Increasingly, user demand is reflecting a need for probabilistic forecasts in the 8 to 10 day time frame. Improved forecast capability means the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) can begin to address this user need, but the task is complicated by the range of possible forecast format and delivery needs and options. WPC is seeking user-tested and informed guidance on how to present forecasts at the 8 to10 day time frame. WPC is looking to understand how probabilistic forecasts can improve core user decision-making in this range, and for guidance on the format and design of forecasts, based on iterative field-testing of core users. WPC requires a robust understanding of core user needs in this time frame, as well as explanation of the preferred web delivery methods and the optimal mix of design and delivery considerations. WPC also requires information about what products end-users are utilizing and how they are being used. To assess ways to improve guidance products for producing forecasts, the project will include meeting with forecasters, conducting phone interviews and web-based focus groups with core partners and posting an online public survey.
The latest form for Day 8-10 Timeline Forecast Survey and Focus Groups expires 2020-09-30 and can be found here.
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Form and Instruction |
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Approved without change |
New collection (Request for a new OMB Control Number) | 2017-08-02 |
Federal Enterprise Architecture: Natural Resources - Conservation, Marine and Land Management
Form NA | Probabilistic 8-10 day forecast users’ groups | Paper Only | Form and instruction |
Review document collections for all forms, instructions, and supporting documents - including paper/printable forms.