FR1374_20200219_omb_B

FR1374_20200219_omb_B.pdf

Intermittent Survey of Businesses

OMB: 7100-0302

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Supporting Statement Part B for the
Intermittent Survey of Businesses
(FR 1374; OMB No. 7100-0302)
Summary
For all information collections that involve surveys or require a statistical methodology,
the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Board) is required to provide a complete
justification and explanation of the use of such a methodology. For collections that employ
surveys without such a methodology, the Board should be prepared to justify its decision not to
use statistical methods in any case where such methods might reduce burden or improve
accuracy of results.
Background
Prior to the 2002 implementation of this survey, the Federal Reserve found it helpful to
collect information on an ad hoc basis from individuals within the business community on a realtime basis. This information typically reflected current business conditions and ongoing
developments in the economy as well as topical issues. Prior to 2002, the Federal Reserve
limited its contacts to fewer than nine firms and asked open-ended questions. However, the
Federal Reserve believes that it is valuable to talk with firms and ask targeted questions that are
critical to understanding the current economic situation and outlook. An in-depth understanding
of the types of special issues shown in the draft reporting form can only be gleaned in real time
through direct inquiries with contacts at relevant entities. Results derived from the collected
information is distributed both to Board members and to the presidents of the Reserve Banks.
The information is also used by the Federal Reserve as an input to its economic forecasting
activities.
In 2010, the respondent panel was revised to include state and local governments as
warranted by economic conditions. At that time, understanding how these governments were
allocating funds from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was of particular
interest. Because spending by state and local governments currently accounts for about 11
percent of total Gross Domestic Product (GDP), understanding developments in this sector can
help the Board better understand the likely path for overall economic activity.
In 2013, the Federal Reserve increased the permitted number of respondents from 240 to
2,400 for the Reserve Bank surveys to allow Districts the flexibility to get more complete
coverage of economic developments within each District (especially with respect to issues of
broad applicability).
Universe and Respondent Selection
The current FR 1374 respondent panel comprises businesses and, occasionally, state and
local governments. For surveys conducted by the Reserve Banks at the direction of the Board,
the Board decreased the permitted number of respondents from 2,400 to 720 (an average of 60
per Reserve Bank) to better reflect the actual number of respondents in recent surveys.

Procedures for Collecting Information
The topics discussed with the respondents are time sensitive, and the questions vary with
the topic. There is no standard reporting form because the questions typically change with each
survey. For each survey, the Federal Reserve prepares questions in advance of specific topical
interest and determines a relevant target group of firms to contact. If conducted by telephone, the
discussions could last up to twenty minutes, with the typical conversation lasting approximately
fifteen minutes. If conducted using email or an online survey tool, the response times are likely
to be shorter. Each Reserve Bank tabulates its survey results and sends them to the Board. The
Board then compiles the Reserve Bank-level results into an overall summary memo. The
tabulation and the summary, along with the submissions from the individual Reserve Banks, are
then circulated to the members of the Board and Reserve Bank presidents. Each Reserve Bank
may use its own district-level results for any official business purposes, including research that
leads to publication, to the extent consistent with any confidentiality commitments made to the
contacts.
Methods to Maximize Response
A respondent may decline to answer a particular question when answering would entail
excessive burden. Experience has shown that only a small number of respondents decline to
answer any particular question. Response rates overall have been high and resulted in adequate
and informative answers.
Testing of Procedures
There has been no pre-testing of procedures.

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