taylor (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at
[email protected].
This Data Users’ Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on
October 30, 2007. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to
discuss the outlook situation. For registration details or additional information for the Industry Outlook
Meeting see the Livestock and Marketing Information Center (LMIC) homepage at www.lmic.info or
contact Jim Robb at (720) 544-2941 or at [email protected].