Persuader PRA and Reg Felx

Persuader PRA and Reg Flex (06-02-15).xlsx

Labor Organization and Auxiliary Reports

Persuader PRA and Reg Felx

OMB: 1245-0003

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Overview

Number of Reports_Filers
Total Burden for All Reports
Burden and Cost Per Filer
Reg. Flex Analysis
Revised_final persuader stats


Sheet 1: Number of Reports_Filers

Number of LM-20 Reports







Total: Number of NLRB cases Number of NMB Cases Average Percentage of Employers utilizing consultants to manage counter-organizing campaigns Number of Trade Associations Offering Seminars Number of Law/Consultant Firm Independently-Facilitated Seminars Total Number of Seminar Reports Increase over previous ICR Increase Over NPRM
4194.44 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See Tab 5. 2658 Aziz, Dyana - OLMS: See NMB annual reports for FY 10-14, Table 1, Cases Received and Closed (used "new cases"). For FY 14 see https://storage.googleapis.com/dakota-dev-content/NMB-2014-Annual-Report.pdf. Figure is average of FY 10-14. 40 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Average of five most recent academic studies estimating employer use of consultants to orchestrate counter-organizing campaigns: 71%, 75%, 75%, 82%, and 87%. See fn. 13, page 31 of preamble. 0.78 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: Number of Firms, Number of Establishments, Employment, and Annual Payroll by Enterprise Employment Size for the United States, All Industries: 2012, released on 1/23/15, NAICS 813910 - Business Asssociations, located at http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. Saved as a spreadsheet on the Y Drive. Note: we looked at those business associations with 20 or more employees that operated year round. 1045 anddavis: This assumes that the law/consultant firms conducting the trade association seminars will also conduct an equal number (in the aggregate) of independently facilitated seminars. 1045 2090 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: We estimated 387 LM-20 reports in the most recent ICR (for the three-year renewal in 2013, as well as for the 2015 LM-3/4 ICR, which used identical numbers). 3807.44 anddavis: We estimated 2,601 reports in the NPRM. See 76 FR 36198. 1593.44



















Number of non-seminar reports Ratio of Reports/Filer






2104.44 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See tab 5. 5.875














Total of LM-20 Filers
Reports Per Filer





Sub-total for number of law/consultant firms:
Sub-total for number of reports per filer





358.202553191489
11.7096876128566























Total Form LM-10 Reports/Filers Total: anddavis: This equals the number of LM-20 non-seminar reports, i.e. those filed by law/consultant firms per individual employer agreements. Number of Persuader Agreement Reports Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See tab 5. Number of 203(a)(1)-(3) Reports Davis, Andrew - OLMS: We estimated 957 LM-10 reports in the most recent ICR (for the three-year renewal in 2013, as well as for the 2015 LM-3/4 ICR, which used identical numbers). Increase Over Previous ICR Increase Over NPRM



2777.04 2104.44 672.6 1820.04 -636.96





















Non-Filing Entities Law Firms Business Associations Consultant Firms




Total: Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Derives from Martindale law firm search engine at: http://www.martindale.com/Results.aspx, on 5/18/15. Note: only a subset of the 165,435 law firms listed in Census, NAICS "Office of Lawyers" 541110 category. See: Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: NAICS 541110 - Offices of Lawyers, United States, accessed at: www.census.gov/econ/susb/. 17387 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: NAICS 813910 - Business Associations, United States, number of firms, accessed at: http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. Saved as a spreadsheet on Y Drive. 15808 Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: NAICS 541612 - Human Resources Consulting Services, United States, number of firms, accessed at: http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. Saved as a spreadsheet on Y Drive. 6461




Davis, Andrew - OLMS: First, concerning law firms, while there are 165,435 firms within NAICS Code 541110, not all such firms will need to review the reporting requirements; rather, only those involved in labor and employment law. Indeed, only 17,387 firms in the United States fall into such category. See Martindale law firm search engine at http://www.martindale.com/Results.aspx. Search conducted on 5/18/15 for all United States law firms that focus on labor and employment law. Second, as stated, there are 6,461 consultant firms within NAICS Code 541612. See, supra, Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: NAICS 541612, accessed at: http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. Saved as a spreadsheet on Y Drive. Third, there are 15,808 business association firms in the United States. See, number of “business associations” firms from the U.S. Census Bureau’s NAICS 813910, which includes trade associations and chambers of commerce. These three figures were summed, and then we subtracted out the number of filing entities. 39297.7974468085








Sheet 2: Total Burden for All Reports

Reporting and Recordkeeping Burden Hours for Persader Reporting









Form Number of Reports Filed
Recordkeeping Burden for all reports (in minutes)
Total Recordkeeping Hours for all reports
Total Reporting burden for all reports (in minutes)
Total Reporting Hours for all reports
Total Burden for all reports (in minutes)
Total Burden Hours

Total Recordkeeping Burden Hour Increase Over Previous ICR Total Reporting Hour Increase Over Previous ICR Total Burden Hour Increase Over Previous ICR
Total Recordkeeping Burden Increase Over NPRM (in minutes) Total Recordkeeping Increase Over NPRM (in hours) Total Reporting Increase Over NPRM (in minutes) Total Reporting Increase Over NPRM (in hours) Total Burden Increase Over NPRM (in minutes) Total Burden Increase Over NPRM (in hours)
Form LM-20 (Revised Forms Submitted)


























anddavis: Note: this number has been rounded. 4194.44
quilloin: the Department estimates that the burden of maintaining and gathering records is 15 minutes 62916.6
1048.61
quilloin: The Department estimates 83 minutes associated with reviewing the instructions and reporting the data. 348138.52
5802.30866666667
411055.12
6850.91866666667

Davis, Andrew - OLMS: All ICR estimates for the LM-10 and LM-20 derive from the recent ICR (for the three-year renewal in 2013, as well as for the 2015 LM-3/4 ICR, which used identical numbers). 951.81 5268.20866666667 6220.01866666667
anddavis: NPRM recordkeeping minute estimate: 39,015 (note: the NPRM at one point, incorrectly, stated that the burden was 30,855 minutes, 76 FR 36201). 23901.6 anddavis: Total recordkeeping burden in NPRM in hours: 650.25. 398.36 anddavis: The total reporting burden in minutes from the NPRM is: 117,045 . 231093.52 anddavis: NPRM Total reporting burden estimate (in hours): 1,950.75 hours. 3851.55866666667 254995.12 4249.91866666667



























Form LM-10 (Revised Form Filers/Forms Submitted) anddavis: Note: this number has been rounded. 2777.04
quilloin: the Department estimates that the burden of maintaining and gathering records is 25 minutes 69426
1157.1
quilloin: The Department estimates 122 minutes associated with reviewing the instructions and reporting the data. 338798.88
5646.648
408224.88
6803.748

755.2 3703.948 4459.148
-15924 -265.9 14468.88 240.648 -1455.12 -24.2520000000004
























































Total of Form LM-20 Filers


























anddavis: The 369 figure has been rounded from the unrounded number listed on the "Number of Reports_Filers" tab. Sub-total for number of law firms/consultants: anddavis: This is the number of reports filed per the approximately 369 law/consultant firms. 11.7096876128566
175.645314192849
2.92742190321416
971.9040718671
16.198401197785
1147.54938605995
19.1258231009992













358.202553191489








































































































































NOTE: Also, there is currently an error in footnote 103 of page 190 of the preamble: the estimates there are based on trade associations filing, instead of the law/consultant firms filing all the reports, including the seminar reports.



























Sheet 3: Burden and Cost Per Filer

Reporting and Recordkeeping Burden Hours and Costs for Persader Reporting





Form Number of Reports
Reporting Minutes Per Respondent

Recordkeeping Minutes Per Respondent
Total Burden Minutes Per Respondent
Average Cost Per Respondent*
Total Cost
Increase Over Recent ICR Submission Total Increase Over Recent ICR Submission
Increase Over NPRM Total Increase Over NPRM
Form LM-20

















Cost Per Form
4194.44
quilloin: The Department estimates 83 minutes associated with reviewing the instructions and reporting the data. 83.00

quilloin: the Department estimates that the burden of maintaining and gathering records is 15 minutes 15.00
98.00
$151.14
$633,932.16
$3.36 $576,743.16
anddavis: $87.59 in NPRM. $63.55 anddavis: $227,821.59 in NPRM. $406,110.57




















































































Cost Per Filer 11.7096876128566









$1,769.76












































































































Form LM-10

2777.04
122

25.00
147.00
$226.70
$629,567.34
$4.59 $417,003.34
anddavis: $175.18 in NPRM. $51.52 anddavis: $598,064.52 in NPRM. $31,502.82

































Total Cost of Rule for Filers:
$1,263,499.50

$993,746.50

$437,613.39
Annual Cost per Non-Filing Entity: Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Estimated annual one hour of review time multiplied by the hourly cost of an attorney. $92.53














$269,753.00

$825,886.11
Total Annual Cost for Non-Filing Entities: $3,636,320.73






























Total Cost of Rule:
$4,899,820.23





*Form LM-20 average hourly salary for lawyers, $64.17, is derived from the Occupational Employment and Wages Survey for May 2014, Table 1 on page 12, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ocwage.pdf. The Department increased these figures by approximately 44.2.0% to account for total compensation to reach the average hourly compensation for attorneys for the purposes of this analysis: $92.53. See Employer Costs for Employee Compensation Summary (03-11-15), from the BLS, at http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ecec.nr0.htm. The Department increased the average hourly wage rate for employees ($21.72 in 2012) by the percentage total of the average hourly compensation figure ($9.60 in 2012) over the average hourly wage.




















Sheet 4: Reg. Flex Analysis

Summary of Form Persuader Regulatory Flexibility Analysis

For Consultants that Meet the SBA Small Entities Standard

Total Cost per Response
Total Cost Per LM-20 Respondent











Davis, Andrew - OLMS: The source for all the NAICS data is the U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: Number of Firms, Number of Establishments, Employment, and Annual Payroll by Enterprise Employment Size for the United States, All Industries: 2012, released on 1/23/15, located at http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. Saved as a spreadsheet on the Y Drive. Year Cost of Form LM-20 Report








Payroll Cost For Avg Consultant Firm $1,444,486
$151.14
$1,769.76

Percent of Average Annual Payroll

0.01046%
0.1225182%













Payroll Cost For Consulting Firm with 0-4 Employees $92,126.18
$151.14
$1,769.76

Percent of Average Annual Payroll

0.16%
1.9210163%













Non-Filers*










For Non-Filing Firms with Avg. Consultant Firm

$92.53


Percent of Average Annual Payroll

0.0064%














For Non-Filing Firms with Avg. Consultant Firm with 0-4 Emplyees

$92.53









0.10%














Year Cost of Form LM-10










Paryoll Cost for All Employers

$945,530
$226.70


Percent of Average Annual Payroll

0.0240%
0.000239764423975





































Paryoll Cost for All Employers with 1-4 Employees $67,126.88
$226.70


Percent of Average Annual Payroll






0.34%














For Non-Filing Employers (10 minutes per year)






Davis, Andrew - OLMS: One-sixth of the hourly cost for an attorney ($92.53), since such employer will only take 10 minutes per year (10/60) 15.4220718232044


Percent of Annual Payroll






0.00326%














Percent of Payroll for Employers with 1-4 Employees






15.4220718232044










0.02297%


Number of Small Entities

Filing Entities Non-Filing Entities*


















Form LM-20

Davis, Andrew - OLMS: There are 6,461 firms within the “Human Resources Consulting Services” NAICS category, with 6,386 of them (approximately 99% of the total) with less than $15 million in payroll. See, U.S. Census Bureau’s North American Industry Classification System Codes (NAICS) for “Human Resources Consulting Services,” which includes “Labor Relations Consulting Services." See Statistics of U.S. Businesses: 2012: NAICS 541612 - Human resources & executive search consulting services, United States, accessed at: http://www.census.gov/econ/susb/. For the $15 million standard, the Department used the Small Business Administration’s (“SBA”) “small business” standard in average annual receipts for “Human Resources Consulting Services,” NAICS code 541612. See U.S. Small Business Administration’s Table of Small Business Size Standards Matched to the North American Industry Classification System Codes at 32, accessed at: http://www.sba.gov/sites/default/files/files/Size_Standards_Table.pdf. These size standards are effective as of July 14, 2014. The Department has employed the 99% figure to determine the estimated percentage of labor relations consultants that would qualify as small entities pursuant to the rule, although, for purposes of the RFA section, it assumes all the entities are small entities. 354.620527659574 39297.7974468085


















Form LM-10

Davis, Andrew - OLMS: The SBA considers 99.7% of all employers to constitute small businesses. See https://www.sba.gov/sites/default/files/FAQ_Sept_2012.pdf. 2768.70888



















Total

3123.32940765957















































































* The total cost for these non-filing entities is:

3636320.72831052







Sheet 5: Revised_final persuader stats

Data (source is hyperlinked) Totals 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Employer Costs for Employee Compensation Summary






Average benefit cost





Aziz, Dyana - OLMS: Numbers were found on http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/print.pl/news.release/archives/ecec_03112015.htm Davis, Andrew - OLMS: 9.6
Average hourly wage





Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Numbers were found on http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/print.pl/news.release/archives/ecec_03112015.htm 21.72
Fringe benefit percentage (page 189 of final rule)





44.2%
Hourly costs for attorneys





Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Derived from the Occupational Employment and Wages Survey for May 2014, Table 1 on page 12, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ocwage.pdf. $64.17
Loaded hourly cost (hourly wage plus fringes)





$92.53
Davis, Andrew - OLMS: http://www.dol.gov/olms/regs/compliance/enforcement_data.htm LM-10 reports registered (from OLMS annual report on OLMS web site)

1,000 956 920 934 970
Persuader LM-10 Reports FY 10-14 (from DRDA/Patrick Hyde: see Y Drive)

251 246 236 309 375
Average LM-10 Reports Registered from FY10-14 956





Average Persuader LM-10 Reports from FY10-14 283.4





Average Non-Persuader LM-Reports from FY10-14 672.6





Davis, Andrew - OLMS: http://www.dol.gov/olms/regs/compliance/enforcement_data.htm LM-20 reports registered (from OLMS annual report on OLMS web site 2,726
446 452 617 571 640
LM-20 filers (from OLMS e.LORS data) 464
74 88 99 93 110
Davis, Andrew - OLMS: http://www.dol.gov/olms/regs/compliance/enforcement_data.htm Average Number of LM-20s Registered for FY 10-14: 5.875





545






Davis, Andrew - OLMS: From e.LORS (see Y Drive). Average Number of LM-20 Filers for FY 10-14:






93






Average Number of LM-20 Reports/Filer for FY 10-14:






5.875






Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Number of NLRB petitions filed in certification and decertification (RC, RD, and RM) cases. See 2010 and 2012 NLRB Summary of Operations (which include Fys 09 and 11), as well as Number of Petitions Filed in FY13: http://www.nlrb.gov/news-outreach/graphs-data/petitions-and-elections/number-petitions-filed-fy13. Does not include unit deauthorization, unit amendment and unit clarification (UD, AC and UC) cases. Davis, Andrew - OLMS: http://www.nlrb.gov/reports-guidance/reports/summary-operations NLRB Representation and Decert Elections (2009-13)
2,696 2,969 2,634 2,484 2,507
2009 - 2013 Annual Average NLRB 2,658





Davis, Andrew - OLMS: See 2014 NMB Annual Report, Table 1 (CASES RECEIVED AND CLOSED), and look at the "new" cases line.http://storage.googleapis.com/dakota-dev-content/2014annual-report/index.html Davis, Andrew - OLMS: National Mediation Board representation cases filed

46 40 41 34 39
2010 - 2014 Annual average NMB 40





































Average Employer Utilization Rate of Consultants: 71 75 75 82 87

Davis, Andrew - OLMS: Average of five most recent academic studies estimating employer use of consultants to orchestrate counter-organizing campaigns: 71%, 75%, 75%, 82%, and 87%. See fn. 13, page 31 of preamble. 0.78






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